The Matchday 24 Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg will take place on 1 March at the MHP Arena. Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Stuttgart
Last round’s match against Heidenheim fully exposed the difficulties Sebastian Hoeness’s club have been forced to contend with in this period of the season. Stuttgart were only able to snatch a draw (3:3) late on, equalising in the 88th minute. At present, Stuttgart sit fourth in the standings on 43 points. However, the team’s seemingly comfortable position is deceptive: the gap to the nearest chaser is only two points, meaning every subsequent game takes on particular importance. From 23 matches, the team have recorded 13 wins (4 draws, 6 defeats), and in those games Stuttgart have scored 44 goals (an average of 1.86 goals per game by the xG rating) and conceded 32.
In 6 of the team’s last 8 league matches, at least 3 goals have been scored.
The club are unbeaten in their last 5 home Bundesliga matches (3 wins, 2 draws).
Stuttgart have found the net in 8 consecutive matches in this competition.
Potential Stuttgart Lineup (4-3-3)*
Alexander Nubel – Julian Chabot, Finn Jeltsch, Maximilian Mittelstadt, Lorenz Assignon – Chema Andres, Atakan Karazor, Jamie Leweling – Chris Fuhrich, Deniz Undav, Ermedin Demirovic.
Defenders Luca-Jannis Kilian, Timo Hubers, Dan-Axel Zagadou and Luca Jaquez will miss out through injury.
Wolfsburg
In the previous round, the club lost to Augsburg (2:3) despite leading right up until the 87th minute. With the side sitting in a dangerous position and balancing between the relegation zone and the chance to preserve their Bundesliga status, dropping matches like that—especially in the closing minutes—is extremely painful. Wolfsburg are winless in 6 Bundesliga games (2 draws, 4 defeats), and as a result the gap to the relegation zone has shrunk to the bare minimum. After 23 matchdays, the team are 15th in the league on 20 points. Although the club are among the three worst defensive sides in the league (49 conceded), they are producing a decent attacking output: 33 goals scored, or 1.3 xG per game on average.
In 14 of Wolfsburg’s last 15 Bundesliga matches, both teams have scored.
Across the team’s last 7 away league games, they have managed just one win (2 draws, 4 defeats).
At least 3 goals have been scored in 9 of the club’s last 11 matches in this competition.
Potential Wolfsburg Lineup (4-3-3)*
Kamil Grabara – Jannel Belocian, Denis Vavro, Moritz Jenz, Sael Kumbedi – Adam Daghim, Christian Eriksen, Lovro Majer – Kento Shiogai, Maximilian Arnold, Mohamed Amoura.
Defenders Joakim Maehle and Rogerio, midfielder Bence Dardai, as well as forward Jonas Wind are unavailable due to injury.
Referee
Patrick Ittrich (Germany)
Matches – 6 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 19;
Yellow cards per match – 3.2;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match – 17;
Penalties – 17%.
Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg: Match Prediction
The outcome of Stuttgart’s latest match clearly highlights the problems in the team’s defensive line. An opponent whose attacking numbers prior to that game looked very modest (just 19 goals scored all season, with a maximum of 2 goals in any match) managed to hit the net three times against Sebastian Hoeness’s side. That is concerning in the context of the broader picture, even taking into account an average of 1.35 goals conceded per match.
Wolfsburg’s situation looks slightly worse: as things stand, the team are among the most porous in the league, allowing an average of 2.1 goals per match. That clearly points to systemic issues at the back, particularly against opponents of a similar level. At the same time, the club’s attacking play looks very solid. Wolfsburg have shown impressive attacking momentum this season: 33 goals in 23 games—one of the two best records among teams in the bottom half of the table.
Given the current form of both teams, we can confidently predict a high likelihood of open football in their head-to-head, with plenty of chances. The systemic defensive problems Stuttgart and Wolfsburg are dealing with suggest we will see at least one goal from each side.
Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their most recent match in this competition.
