St. Pauli come into this match on the back of a noticeable improvement in results. The team have taken three wins from their last four league games and have moved above the relegation zone.
However, the underlying statistics remain vulnerable: over the last five matches they have allowed an average of 1.63 xGA and concede around 14 shots per game. Even in wins, the defence regularly leaves space between the lines. Average possession is around 44%, so the hosts often have to defend for long periods without the ball.
Eintracht Frankfurt have also improved after the coaching change. In four matches under Albert Riera the team have collected seven points and improved their attacking numbers. Over this stretch they are generating around 1.72 xG per game and averaging 15–16 shots. Their wing structure in attack is particularly active: they regularly bring the ball into the penalty area through quick switches of play and crosses. With possession at about 52%, they play more positional attacks and create a stable flow of chances.
The playing style of the visitors is uncomfortable for the hosts. The hosts allow many shots after quick switches of play and second balls — these are exactly the phases in which the visitors create a significant share of their chances. In their last five matches, the hosts' defence have allowed opponents a total of over 7.5 expected goals. At the same time, the visitors have scored at least one goal in seven of their last nine league games. Given the difference in attacking volume and the vulnerabilities in the hosts' defence, a bet on the away side's scoring output looks logical.
The Bundesliga matchday 25 fixture between St. Pauli and Eintracht Frankfurt will take place on 8 March at the Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 12 (the Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 58;
Yellow cards per match on average – 4.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match on average – 21;
Penalties – 25%
|
Alexander Blessin
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
Line-up
|
|||
|
Nikola Vasilj
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Eric Anders Smith
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Hauke Finn Wahl
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Tomoya Andō
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Arkadiusz Pyrka
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Jackson Irvine
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
James Hoban Sands
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Joel Chima Fujita
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Manolis Saliakas
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Mathias Pereira Lage
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Danel Sinani
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Substitutes
|
|||
|
Ben Alexander Voll
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Adam Dźwigała
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Jannik Thomas Robatsch
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Lars Ritzka
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Louis Oppie
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Connor Isaac Metcalfe
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Abdoulie Ceesay
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Martijn Kaars
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Taichi Hara
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Albert Riera
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
Line-up
|
|||
|
Michael Zetterer
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Aurèle Florian Amenda
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Nathaniel Christopher Brown
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Pharrell Nnamdi Collins
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Robin Leon Koch
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Farès Chaïbi
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Hugo Emanuel Larsson
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Oscar Winther Højlund
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya Négoce
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Jonathan Michael Burkardt
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Substitutes
|
|||
|
Jens Grahl
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Elias Niklas Baum
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Fousseny Max Doumbia
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ellyes Joris Skhiri
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Mahmoud Dahoud
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Mario Götze
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Paul Love Arrhov
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ritsu Doan
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
Bayer 04
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Stuttgart
Augsburg
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
Hamburger
Borussia Dortmund
St. Pauli
Wolfsburg
St. Pauli
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Heidenheim
Köln
St. Pauli
Bayern Munich
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Union Berlin
Freiburg
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Bayer 04
Stuttgart
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Augsburg
Hamburger
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer 04
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
Eintracht Frankfurt
Stuttgart
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Augsburg
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Wolfsburg
Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Mainz 05
Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
St. Pauli
Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayern Munich
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
Bayer 04
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
Bundesliga 2025/26
Eintracht Frankfurt
St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2024-2025
Eintracht Frankfurt
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
DFB-Pokal 2019-2020
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga 2 2011-2012
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2010-2011
Eintracht Frankfurt
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
| # | Team | Form | Matches played | W | D | L | G | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Bayern Munich
|
|
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
|
2
|
Borussia Dortmund
|
|
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
|
3
|
RB Leipzig
|
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
|
4
|
Stuttgart
|
|
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
|
5
|
Hoffenheim
|
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
|
6
|
Bayer 04
|
|
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
|
7
|
Freiburg
|
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
|
8
|
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
|
9
|
Augsburg
|
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
|
10
|
Mainz 05
|
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
|
11
|
Union Berlin
|
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
|
12
|
Borussia M
|
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
|
13
|
Hamburger
|
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
|
14
|
Köln
|
|
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
|
15
|
Werder
|
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
|
16
|
Wolfsburg
|
|
36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46:70 | 31 |
|
17
|
Heidenheim
|
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
|
18
|
St. Pauli
|
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
|
19
|
Paderborn-07
|
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| # | Team | Form | Matches played | W | D | L | G | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Bayern Munich
|
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17:9 | 13 |
|
2
|
Augsburg
|
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 10 |
|
3
|
Hoffenheim
|
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
|
4
|
Borussia Dortmund
|
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 9 |
|
5
|
RB Leipzig
|
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | 9 |
|
6
|
Borussia M
|
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 8 |
|
7
|
Union Berlin
|
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 7 |
|
8
|
Bayer 04
|
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
|
9
|
Heidenheim
|
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
|
10
|
Mainz 05
|
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 7 |
|
11
|
Freiburg
|
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | 7 |
|
12
|
Hamburger
|
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 7 |
|
13
|
Wolfsburg
|
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
|
14
|
Stuttgart
|
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11:11 | 6 |
|
15
|
Werder
|
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
|
16
|
Paderborn-07
|
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
|
17
|
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 2 |
|
18
|
Köln
|
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 2 |
|
19
|
St. Pauli
|
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | Form | Matches played | W | D | L | G | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Bayern Munich
|
|
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 68:19 | 44 |
|
2
|
Borussia Dortmund
|
|
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 40:16 | 41 |
|
3
|
Stuttgart
|
|
17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 30:16 | 39 |
|
4
|
RB Leipzig
|
|
17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 40:20 | 38 |
|
5
|
Hoffenheim
|
|
17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35:21 | 32 |
|
6
|
Freiburg
|
|
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33:22 | 32 |
|
7
|
Bayer 04
|
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38:19 | 31 |
|
8
|
Augsburg
|
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:28 | 26 |
|
9
|
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29:27 | 25 |
|
10
|
Hamburger
|
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 25:22 | 24 |
|
11
|
Borussia M
|
|
17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24:24 | 24 |
|
12
|
Union Berlin
|
|
17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 22 |
|
13
|
Köln
|
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 30:30 | 19 |
|
14
|
Werder
|
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19:31 | 19 |
|
15
|
Mainz 05
|
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | 17 |
|
16
|
Heidenheim
|
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:37 | 17 |
|
17
|
St. Pauli
|
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:31 | 17 |
|
18
|
Wolfsburg
|
|
18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 21:32 | 11 |
|
19
|
Paderborn-07
|
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| # | Team | Form | Matches played | W | D | L | G | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Bayern Munich
|
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 54:17 | 45 |
|
2
|
Borussia Dortmund
|
|
17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30:18 | 32 |
|
3
|
Hoffenheim
|
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30:31 | 29 |
|
4
|
Bayer 04
|
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30:28 | 28 |
|
5
|
RB Leipzig
|
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26:27 | 27 |
|
6
|
Stuttgart
|
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 41:33 | 23 |
|
7
|
Mainz 05
|
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23:28 | 23 |
|
8
|
Wolfsburg
|
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:38 | 20 |
|
9
|
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 32:38 | 19 |
|
10
|
Augsburg
|
|
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20:33 | 17 |
|
11
|
Union Berlin
|
|
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18:32 | 17 |
|
12
|
Freiburg
|
|
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:35 | 15 |
|
13
|
Borussia M
|
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18:29 | 14 |
|
14
|
Hamburger
|
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15:32 | 14 |
|
15
|
Werder
|
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18:29 | 13 |
|
16
|
Köln
|
|
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:33 | 13 |
|
17
|
Heidenheim
|
|
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 18:35 | 9 |
|
18
|
St. Pauli
|
|
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12:29 | 9 |
|
19
|
Paderborn-07
|
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
