Odds overview
Atlético Madrid are favourites: a win for the visitors is available at around 2.10, compared with 3.25 for a Stuttgart win and 3.85 for the draw. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.55 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 at 2.35. The visitors also have the edge on the 0 handicap: Atlético Madrid (0) are offered at 1.60, compared with 2.35 for Stuttgart (0).
Why Atlético Madrid are favourites
The bookmakers favour Atlético Madrid: their win is quoted at 2.10, compared with 3.25 for Stuttgart and 3.85 for the draw.
- Atlético Madrid go into the match on a run of five consecutive wins in all competitions, with strong results behind them ahead of their trip to Germany.
- Stuttgart, meanwhile, sit above Atlético Madrid in the league-phase table and have yet to drop a point in this season's UEFA Champions League.
Form and Line-up Stuttgart
Stuttgart lost to Hamburg in their most recent Bundesliga match, conceding the only goal late on. They attacked throughout, outshot their opponents and won nine corners.
Stuttgart have restricted their opponents' attacks effectively in this season's UEFA Champions League: their opponents average just 2 shots on target per game.
- Stuttgart have had more shots, including blocked shots, than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches.
- There have been over 21.5 fouls in 9 of Stuttgart's last 10 UEFA Champions League matches.
- Stuttgart's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Dennis Seimen, Ramon Hendriks, Josha Vagnoman, Jeff Chabot, Finn Jeltsch, Angelo Stiller, Bilal El Khannouss, Atakan Karazor, Ermedin Demirović, Jamie Leweling, Deniz Undav.
Maximilian Mittelstadt is doubtful because of an injury.
Form and Line-up Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid's matches in this season's UEFA Champions League have seen relatively little attacking activity: the teams combine for 21.5 shots per game, one of the three lowest totals in the competition.
- There have been under 10.5 corners in 8 of Atlético Madrid's last 10 UEFA Champions League matches.
- Atlético Madrid have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in each of their last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
- There have been under 3.5 offsides in 9 of Atlético Madrid's last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Jan Oblak, Marc Pubill, Cristian Romero, David Hancko, Dani Martinez, Pablo Barrios, Morten Hjulmand, Giuliano Simeone, Lee Kang-in, Ademola Lookman, Jonathan David.
Koke and Johnny Cardoso are doubtful and could miss the match.
Each team's chances
An Atlético Madrid win is quoted at 2.10, with fair odds of 2.19 and a probability of 45.6%. For a Stuttgart win, the corresponding figures are 3.25, 3.39 and 29.5%; for the draw, they are 3.85, 4.02 and 24.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart win | 3.25 | 3.39 | 29.5% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.02 | 24.9% |
| Atlético Madrid win | 2.10 | 2.19 | 45.6% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.35. The pattern reverses on the 3.5-goal line: Under 3.5 is 1.62 and Over 3.5 is 2.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Handicap prediction
On the -1.5 handicap line, Atlético Madrid (-1.5) at 3.20 have shorter odds than Stuttgart (-1.5) at 5.60. With a +1.5 handicap, Atlético Madrid (+1.5) are shorter at 1.09 than Stuttgart (+1.5) at 1.30. On the -1 line, Stuttgart (-1) are offered at 4.90 and Atlético Madrid (-1) at 2.70; on the +1 line, Stuttgart (+1) are 1.40 and Atlético Madrid (+1) are 1.12. With a 0 handicap, Atlético Madrid (0) are 1.60 and Stuttgart (0) are 2.35.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.60 | -1.5 | 3.20 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 1.09 |
| 4.90 | -1 | 2.70 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 2.35 | 0 | 1.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is quoted at 1.47, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is 2.55.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.47 |
| No | 2.55 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/10
|
29/100
|
33/100
|
| William Hill |
7/10
|
1/4
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
7/10
|
1/4
|
9/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goal lines: Stuttgart — 1.5 goals; Atlético Madrid — 1.5 goals.
Stuttgart team goals
Stuttgart team goals: Over 0.5 is 1.25, compared with 3.55 for Under 0.5; Over 1 is 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 1. On the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.57 and Over is 2.30; on the 2-goal line, Under is 1.20 and Over is 3.90.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.55 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.35 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.57 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.20 | 2 | 3.90 |
Atlético Madrid team goals
Atlético Madrid team goals: Over 0.5 is 1.12, compared with 5.00 for Under 0.5; Over 1 is 1.25, compared with 3.50 for Under 1. On the 1.5-goal line, Over is 1.77 and Under is 1.97; on the 2-goal line, Under is 1.50 and Over is 2.50.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.00 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.50 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.97 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.50 |
