Why Partizan are favourites for the match
Form. Four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last six matches, in which they averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game.
Away resilience. They have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight away matches.
Aggregate advantage. The 3:0 first-leg lead allows them even to play on the back foot.
Tobol's problems in European competition. Eight defeats in their last 12 European matches, including four by a margin of 2+ goals.
Difference in class. The Serbian giants have more European experience and a higher calibre of players.
Form and Line-up Tobol
Tobol lost the first match (0:3), trailing their opponents in every key metric: five shots to 20, 45% possession and only four corners. In their last six matches in all competitions, Romashchenko's team have managed just one win, with three draws and two defeats.
In the UEFA Conference League, Tobol got past Lithuania's Panevezys only on penalties after two 1:1 draws. In the Kazakhstan Premier League, things are going badly for the Kostanay side — they have slipped to 11th place with 22 points, losing 10 of 20 rounds.
Tobol's key numbers:
No more than 3 goals were scored in 5 of their last 6 matches.
They conceded first in 4 of their previous 5 matches.
There have been under 10 corners in 5 consecutive games.
Probable Tobol line-up (4-2-3-1): Danil Ustimenko — Nauryzbek Zhagorov, Rayan Senhadji, Pape-Alioune Ndiaye, Antonio Borsic — Askhat Tagybergen, Abdoulaye Cisse — Islam Chesnokov, Amine Talal, Alexander Zuev — Uros Milovanovic.
Absentees: —.
Form and Line-up Partizan
Partizan won the first match convincingly, 3:0, dominating every statistical category (20 shots, seven on target, 55% possession). In their last six matches in all competitions, the team have recorded four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game.
In the current UEFA Conference League campaign, the Belgrade side got past Strassen (4:0, 1:0), allowing the Luxembourg team just one shot on target across the two matches. The Serbian SuperLiga has not started in the best way for Partizan — a win, a draw and a defeat with an overall goal difference of 6:5, leaving them predictably eighth with four points.
Partizan's key numbers:
They have avoided defeat in 13 of their last 15 matches in all competitions.
They have not conceded a single goal in 3 UEFA Conference League matches.
They scored first in 7 of their previous 8 matches.
Probable Partizan line-up (4-2-3-1): Milos Krunic — Milan Roganovic, Nikola Simic, Stefan Mitrovic, Vukasin Djurdjevic — Milan Aleksic, Milan Vukotic — Demba Seck, Bogdan Kostic, Ibrahim Zubairu — Erik Kojzek.
Absentees: —.
Who Will Referee the Match
Daniele Chiffi (Italy)
Matches – 6 (international fixtures, 2024–2026);
Average fouls per match – 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4.3;
Matches with red cards – 1 of 6;
Matches with penalties – 1 of 6.
