Odds overview
Twente are clear favourites: a Twente win is available at 1.22, while the draw and a Thun win are offered at around 7.10 and 11.50. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.33 is strongly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 3.05. For the handicaps, Twente (-1.5) at 1.57 have shorter odds than Thun (+1.5) at 2.30.
Why Twente are favourites
Bookmakers give the hosts a clear advantage: a Twente win is available at 1.22, compared with 7.10 for a draw and 11.50 for a Thun win.
- The Dutch club dominate in attacking activity: Twente had more shots than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- The Swiss side are vulnerable defensively: their opponents scored against Thun in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Form and Line-up Twente
In their last competitive match, on 10 October, Twente drew 1:1 away to Fortuna Sittard.
Twente have consistently imposed their game in Europe: in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches, they were not outshot and committed more than 11.5 fouls per match.
- Twente had more shots on target than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Twente were caught offside fewer than 1.5 times in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Twente scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Twente line-up (4-2-3-1): Joël Drommel, Bart van Rooij, Robin Propper, Ruud Nijstad, Aske Adelgaard, Ramiz Zerrouki, Daouda Weidmann, Daan Rots, Younes Taha, Marko Pjaca, Wout Weghorst
Form and Line-up Thun
Thun lost 2:4 to Zürich on 10 October after being reduced to 10 players by a sending-off in the 67th minute. Afterwards, head coach Gian-Luca Privitelli stressed that the team's pressing was still not working properly and that problems defending their own penalty area remained unresolved.
Thun are often involved in intense contests away from home: in 8 of their 10 away matches in all competitions, the teams combined for more than 25.5 shots, while the total number of yellow cards did not exceed 5.5 in 9 of those 10 matches.
- Thun scored no more than two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Thun committed more fouls than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
- Thun's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Thun line-up (4-4-2): Niklas Steffen, Fabio Fehr, Nicolas Bürgy, Jan Bamert, Tom Strannegård, Adam Ilić, Nassim Zoukit, Justin Roth, Nico Maier, Furkan Dursun, Simon Lengen
Teams' chances
A Twente win is offered at 1.22, with fair odds of 1.28 and a fair probability of 78.3%. For the draw, the odds are 7.10 and fair odds 7.44, with a 13.4% probability; for a Thun win, they are 11.50 and 12.05, with an 8.3% probability. The market clearly favours Twente.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente win | 1.22 | 1.28 | 78.3% |
| Draw | 7.10 | 7.44 | 13.4% |
| Thun win | 11.50 | 12.05 | 8.3% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.33 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 3.05. At 3.5 goals, the odds are almost level: Over 3.5 goals is 1.85 and Under 3.5 goals is 1.95.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.05 | 1.33 |
| 3.5 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Handicap betting
Twente (-1.5) at 1.57 have shorter odds than Thun (+1.5) at 2.30. Twente's advantage is even more pronounced for Twente (-1) at 1.28 versus Thun (+1) at 3.35, while Twente (0) are offered at 1.05 compared with 7.40 for Thun (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 2.30 | |
| 1.28 | -1 | |
| 1 | 3.35 | |
| 1.05 | 0 | 7.40 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.78 is considered slightly more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.00, which means at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.78 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/50
|
1/10
|
333/100
|
| William Hill |
1/25
|
1/10
|
18/5
|
| 888sport |
1/25
|
1/10
|
18/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: 2.5 goals for Twente and 0.5 goals for Thun.
Twente team goals
For Twente team goals, Over 2 is considerably shorter at 1.33 than Under 2 at 3.05; at the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 is 1.70 compared with 2.07 for Under 2.5. At the 3-goal line, Under 3 at 1.65 is favoured over Over 3 at 2.15.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.05 | 2 | 1.33 |
| 2.07 | 2.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.65 | 3 | 2.15 |
Thun team goals
For Thun team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.72 has shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 2.05. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 1.35 compared with 3.00 for Over 1; at the 1.5-goal line, the respective odds are 1.16 and 4.30.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 0.5 | 1.72 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 3.00 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 4.30 |
