Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, St. Gallen to win is rated slightly higher at 2.15, while Nordsjaelland to win is available at 2.95 and the draw at 3.80. In the main goals line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is clearly more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. In the handicap market, St. Gallen Draw No Bet at 1.63 is preferred to Nordsjaelland Draw No Bet at 2.20.
Why St. Gallen Are Favourites
St. Gallen to win is priced at 2.15, Nordsjaelland to win at 2.95 and the draw at 3.80. The arguments for that assessment are:
Home advantage. In the previous stage of the Conference League, the team beat Sheriff heavily by a 5:1 scoreline.
The nature of the first leg. Despite a 0:1 defeat, the hosts outperformed their opponents in shots and shots on target.
Form going into the game. The defeat to the Danes was their first in their last six matches.
Form and Line-up St. Gallen
In the previous round of the Conference League, St. Gallen thrashed Moldovan side Sheriff (3:1, 5:1), and in the first play-off match the team lost 0:1 away, although they outperformed their opponents in shots (19-12) and shots on target (6-4). After conceding, the hosts did not sit back in defence but increased the pressure in the second half — largely thanks to Christian Witzig's introduction.
Key numbers:
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- St. Gallen scored first in 5 of their previous 6 matches.
- There were fewer than 10 corners in 5 of their last 7 games.
Probable St. Gallen line-up (3-1-4-2): Lawrence Ati Zigi — Joel Ruiz, Chima Okoroji, Jozo Stanic — Lukas Daschner — Hugo Vandermersch, Lukas Gortler, Leon Frokaj, Mihailo Stevanovic — Aliu Balde, Andrin Hunziker.
Absentees: Nino Weibel (injury).
Form and Line-up Nordsjaelland
In the previous round of the Conference League, Nordsjaelland thrashed Icelandic side Valur (2:0, 5:0), and in the first play-off match they beat St. Gallen (1:0), despite being second best statistically. Unlike the Swiss side, the visitors have played a league match, beating Sonderjyske (3:0).
Key numbers:
In 10 of Nordsjaelland's last 10 Conference League matches, their opponents scored no more than 1 goal
They have won 7 matches in a row.
They have scored first in 8 consecutive matches.
Probable Nordsjaelland line-up (3-4-3): Andreas Hansen — Peter Ankersen, Tobias Salquist, Stephen Acquah — Runar Norheim, Justin Janssen, Nicklas Rojkjaer, Juho Lahteenmaki — Lamine Sadio, Ibrahim Adel, Prince Amoako.
Absentees: —.
Team Chances
St. Gallen to win is priced at 2.15; the no-margin estimate is 2.29 and the probability is 43.6%. For the draw, the figures are 3.80, 4.06 and 24.7%, while for Nordsjaelland to win they are 2.95, 3.15 and 31.8% respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | Probability without margin |
St. Gallen to win | 2.15 | 2.29 | 43.6% |
Draw | 3.80 | 4.06 | 24.7% |
Nordsjaelland to win | 2.95 | 3.15 | 31.8% |
Goals Total Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is rated higher than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. At the 3.5 mark, the ratio is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is priced at 1.57, with Over 3.5 goals at 2.30.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.30 | 1.55 |
3.5 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
Handicap Prediction
St. Gallen (-1.5) is offered at 3.45, Nordsjaelland (-1.5) at 5.60. On the 1.5 line, the lower price is on St. Gallen (+1.5) at 1.09, compared with 1.25 for Nordsjaelland (+1.5). For the -1 handicap, St. Gallen (-1) is listed at 2.90 and Nordsjaelland (-1) at 4.80; for the +1 handicap, the figures are 1.13 and 1.35 respectively. St. Gallen Draw No Bet at 1.63 is priced lower than Nordsjaelland Draw No Bet at 2.20.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
3.45 | -1.5 | 5.60 |
1.09 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
2.90 | -1 | 4.80 |
1.13 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.63 | 0 | 2.20 |
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.50 is clearly preferred to Both teams to score - No at 2.50, which implies that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.50 |
No | 2.50 |
Double Chance Prediction
The lowest double-chance odds are on 12 at 1.25. 1X is available at 1.37, while X2 is priced at 1.65.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.37 | 1.25 | 1.65 |
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: St. Gallen — 1.5 goals, Nordsjaelland — 1.5 goals.
St. Gallen Team Total
St. Gallen: Under 0.5 goals is priced at 4.70, Over 0.5 goals at 1.14; on the 1 line, the odds are 3.40 and 1.27 respectively. Under 1.5 goals at 1.90 is slightly longer than Over 1.5 goals at 1.80, while at the 2 mark Under 2 goals at 1.45 is preferred to Over 2 goals at 2.55.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.70 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
3.40 | 1 | 1.27 |
1.90 | 1.5 | 1.80 |
1.45 | 2 | 2.55 |
Nordsjaelland Team Total
Nordsjaelland: Under 0.5 goals is offered at 3.65, Over 0.5 goals at 1.25; for the 1 line, the odds are 2.55 and 1.45. At 1.5, Under 1.5 goals at 1.62 is priced lower than Over 1.5 goals at 2.15, while at 2 it is Under 2 goals at 1.20 versus Over 2 goals at 4.05.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.65 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
2.55 | 1 | 1.45 |
1.62 | 1.5 | 2.15 |
1.20 | 2 | 4.05 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Orel Grinfeeld (Israel)
Matches – 5 (international matches, 2025-2026);
Average fouls per match – 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 5;
Matches with red cards – 0 out of 5;
Matches with penalties – 0 out of 5.
