Odds overview
Twente are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.33, compared with 5.60 for a draw and 8.50 for a Pafos win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.65. Twente (-1) at 1.45 is much shorter than Pafos (+1) at 2.65 in the handicap market.
Why Twente are favourites
Twente are firm favourites with the bookmakers, who offer 1.33 for the Dutch club to win. A draw is available at 5.60, while a Pafos win is 8.50.
- Twente have a substantial advantage in creating chances and limiting their opponents' opportunities: in the 2026/27 Conference League, they have averaged 2.36 xG while allowing their opponents 0.7 xG.
- Pafos rarely succeed away from home in European competition: they have failed to win 9 of their last 10 away Conference League matches.
Form and Line-up Twente
On 1 November, Twente thrashed Excelsior Rotterdam 9:0 away in the domestic league. After the game, head coach John van den Brom noted how important it had been to rotate his players during the match with an eye on the fixture against Pafos.
Before that, on 25 October, Twente also won without conceding, beating AZ Alkmaar 2:0 in the domestic league.
- Twente's opponents have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 Conference League matches.
- Twente have taken more than 12.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 Conference League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Joël Drommel, Bart van Rooij, Robin Pröpper, Ruud Nijstad, Aske Adelgaard, Ramiz Zerrouki, Younes Taha, Thomas van den Belt, Daan Rots, Wout Weghorst, Sondre Ørjasæter
Form and Line-up Pafos
On 31 October, Pafos drew 2:2 away to Apollon Limassol in the Cypriot league. Their match against Nea Salamina Famagusta on 26 October also ended in a draw — 0:0.
The Cypriot side also drew in the Conference League, finishing 1:1 with Riga on 22 October. After their trip to Twente, they face Omonia 29th May in the domestic league on 8 November, followed by the international break.
- There have been fewer than 10.5 corners in 9 of Pafos's last 10 Conference League matches.
- The total number of fouls has not exceeded 25.5 in 8 of Pafos's last 10 Conference League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Radosław Majecki, Bruno Filipe, David Luiz, Alexandre Brito, Nikolas Ioannou, Ivan Šunjić, João Correia, Vlad Dragomir, Guga, Ken Sema, Lelé
Both teams' chances
The average odds for Twente to win are 1.33, with fair odds of 1.39 and a probability of 71.7%. A draw is offered at 5.60, with fair odds of 5.87 and a probability of 17.0%; the corresponding figures for a Pafos win are 8.50, 8.91 and 11.2%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente win | 1.33 | 1.39 | 71.7% |
| Draw | 5.60 | 5.87 | 17.0% |
| Pafos win | 8.50 | 8.91 | 11.2% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.65 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.45. The odds are closer at the 3.5-goal line: Under 3.5 goals is offered at 1.75 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.10.
| Goal line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.65 | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
Handicap betting
Twente (-1.5) are available at 1.83 and Pafos (+1.5) at 1.97. Twente (-1) are quoted at 1.45, compared with 2.65 for Pafos (+1). On the zero handicap, Twente (0) are at 1.09, while Pafos (0) are at 5.70.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.97 | |
| 1.45 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.65 | |
| 1.09 | 0 | 5.70 |
Both teams to score betting
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.75, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, is available at 2.00.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
2/25
|
13/100
|
12/5
|
| William Hill |
7/100
|
3/20
|
23/10
|
| 888sport |
3/50
|
3/20
|
23/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals betting
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team-goal lines: Twente — 2.5 goals; Pafos — 0.5 goals.
Twente team goals
For Twente, Under 2 goals is offered at 2.35 and Over 2 goals at 1.55. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is 1.75 and Over 2.5 goals is 2.05; at the 3-goal line, Under 3 goals is 1.40 and Over 3 goals is 2.75.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 2 | 1.55 |
| 1.75 | 2.5 | 2.05 |
| 1.40 | 3 | 2.75 |
Pafos team goals
For Pafos, Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 2.20 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.65. Under 1 goal is available at 1.40, compared with 2.80 for Over 1 goal; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is offered at 1.20 and Over 1.5 goals at 4.20.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 0.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 2.80 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 4.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Michal Očenáš (Slovakia)
Matches — 7 (international matches, 2024/25–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.6;
Matches with red cards — 2 out of 7;
Matches with penalties — 1 out of 7.
