Odds overview
Brentford are favourites to win at 1.97, while a Sunderland win and a draw are both available at 3.70. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 is shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.03. For a handicap of 0, Brentford (0) at 1.47 are clear favourites over Sunderland (0) at 2.65.
Why Brentford are match favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors: Brentford are available to win at 1.97, while a Sunderland win and a draw both carry odds of 3.70.
• Brentford have lost just 1 of their 10 matches in all competitions in 2026/27.
• Sunderland are bottom of the Premier League with five points after eight matches.
Form and Line-up Sunderland
Sunderland are struggling in the Premier League: they have won just once in eight matches and sit last in 20th place. Those three points came back in their second match, at home to Fulham, who had also started poorly (1:0). In the previous round of the EFL Cup, Régis Le Bris's side beat Hull City (1:0) at the Stadium of Light. It seems they need to avoid conceding to win, and they rarely manage that.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 8 of Sunderland's last 10 EFL Cup matches.
- The total number of shots did not exceed 26 in 9 of Sunderland's last 10 EFL Cup matches.
- More than 21.5 fouls were committed in 8 of Sunderland's last 10 EFL Cup matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Robin Roefs, Trai Hume, Nordi Mukiele, Luke O'Nien, Reinildo Mandava, Granit Xhaka, Noah Sadiki, Nilson Angulo, Chris Rigg, Enzo Le Fée, Brian Brobbey
Absentees: Romaine Mundle (injury), Nordi Mukiele, Thomas Meunier, Wilson Isidor (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Brentford
Brentford could only draw away to Premier League newcomers Hull City (1:1) in their latest league match. Keith Andrews's side have gone three league matches without a win, but he is likely to rotate the squad, and reserves eager for regular playing time could secure the result they need. In the previous round of the EFL Cup, the Bees beat EFL League One side Reading (2:1) away from home.
- The two teams combined for fewer than 26.5 shots in 8 of Brentford's last 10 away EFL Cup matches.
- Brentford's opponents scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away EFL Cup matches.
- Fewer than 21.5 fouls were committed in 8 of Brentford's last 10 away EFL Cup matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher, Michael Kayode, Sepp van den Berg, Kristoffer Ajer, Keane Lewis-Potter, Mamadou Sangaré, Aaron Hickey, Mathias Jensen, Dango Ouattara, Igor Thiago, Kevin Schade
Absentees: Yegor Yarmolyuk (suspension), Antoni Milambo, Kaye Furo (injuries)
The teams' chances
A Sunderland win and a draw each have average odds of 3.70, fair odds of 3.88 and a probability of 25.8%. A Brentford win has average odds of 1.97, fair odds of 2.06 and a probability of 48.4%, making Brentford the favourites.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland win | 3.70 | 3.88 | 25.8% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.88 | 25.8% |
| Brentford win | 1.97 | 2.06 | 48.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.80 is favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.03. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.40 is favoured over Over 3.5 at 2.80.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.03 | 1.80 |
| 3.5 | 1.40 | 2.80 |
Handicap prediction
Brentford (-1.5) at 3.35 are shorter than Sunderland (-1.5) at 6.70. At the 1.5-goal line, Brentford (+1.5) at 1.06 are favoured over Sunderland (+1.5) at 1.28; at the 1-goal line, Brentford (+1) are 1.08 against Sunderland (+1) at 1.42. With a handicap of 0, Brentford (0) at 1.47 are shorter than Sunderland (0) at 2.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.70 | -1.5 | 3.35 |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| 5.90 | -1 | 2.65 |
| 1.42 | 1 | 1.08 |
| 2.65 | 0 | 1.47 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.68 is shorter than Both teams to score — No at 2.12, meaning the market considers goals from both sides more likely than a match in which at least one fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.68 |
| No | 2.12 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
4/5
|
29/100
|
29/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team total goals lines for this match: Sunderland — 1 goal; Brentford — 1.5 goals.
Sunderland team total goals
For Sunderland's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.40 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.75. At the 1-goal line, the odds are almost equal: Over 1 at 1.85 and Under 1 at 1.90. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.40 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.90 | 1 | 1.85 |
| 1.40 | 1.5 | 2.75 |
Brentford team total goals
For Brentford's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.15 is much shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.40, while Over 1 at 1.30 is shorter than Under 1 at 3.15. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1.5 at 1.83 and Over 1.5 at 1.92. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.38 is favoured over Over 2 at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.40 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.15 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.83 | 1.5 | 1.92 |
| 1.38 | 2 | 2.80 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Gavin Ward (England)
Matches — 8 (EFL Championship and English cup competitions, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.3;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 8;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 8.
