Odds overview
Elversberg are slight favourites in the 1X2 market: a home win is available at 2.50, compared with 2.65 for an away win, while the draw is 3.80. Over 2.5 goals is offered at 1.45, while Under 2.5 goals is 2.65. In the main handicap market, Elversberg Draw No Bet at 1.85 has slightly shorter odds than Augsburg Draw No Bet at 1.95.
Why Elversberg are favourites
The bookmakers make the hosts slight favourites: an Elversberg win is offered at 2.50, the draw at 3.80 and an Augsburg win at 2.65.
- The teams are close in the table: Augsburg have taken 8 points from five matches and sit 6th, while Elversberg are 9th with 7 points.
- The visitors' defensive problems offer opportunities for the hosts to attack: Augsburg rank 1st in the league for chances conceded, allowing opponents to generate an average of 2.93 xG per match.
Form and Line-up Elversberg
In the previous Bundesliga round, Elversberg lost 0:1 away to Union Berlin, conceding the decisive goal in the 81st minute. Head coach Vincent Wagner rotated his side for that match, changing the starting line-up in three positions and giving Luca Sirch, Tom Zimmerschied and Noel Futkeu their first league starts of the season.
Across their first five matches of the season, Elversberg have maintained a balance between attack and defence, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game and conceding exactly the same number.
- Elversberg's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of the club's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Elversberg have not lost the offside count in 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- Elversberg have committed fewer than 12.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Kristof, Luca Sirch, Lukas Pinckert, Maximilian Rohr, Lasse Günther, Felix Keidel, Łukasz Poręba, Lukas Petkov, Noah Darvich, Tom Zimmerschied, Noel Futkeu
Form and Line-up Augsburg
Augsburg go into this round after a 2:2 home draw with Bayern Munich.
Augsburg have played open football at the start of the league season: over the first five rounds, they have scored an average of 2.6 goals per match and conceded 1.6.
- There have been over 2.5 goals in 9 of Augsburg's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- There have been over 8.5 corners in 9 of Augsburg's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- The two teams have made over 26.5 shot attempts combined in each of Augsburg's last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Finn Dahmen, Calvin Brackelmann, Han-Noah Massengo, Chrislain Matsima, Young-woo Seol, Rodrigo Ribeiro, Hennes Behrens, Robin Fellhauer, Arijon Ibrahimović, Fabian Rieder, Juma Bah
Teams' chances
An Elversberg win is available at 2.50, with fair odds of 2.60 and a probability of 38.4%. The draw is 3.80, with fair odds of 3.95 and a probability of 25.3%. An Augsburg win is quoted at 2.65, with fair odds of 2.76 and a probability of 36.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg win | 2.50 | 2.60 | 38.4% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.95 | 25.3% |
| Augsburg win | 2.65 | 2.76 | 36.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over is strongly favoured at 1.45 against 2.65 for Under. At the 3.5-goal line, Under has the edge at 1.75 against 2.08 for Over.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.65 | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.08 |
Handicap prediction
Elversberg (-1.5) and Augsburg (-1.5) are both offered at 4.15. At the +1.5 line, Elversberg (+1.5) are 1.18 and Augsburg (+1.5) are 1.20. At the -1 line, Elversberg (-1) are quoted at 3.45 against 3.60 for Augsburg (-1), while at the +1 line the respective odds are 1.25 and 1.27. At handicap (0), Elversberg Draw No Bet at 1.85 has shorter odds than Augsburg Draw No Bet at 1.95.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | -1.5 | 4.15 |
| 1.18 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.45 | -1 | 3.60 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.85 | 0 | 1.95 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.42 and looks considerably more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.65, which means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.42 |
| No | 2.65 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Elversberg — 1.5 goals; Augsburg — 1.5 goals.
Elversberg team total goals
Elversberg team total goals: Under 0.5 is 4.20 and Over 0.5 is 1.17; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 3.10 and 1.32. At 1.5 goals, the odds are close: Under is 1.85 and Over is 1.90. At the 2-goal line, Under is quoted at 1.40 against 2.70 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
| 3.10 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.70 |
Augsburg team total goals
Augsburg team total goals: Under 0.5 is offered at 4.30 and Over 0.5 at 1.20; at the 1-goal line, the respective odds are 2.75 and 1.40. Under 1.5 is 1.77 and Over 1.5 is 2.00. At the 2-goal line, Under is 1.37 while Over is 2.85.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.75 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.77 | 1.5 | 2.00 |
| 1.37 | 2 | 2.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Florian Exner (Germany)
Matches — 14 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.3;
Matches with a red card — 2 out of 14;
Matches with a penalty — 6 out of 14.
