Odds overview
Tottenham are slight favourites: a home win is available at 2.03, while the draw and an Everton win are quoted at 3.65 and 3.60 respectively. The main 2.5-goal total is evenly priced — Under 2.5 and Over 2.5 are both at 1.90. Tottenham Draw No Bet at 1.50 is notably more favoured than Everton Draw No Bet at 2.60.
Why Tottenham are favourites
Bookmakers offer 2.03 on a Tottenham win, giving them a 47.2% chance without margin, while an Everton win is at 3.60 (26.6%) and the draw at 3.65 (26.2%).
- Tottenham remain favourites thanks to their structured work without the ball: in 9 of their last 10 league matches, the London side have restricted opponents to no more than 13.5 shots, including blocked efforts.
- Everton are rated lower because of their longer-term results: the visitors have failed to win 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches.
Form and Line-up Tottenham
Tottenham's start to the Premier League season has been subdued in attack: with no goals scored, they are level at the bottom of the league. As a result, Spurs are only 17th in the table. At home, however, the London side have followed a consistent pattern — in each of their last 10 home Premier League matches, they have committed at least 12 fouls and been caught offside no more than twice.
Key numbers:
- Tottenham have taken and conceded at least 10 corners in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches.
- No more than 10 shots on target have been allowed in 9 of Tottenham's last 10 home Premier League matches.
- Tottenham have received at least two yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 home Premier League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Antonin Kinsky – Pedro Porro, Micky van de Ven, Jan Paul van Hecke, Destiny Udogie – Rodrigo Bentancur – Conor Gallagher, Mathys Tel, Savio – Omar Marmoush
Absentees: James Maddison (doubtful), Dejan Kulusevski, Wilson Odobert, Xavi Simons (injured)
Form and Line-up Everton
Everton have started the season with more substance in the final third: against Manchester United (2:2), they outperformed their opponents on chance quality (1.06 to 0.87 xG). The Liverpool side are now third for shots on target (6.0 per game on average), while away from home they regularly make opponents play cautiously — in 9 of their last 10 away Premier League matches, opponents have been caught offside no more than twice.
Key numbers:
- Everton's opponents have taken at least five corners in 8 of their last 10 away Premier League matches.
- Everton have committed at least 11 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away Premier League matches.
- Everton have received at least two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away Premier League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford – Merlin Rohl, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitaliy Mykolenko – Harrison Armstrong, Ainsley Maitland-Niles – Brennan Johnson, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Tyrique George – Thierno Barry
Absentees: Christian Norgaard (injured), James Garner (doubtful)
Team chances
A Tottenham win is available at 2.03; the fair odds are 2.12 and the probability is 47.2%. The draw at 3.65 corresponds to fair odds of 3.81 and a 26.2% probability, while an Everton win at 3.60 corresponds to 3.76 and 26.6%: the visitors' and draw chances are close.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
Tottenham win | 2.03 | 2.12 | 47.2% |
Draw | 3.65 | 3.81 | 26.2% |
Everton win | 3.60 | 3.76 | 26.6% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 and Over 2.5 are both offered at 1.90, indicating an even balance. At the 3.5 line, Under 3.5 at 1.32 is considerably more likely than Over 3.5 at 3.10.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
3.5 | 1.32 | 3.10 |
Handicap prediction
Tottenham (-1.5) at 3.60 is considered less likely than Everton (-1.5) at 6.60. At the 1.5 handicap, Tottenham (+1.5) are available at 1.06 versus 1.25 for Everton (+1.5). Tottenham (-1) at 2.85 are more favoured than Everton (-1) at 5.90, while at the 1 line, Tottenham (+1) are at 1.08 versus Everton (+1) at 1.37. In the zero handicap, Tottenham Draw No Bet at 1.50 is notably shorter than Everton Draw No Bet at 2.60.
Home | Handicap | Away |
3.60 | -1.5 | 6.60 |
1.06 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
2.85 | -1 | 5.90 |
1.08 | 1 | 1.37 |
1.50 | 0 | 2.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.75 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.00, so the market slightly expects both sides to score. The latter option means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.75 |
No | 2.00 |
Double chance prediction
The shortest odds are for 12 at 1.30, followed by 1X at 1.32. X2 at 1.80 is rated considerably less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
8/25
|
3/10
|
4/5
|
Team total prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Tottenham — 1.5 goals, Everton — 1 goal.
Tottenham team total
Tottenham team total: Under 0.5 at 4.20 is considerably longer than Over 0.5 at 1.20. At the 1 line, Under 1 is at 2.80 and Over 1 at 1.40; at 1.5, Under 1.5 at 1.72 is slightly more favoured than Over 1.5 at 2.05. For the 2 line, Under 2 is quoted at 1.30 and Over 2 at 3.20.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.20 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.80 | 1 | 1.40 |
1.72 | 1.5 | 2.05 |
1.30 | 2 | 3.20 |
Everton team total
Everton team total: Under 0.5 at 2.65 is longer than Over 0.5 at 1.42. At the 1 line, Under 1 at 1.80 is slightly shorter than Over 1 at 1.95, while at 1.5, Under 1.5 at 1.35 is notably more favoured than Over 1.5 at 2.95.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Darren England (England)
Matches – 2 (Premier League, 2026/27 season)
Average fouls per match – 19
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5
