Europa Conference League

2nd Qualifying Round

Broadcast

Tobol

FINISHED BY PENALTY

30 July, 15:00

FK Panevėžys

5/2

53/10

11/1

Tobol

FK Panevėžys

19:45

France

Italy

2.5

19:45

Belgium

Turkey

2.5

19:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Sweden

2.5

15:00

Kazakhstan

Moldova

2.5

17:00

Latvia

Montenegro

2.5

Show all

Match stats

Tobol

FK Panevėžys Logo FK Panevėžys

56 Ball possession (%) 44

17 Goal attempts 7

3 Shots on Goal 3

14 Shots off Goal 4

5 Blocked shots 1

7 Corner Kicks 6

0 Goalkeeper Saves 0

6 Offsides 5

13 Fouls 19

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

0 Total Passes 0

0 Completed Passes 0

0 Passes accuracy (%) 0

Tobol vs FK Panevėžys: prediction & betting odds 30 July 2026

Published: 28 July 2026 22:03

Tobol will host Panevezys at Kostanay Central Stadium in Kostanay in the second leg of the second qualifying round of the UEFA Conference League on 30 July 2026 at 15:00 BST.

Tobol had the upper hand in the first meeting in Lithuania but could not win (1:1). That wastefulness could cost them.

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Betting Tip

The draw in the first game was priced at 3.50, but Panevezys got it all the same. If the match had stopped in the 80th minute, the hosts would actually have won. So average odds of 1.26 on a Tobol win are still no guarantee that it will happen.

Tobol essentially let victory slip in the first game. It was not only the 17 shots, six of them on target, and their assured possession, but the fact that before the 84th-minute goal from a free-kick routine, Askhat Tagybergen missed a penalty in the 60th minute after a foul on Islam Chesnokov. In open play, the Kostanay side did not create chances that were quite as dangerous, although they had plenty of shots. They will again be hoping for Chesnokov, who still has not scored since returning but is proving useful, as he did against Panevezys. It is hardly his fault that his team-mate failed to score.

Despite the draw in the first game, there is virtually no belief that Panevezys will go through. At some bookmakers, the odds on that have gone above 6.0. Are they really that poor away from home? In previous seasons there have been heavy defeats in European competition, such as against Maccabi Tel Aviv in the 2024/25 Europa League, but for the most part at least the handicap (+1.5) has landed — in five of the other seven matches in the 2020s. The Lithuanian side scored their goal very neatly: not only did goalscorer Seydina Keita react superbly from the corner, but Nauris Petkevicius' backheel pass before that was worth plenty too. The visitors will have chances, at least on the counter — they use the pace of their African imports.

In five July matches, Tobol's players have scored more than one goal in a match only once, so it is possible to hope that this will be a convincing handicap win, but in practice that is hard to achieve. Panevezys' plus handicap is a much better fit here, as they will scrap for a place in the next round.

Betting prediction

Panevezys (+1.5)

Odds

19/20

Who Will Referee the Match

Denys Shurman (Ukraine)

Matches: 6 (international matches, 2024-2026);

Average fouls per match: 21;

Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows): 4.3;

Matches with red cards: 1 of 6;

Matches with penalties: 1 of 6.

Tobol

Miroslav Romashchenko	coach
Player		Matches	Goals
Line-up
Danil Ustimenko	gk.	0	0
Antonio Boršić	df.	0	0
Pape-Alioune N'Diaye	df.	0	0
Rayan Senhadji	df.	0	0
Alexander Zuev	mf.	0	0
Ashat Tagybergen	mf.	0	0
Islam Chesnokov	mf.	0	0
Maksim Myakish	mf.	0	0
Mohamed Amine Talal	mf.	0	0
Nauryzbek Zhagorov	mf.	0	0
Uroš Milovanović	fw.	0	0
Substitutes
Sultan Busurmanov	gk.	0	0
Yuriy Melikhov	gk.	0	0
Abdoulaye Cissé	df.	0	0
Alexander Marochkin	df.	0	0
Nemanja Cavnic	df.	0	0
Roman Asrankulov	df.	0	0
Azamat Zinadin	mf.	0	0
Dauren Zhumat	mf.	0	0
Emin Musaev	mf.	0	0
Luis Alejandro Guerra Romero	mf.	0	0
Sultan Bakhytkiriev	mf.	0	0

FK Panevėžys

Toni Korkeakunnas	coach
Player		Matches	Goals
Line-up
Vytautas Gediminas Černiauskas	gk.	0	0
Dovydas Balsys	df.	0	0
Seydina Abou Bakr Lamine Keita	df.	0	0
Strahinja Kerkez	df.	0	0
Ernestas Burdzilauskas	mf.	0	0
Isaac Asante	mf.	0	0
Matas Ramanauskas	mf.	0	0
Parfait Bizoza	mf.	0	0
Kwadwo Asamoah	fw.	0	0
Nauris Petkevičius	fw.	0	0
Valdas Paulauskas	fw.	0	0
Substitutes
Liudvikas Valius		0	0
Arijus Bražinskas	gk.	0	0
Joël Fey d'Or Bopesu	df.	0	0
Justinas Januševskij	df.	0	0
Miano Danilo van den Bos	df.	0	0
Rayen Mzoughi	df.	0	0
Rokas Rasimavičius	df.	0	0
Elivelto Ribeiro Dantas	mf.	0	0
Oleksandr Kurtsev	mf.	0	0
Salomon Kouadio	mf.	0	0
Marko Bačanin	fw.	0	0

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Tables

Tournament Home Away

#	Team	G
1	Aarhus	0:0
2	Ajax	0:0
3	Atalanta	0:0
4	Borac Banja Luka	0:0
5	Sporting Braga	0:0
6	Brann	0:0
7	Brighton and Hove Albion	0:0
8	Copenhagen	0:0
9	Crvena Zvezda	0:0
10	CSKA Sofia	0:0
11	Egnatia Rrogozhine	0:0
12	Freiburg	0:0
13	Gent	0:0
14	Getafe	0:0
15	Hajduk Split	0:0
16	Hearts	0:0
17	Iberia 1999	0:0
18	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0:0
19	Jablonec	0:0
20	Kairat	0:0
21	FK Kauno Zalgiris	0:0
22	KuPS	0:0
23	Lincoln Red Imps	0:0
24	Lugano	0:0
25	Midtjylland	0:0
26	Mjällby	0:0
27	Monaco	0:0
28	Nordsjælland	0:0
29	Pafos	0:0
30	Panathinaikos	0:0
31	FC Riga	0:0
32	Sint-Truidense	0:0
33	FC Thun	0:0
34	Trabzonspor	0:0
35	Twente	0:0
36	Universitatea	0:0

#	Team	G
1	Aarhus	0:0
2	Ajax	0:0
3	Atalanta	0:0
4	Borac Banja Luka	0:0
5	Sporting Braga	0:0
6	Brann	0:0
7	Brighton and Hove Albion	0:0
8	Copenhagen	0:0
9	Crvena Zvezda	0:0
10	CSKA Sofia	0:0
11	Egnatia Rrogozhine	0:0
12	Freiburg	0:0
13	Gent	0:0
14	Getafe	0:0
15	Hajduk Split	0:0
16	Hearts	0:0
17	Iberia 1999	0:0
18	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0:0
19	Jablonec	0:0
20	Kairat	0:0
21	FK Kauno Zalgiris	0:0
22	KuPS	0:0
23	Lincoln Red Imps	0:0
24	Lugano	0:0
25	Midtjylland	0:0
26	Mjällby	0:0
27	Monaco	0:0
28	Nordsjælland	0:0
29	Pafos	0:0
30	Panathinaikos	0:0
31	FC Riga	0:0
32	Sint-Truidense	0:0
33	FC Thun	0:0
34	Trabzonspor	0:0
35	Twente	0:0
36	Universitatea	0:0

#	Team	G
1	Aarhus	0:0
2	Ajax	0:0
3	Atalanta	0:0
4	Borac Banja Luka	0:0
5	Sporting Braga	0:0
6	Brann	0:0
7	Brighton and Hove Albion	0:0
8	Copenhagen	0:0
9	Crvena Zvezda	0:0
10	CSKA Sofia	0:0
11	Egnatia Rrogozhine	0:0
12	Freiburg	0:0
13	Gent	0:0
14	Getafe	0:0
15	Hajduk Split	0:0
16	Hearts	0:0
17	Iberia 1999	0:0
18	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0:0
19	Jablonec	0:0
20	Kairat	0:0
21	FK Kauno Zalgiris	0:0
22	KuPS	0:0
23	Lincoln Red Imps	0:0
24	Lugano	0:0
25	Midtjylland	0:0
26	Mjällby	0:0
27	Monaco	0:0
28	Nordsjælland	0:0
29	Pafos	0:0
30	Panathinaikos	0:0
31	FC Riga	0:0
32	Sint-Truidense	0:0
33	FC Thun	0:0
34	Trabzonspor	0:0
35	Twente	0:0
36	Universitatea	0:0