Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Elversberg are slight favourites: they are 2.50 to win, compared with 2.65 for Augsburg, while the draw is 3.80. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.45, while Under 2.5 goals is 2.65. In the main handicap market, Elversberg (0) at 1.85 have slightly shorter odds than Augsburg (0) at 1.95.
Why Elversberg are favourites
Bookmakers make the hosts slight favourites: an Elversberg win is offered at 2.50, the draw at 3.80 and an Augsburg win at 2.65.
- The teams are close in the table: Augsburg have taken 8 points from five rounds and sit sixth, while Elversberg are ninth with 7 points.
- The visitors' defensive problems offer opportunities for the hosts in attack: Augsburg rank first in the league for chances conceded, allowing opponents to generate an average of 2.93 xG per match.
Form and Line-up Elversberg
In the previous Bundesliga round, Elversberg lost 0:1 away to Union Berlin, conceding the decisive goal in the 81st minute. Head coach Vincent Wagner rotated his side for that match, changing three positions in the starting line-up and giving Luca Sirch, Tom Zimmerschied and Noel Futkeu their first league starts.
Across their first five matches of the season, the team have maintained a balance between attack and defence: Elversberg score an average of 1.6 goals per game and concede exactly as many.
- Elversberg's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Elversberg were not beaten on offsides in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Elversberg committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Elversberg line-up (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Kristof, Luca Sirch, Lukas Pinckert, Maximilian Rohr, Lasse Günther, Felix Keidel, Łukasz Poręba, Lukas Petkov, Noah Darvich, Tom Zimmerschied, Noel Futkeu
Form and Line-up Augsburg
Augsburg go into this round after a 2:2 home draw with Bayern Munich.
The team have played open football at the start of the league season: across the first five rounds, Augsburg have averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
- There were Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Augsburg's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- There were more than 8.5 corners in 9 of Augsburg's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- The two teams combined for more than 26.5 attempted shots in each of Augsburg's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Augsburg line-up (4-2-3-1): Finn Dahmen, Calvin Brackelmann, Han-Noah Massengo, Chrislain Matsima, Young-woo Seol, Rodrigo Ribeiro, Hennes Behrens, Robin Fellhauer, Arijon Ibrahimovic, Fabian Rieder, Juma Bah
The teams' chances
Elversberg to win is available at 2.50; the fair odds are 2.60, with a probability of 38.4%. The draw is 3.80, with fair odds of 3.95 and a probability of 25.3%. Augsburg to win is quoted at 2.65, with fair odds of 2.76 and a probability of 36.3%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg to win | 2.50 | 2.60 | 38.4% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.95 | 25.3% |
| Augsburg to win | 2.65 | 2.76 | 36.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.45 is clearly favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.65. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 has the edge — 1.75 against 2.08 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.65 | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.08 |
Handicap prediction
Elversberg (-1.5) and Augsburg (-1.5) are both offered at 4.15. At the +1.5 handicap line, Elversberg (+1.5) are 1.18 and Augsburg (+1.5) are 1.20. At the -1 line, Elversberg (-1) are quoted at 3.45 against 3.60 for Augsburg (-1); at the +1 line, the respective odds are 1.25 and 1.27. For a handicap of 0, Elversberg (0) at 1.85 have shorter odds than Augsburg (0) at 1.95.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | -1.5 | 4.15 |
| 1.18 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.45 | -1 | 3.60 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.85 | 0 | 1.95 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.42 and looks considerably more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.65, which means at least one team would fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.42 |
| No | 2.65 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/2
|
1/4
|
1/2
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
1/4
|
53/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Elversberg — 1.5 goals; Augsburg — 1.5 goals.
Elversberg team total goals
For Elversberg's team total, Under 0.5 is 4.20 and Over 0.5 is 1.17; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 3.10 and 1.32. At 1.5 goals, the odds are close: Under is 1.85 and Over is 1.90. At the 2-goal line, Under is quoted at 1.40 against 2.70 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.10 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.70 |
Augsburg team total goals
For Augsburg's team total, Under 0.5 is available at 4.30 and Over 0.5 at 1.20; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 2.75 and 1.40. Under 1.5 is 1.77 and Over 1.5 is 2.00. At the 2-goal line, Under is 1.37, while Over is 2.85.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.75 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.77 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| 1.37 | 2 | 2.85 |
