Odds overview
Trabzonspor have a slight edge in the 1X2 market: a home win is around 2.50, compared with 2.65 for an away win, while the draw is 3.70. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.53 and Under 2.5 at 2.40, suggesting expectations of a high-scoring match. In the handicap markets, Trabzonspor (-1.5) and Freiburg (-1.5) have almost identical odds of 4.20 and 4.15; at +1.5, Trabzonspor (+1.5) are much shorter at 1.17 and Freiburg (+1.5) at 1.20. Trabzonspor (-1) are offered at 3.45 against 3.65 for Freiburg (-1), while Trabzonspor (+1) and Freiburg (+1) are both 1.25. On the zero handicap, Trabzonspor (0) are slightly favoured at 1.85 compared with 1.95 for Freiburg (0).
Why Trabzonspor are favourites
Trabzonspor are narrow favourites with Fonbet, who offer 2.50 for a win by the Turkish club. Freiburg are available at 2.65 and the draw at 3.70.
- Trabzonspor have consistently avoided defeat, going unbeaten in 8 of their last 10 competitive matches.
- Freiburg have also regularly picked up points, though their run is slightly shorter: the visitors have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 competitive matches.
Form and Line-up Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor come into this match after beating Gaziantep 2:0 at home on 1 November. Earlier, on 26 October, the Turkish club won a high-scoring league match away to Rizespor 4:3.
Mohamed Salah is a prominent figure in the hosts' attack — the forward has scored two goals and provided two assists in two UEFA Conference League matches in the 2026/27 season.
- Trabzonspor have scored at least once in nine of their last ten competitive matches.
- In all ten of Trabzonspor's last ten competitive matches, the two teams have had more than 5.5 shots on target between them.
Probable line-up: André Onana, Wagner Pina, Stefan Savic, Chibuike Nwaiwu, Mustafa Eskihellaç, Fabinho, Melih Kabasakal, Ernest Muci, Noah Saviolo, Mohamed Salah, Paul Onuachu
Franculino Djú, Aral Şimşir, Arseniy Batagov, Ruslan Malinovskyi and Okay Yokuşlu will miss the match through injury.
Form and Line-up Freiburg
Freiburg won 2:1 away to Augsburg on 31 October. Three days earlier, on 28 October, they beat Wolfsburg 3:2 at home.
Freiburg sit 18th in the UEFA Conference League standings, three points off the places that qualify directly for the Round of 16. Visiting midfielder Maximilian Eggestein has scored one goal in two matches in the competition.
- Freiburg have scored at least once in nine of their last ten competitive matches.
- In nine of Freiburg's last ten competitive matches, the two teams have taken more than 19.5 shots between them.
Probable line-up: Mio Backhaus, Lukas Kübler, Matthias Ginter, Christian Günter, Max Rosenfelder, Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Yuito Suzuki, Vincenzo Grifo, Lucas Höler, Cyriaque Kalou Irié
Sidny Lopes Cabral will miss the match through suspension.
Teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Trabzonspor a 38.2% chance of winning, with average odds of 2.50 and fair odds of 2.62. Freiburg have a 36.0% chance, with average odds of 2.65 and fair odds of 2.78, while the draw is rated at 25.8%: average odds are 3.70 and fair odds are 3.88.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor to win | 2.50 | 2.62 | 38.2% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.88 | 25.8% |
| Freiburg to win | 2.65 | 2.78 | 36.0% |
Total goals analysis
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.53 is markedly shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.40. At 3.5 goals, the balance changes: Under 3.5 is 1.63 and Over 3.5 is 2.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 1.63 | 2.25 |
Handicap analysis
At -1.5, Trabzonspor (-1.5) are offered at 4.20 and Freiburg (-1.5) at 4.15. The odds are shorter at +1.5: Trabzonspor (+1.5) are 1.17 and Freiburg (+1.5) are 1.20. Trabzonspor (-1) are 3.45 against 3.65 for Freiburg (-1); Trabzonspor (+1) and Freiburg (+1) are both 1.25. On the zero handicap, Trabzonspor (0) at 1.85 are shorter than Freiburg (0) at 1.95.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | -1.5 | 4.15 |
| 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.45 | -1 | 3.65 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.85 | 0 | 1.95 |
Both teams to score analysis
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.47, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is 2.60.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.47 |
| No | 2.60 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/25
|
29/100
|
53/100
|
| William Hill |
11/25
|
3/10
|
11/25
|
| 888sport |
11/25
|
3/10
|
11/25
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals analysis
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Trabzonspor — 1.5 goals; Freiburg — 1.5 goals.
Trabzonspor team goals
For Trabzonspor, Over 0.5 goals at 1.18 is much shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.10. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.35 against 2.95 for Under 1; at 1.5, the odds are almost level — Under 1.5 is 1.85 and Over 1.5 is 1.90. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is favoured at 1.37, while Over 2 is 2.85.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.37 | 2 | 2.85 |
Freiburg team goals
For Freiburg, Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is much shorter than Under 0.5 at 4.10. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.43 and Under 1 is 2.65; at 1.5, Under 1.5 at 1.75 is favoured over Over 1.5 at 2.02. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.35 and Over 2 is 3.00.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.10 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.43 |
| 1.75 | 1.5 | 2.02 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 3.00 |
