Switzerland
Switzerland will host Slovenia in Matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League on 3 October 2026. The match will take place in Lucerne.
We will examine the bookmakers' odds and betting markets and compare the odds for the main outcomes to identify the most appealing bet.
Slovenia's matches rarely turn into goal fests: the team are accustomed to defending patiently and stifling their opponents. Under 2.5 goals has landed in eight of their last ten matches across all competitions.
Slovenia know how to keep games tight at the back, but they do not rush things in attack either: they have scored fewer than two goals in eight of their last ten matches. The visitors also head to Luzern with attacking absences. Andraž Šporar, Benjamin Verbič and Benjamin Sesko will miss the match through injury, leaving them with fewer options to strengthen their attack.
I expect Switzerland to take the initiative and enjoy a territorial advantage. In eight of their last ten matches, the two teams have scored no more than three goals between them in regulation time. But that is not enough for our bet: even if the visitors fail to score, the hosts must not score three.
The main risk to the bet is the hosts' scoring, especially if an early goal opens up the match. Over 1.5 goals has landed in nine of Switzerland's previous ten matches in regulation time, and they beat North Macedonia and Scotland by the same 3:0 scoreline in the opening two rounds of the UEFA Nations League.
Slovenia's compact defence and the visitors' attacking absences are the main arguments for a low-scoring match. The bet rests on Slovenia containing the hosts' pressure and keeping the game tight. Our prediction is therefore under 2.5 goals.
Ivan Kruzliak (Slovakia)
Matches – 13 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4;
Matches with a red card – 0 of 13;
Matches with a penalty – 6 of 13.
|
Murat Yakin
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
Line-up
|
|||
Gregor Kobel
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
Zachary Athekame
|
df. | 3 | 0 |
Manuel Obafemi Akanji
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Nico Elvedi
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Ricardo Iván Rodríguez Araya
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Ardon Jashari
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Johan Kula Manzambi
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Michel Aebischer
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Remo Freuler
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Dan Assane Ndoye
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Mohamed Zeki Amdouni
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Substitutes
|
|||
Marvin Keller
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
Yvon Landry Mvogo Nganoma
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
Adrian Bajrami
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Eray Ervin Cömert
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Isaac Osas Schmidt
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Sascha Burchert
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Alvyn Sanches
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Fabian Rieder
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Mohameth Djibril Ibrahima Sow
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Vincent Olivier Sierro
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Winsley Boteli
|
fw. | 2 | 0 |
Joël Almada Monteiro
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Bostjan Cesar
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
Line-up
|
|||
Jan Oblak
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
David Zec
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Erik Janža
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Jaka Bijol
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Vanja Drkušić
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Žan Karničnik
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Mark Zabukovnik
|
mf. | 3 | 0 |
Sandi Lovrić
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
|
Aljoša Matko
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Danijel Šturm
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Žan Vipotnik
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Substitutes
|
|||
Igor Vekić
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
Matevž Vidovšek
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
David Brekalo
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Jošt Urbančič
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Jure Balkovec
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Srđan Kuzmić
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
Adam Gnezda Čerin
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Tamar Svetlin
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Timi Elšnik
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Tomi Horvat
|
mf. | 0 | 0 |
Žan Celar
|
fw. | 2 | 0 |
Tjaš Begić
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
Scotland
Switzerland
North Macedonia
Switzerland
Slovenia
North Macedonia
Slovenia
Scotland
Slovenia
Switzerland
Switzerland
Slovenia
Switzerland
Slovenia
Slovenia
Switzerland
Switzerland
Slovenia
Slovenia
Switzerland
| # | Team |
|
|
|
|
Matches played
|
W
|
D
|
L
|
G
|
Points
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
Switzerland
|
2:1 | -:- | 3:0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
11:1
|
12 | |
2 |
Slovenia
|
-:- | 0:0 | 2:0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
5:3
|
7 | |
3 |
Scotland
|
0:3 | 1:2 | -:- | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
3:5
|
4 | |
4 |
North Macedonia
|
0:3 | -:- | 0:2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
0:10
|
0 |
