Odds overview
Atlético Madrid are favourites: an away win is available at around 2.10, compared with 3.25 for a home win and 3.85 for a draw. Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 at 2.35. The visitors also have the edge on the handicap (0) market: Atlético Madrid Draw No Bet is available at 1.60, compared with 2.35 for Stuttgart Draw No Bet.
Why Atlético Madrid are favourites
The bookmakers favour Atlético Madrid: an Atlético win is offered at 2.10, compared with 3.25 for Stuttgart and 3.85 for a draw.
- Atlético Madrid come into the match on a run of five consecutive wins in all competitions, showing strong form ahead of their trip to Germany.
- Stuttgart, however, sit above Atlético Madrid in the league phase table and have yet to drop a point in this season's UEFA Champions League.
Form and Line-up Stuttgart
Stuttgart lost their most recent Bundesliga match to Hamburg, conceding the only goal late on. They attacked throughout, outshot their opponents and won nine corners.
Stuttgart have been particularly effective at limiting opposition attacks in this season's UEFA Champions League: their opponents average just 2 shots on target per match.
- Stuttgart have had more shots, including blocked efforts, than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches.
- There have been over 21.5 fouls in 9 of Stuttgart's last 10 UEFA Champions League matches.
- Stuttgart's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Dennis Seimen, Ramon Hendriks, Josha Vagnoman, Jeff Chabot, Finn Jeltsch, Angelo Stiller, Bilal El Khannouss, Atakan Karazor, Ermedin Demirović, Jamie Leweling, Deniz Undav.
Maximilian Mittelstadt is doubtful because of an injury.
Form and Line-up Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid's matches in this season's UEFA Champions League have seen relatively little attacking activity: the teams have combined for 21.5 shots per match, among the three lowest figures in the competition.
- There have been under 10.5 corners in 8 of Atlético Madrid's last 10 UEFA Champions League matches.
- Atlético Madrid have received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in each of their last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
- There have been under 3.5 offsides in 9 of Atlético Madrid's last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Jan Oblak, Marc Pubill, Cristian Romero, David Hancko, Dani Martinez, Pablo Barrios, Morten Hjulmand, Giuliano Simeone, Lee Kang-in, Ademola Lookman, Jonathan David.
Koke and Johnny Cardoso are doubtful and could miss the match.
The teams' chances
Atlético Madrid to win is available at 2.10, with fair odds of 2.19 and an implied probability of 45.6%. For a Stuttgart win, the corresponding figures are 3.25, 3.39 and 29.5%; for a draw, they are 3.85, 4.02 and 24.9%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart to win | 3.25 | 3.39 | 29.5% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.02 | 24.9% |
| Atlético Madrid to win | 2.10 | 2.19 | 45.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.55 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.35. At the 3.5-goal line, the picture reverses: Under 3.5 is 1.62 and Over 3.5 is 2.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Handicap prediction
At the -1.5 handicap line, Atlético Madrid (-1.5) at 3.20 have shorter odds than Stuttgart (-1.5) at 5.60. At +1.5, Atlético Madrid (+1.5) are shorter at 1.09, compared with 1.30 for Stuttgart (+1.5). At -1, Stuttgart (-1) are 4.90 and Atlético Madrid (-1) are 2.70; at +1, Stuttgart (+1) are 1.40 and Atlético Madrid (+1) are 1.12. With a handicap of 0, Atlético Madrid Draw No Bet is 1.60 and Stuttgart Draw No Bet is 2.35.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.60 | -1.5 | 3.20 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 1.09 |
| 4.90 | -1 | 2.70 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 2.35 | 0 | 1.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.47, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is 2.55.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.47 |
| No | 2.55 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
1/4
|
9/25
|
| William Hill |
67/100
|
1/4
|
9/25
|
| 888sport |
67/100
|
1/4
|
9/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goals lines: Stuttgart — 1.5 goals; Atlético Madrid — 1.5 goals.
Stuttgart team goals
Stuttgart team goals: Over 0.5 is 1.25, compared with 3.55 for Under 0.5; Over 1 is 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 1. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is 1.57 and Over is 2.30; at the 2-goal line, Under is 1.20 and Over is 3.90.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.55 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.35 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.57 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.20 | 2 | 3.90 |
Atlético Madrid team goals
Atlético Madrid team goals: Over 0.5 is 1.12, compared with 5.00 for Under 0.5; Over 1 is 1.25, compared with 3.50 for Under 1. At the 1.5-goal line, Over is 1.77 and Under is 1.97; at the 2-goal line, Under is 1.50 and Over is 2.50.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.00 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.50 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.97 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Serdar Gözübüyük (Netherlands)
Matches — 5 (International matches, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.4;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 5;
Matches with a penalty — 1 of 5.
