Odds overview
Twente are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.22, while a draw and a Thun win are offered at around 7.10 and 11.50. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.33 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 3.05. Twente (-1.5) at 1.57 is shorter than Thun (+1.5) at 2.30 in the handicap market.
Why Twente are favourites
Bookmakers give the hosts a clear edge: Twente to win is offered at 1.22, compared with 7.10 for a draw and 11.50 for a Thun win.
- The Dutch club dominate in attacking activity: Twente have had more total shot attempts than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- The Swiss side are vulnerable defensively: Thun's opponents have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Form and Line-up Twente
In their most recent competitive match on 10 October, Twente drew 1:1 away to Fortuna Sittard.
The team have consistently imposed their game in European competition: in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches, Twente have avoided losing the total shot-attempts count and committed more than 11.5 fouls per game.
- Twente have had more shots on target than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Twente have had fewer than 1.5 offsides in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Conference League matches.
- Twente have scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Twente line-up (4-2-3-1): Joël Drommel, Bart van Rooij, Robin Pröpper, Ruud Nijstad, Aske Adelgaard, Ramiz Zerrouki, Daouda Weidmann, Daan Rots, Younes Taha, Marko Pjaca, Wout Weghorst
Form and Line-up Thun
On 10 October, Thun lost 2:4 to Zürich after going down to ten men following a sending-off in the 67th minute. After the game, head coach Gian-Luca Privitelli stressed that the team's collective pressing was still not working smoothly and that problems defending their own penalty area remained unresolved.
Thun's away matches often become intense contests: the two teams combined for more than 25.5 shot attempts in 8 of their last 10 away games in all competitions, while the total number of yellow cards did not exceed 5.5 in 9 of those 10 games.
- Thun have scored no more than two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Thun have committed more fouls than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions.
- Thun's opponents have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
Probable Thun line-up (4-4-2): Niklas Steffen, Fabio Fehr, Nicolas Bürgy, Jan Bamert, Tom Strannegård, Adam Ilić, Nassim Zoukit, Justin Roth, Nico Maier, Furkan Dursun, Simon Lengen
Teams' chances
Twente to win is available at 1.22, with fair odds of 1.28 and a probability of 78.3%. For the draw, the odds and fair odds are 7.10 and 7.44, with a probability of 13.4%; for a Thun win, they are 11.50 and 12.05, with a probability of 8.3% — the market clearly favours Twente.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente win | 1.22 | 1.28 | 78.3% |
| Draw | 7.10 | 7.44 | 13.4% |
| Thun win | 11.50 | 12.05 | 8.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.33 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 3.05. At the 3.5-goal line, the odds are almost level: Over 3.5 goals is 1.85 and Under 3.5 goals is 1.95.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.05 | 1.33 |
| 3.5 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Handicap prediction
Twente (-1.5) at 1.57 are shorter than Thun (+1.5) at 2.30. Twente's advantage is even clearer when comparing Twente (-1) at 1.28 with Thun (+1) at 3.35, while at handicap (0), Twente are available at 1.05 against 7.40 for Thun.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 2.30 | |
| 1.28 | -1 | |
| 1 | 3.35 | |
| 1.05 | 0 | 7.40 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.78 is considered slightly more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.00, which means at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.78 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/20
|
7/100
|
4/1
|
| William Hill |
1/25
|
2/25
|
4/1
|
| 888sport |
1/25
|
2/25
|
4/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: Twente — 2.5 goals; Thun — 0.5 goals.
Twente team goals
For Twente's team goals, Over 2 at 1.33 is much shorter than Under 2 at 3.05; at the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 is available at 1.70 versus 2.07 for Under 2.5. At the 3-goal line, Under 3 at 1.65 is favoured over Over 3 at 2.15.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.05 | 2 | 1.33 |
| 2.07 | 2.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.65 | 3 | 2.15 |
Thun team goals
For Thun's team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.72 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.05. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 1.35 versus 3.00 for Over 1, while at the 1.5-goal line the respective odds are 1.16 and 4.30.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 0.5 | 1.72 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 3.00 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 4.30 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Genc Nuza (Kosovo)
Matches — 7 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.6;
Matches with a red card — 0 out of 7;
Matches with a penalty — 0 out of 7.
