Odds overview
Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites: a Dortmund win is available at 1.62, while a Union Berlin win and a draw are quoted at around 5.00 and 4.40. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.45. For the handicap at 0, Borussia Dortmund Draw No Bet (0) at 1.25 is favoured over Union Berlin Draw No Bet (0) at 3.55.
Why Borussia Dortmund are favourites
Borussia Dortmund are offered at odds of 1.62 to win, compared with 5.00 for a Union Berlin win and 4.40 for a draw.
- Borussia Dortmund have been strong in attack at the start of the league season, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match.
- Union Berlin have serious defensive problems: they concede 3.4 goals per match — the second-worst record in the Bundesliga.
Form and Line-up Union Berlin
Union Berlin claimed their first Bundesliga win of the season, beating Elversberg 1:0 at home thanks to an 81st-minute goal from Livan Burcu. Nevertheless, they remain restrained in attack, scoring an average of just 1 goal per match.
- In 9 of Union Berlin's last 10 Bundesliga home matches, their opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners.
- In 9 of Union Berlin's last 10 Bundesliga home matches, their opponents had fewer than 5.5 shots on target.
- In 8 of Union Berlin's last 10 Bundesliga home matches, the total number of fouls did not exceed 22.5.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Frederik Rønnow, Janik Haberer, Zeno Van Den Bosch, Felix Uduokhai, Tom Rothe, Andras Schafer, Rani Khedira, Michel Aebischer, Jeong Woo-yeong, Tim Skarke, Kastriot Imeri
Form and Line-up Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund lost 0:1 to Norway's Bodø/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League, with head coach Niko Kovac rotating his side and making five changes to the starting line-up. Their upcoming match will be their third away game in six days, adding to the team's physical workload.
In the Bundesliga, however, Dortmund have been extremely reliable defensively, conceding just 0.8 goals per game and sharing first place in the league on that measure.
- In 9 of Borussia Dortmund's last 10 Bundesliga away matches, their opponents attempted fewer than 14.5 shots.
- In 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches, Borussia Dortmund had fewer than 5.5 shots on target.
- In 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches, Borussia Dortmund's players were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Gregor Kobel, Joane Gadou, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Daniel Svensson, Jobe Bellingham, Joey Veerman, Maximilian Beier, Konstantinos Karetsas, Samuele Inácio, Fabio Silva
Teams' chances
For a Borussia Dortmund win, the average odds are 1.62, the fair odds are 1.69 and the probability is 59.1%. The corresponding figures are 4.40, 4.60 and 21.8% for a draw, and 5.00, 5.22 and 19.1% for a Union Berlin win.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin win | 5.00 | 5.22 | 19.1% |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.60 | 21.8% |
| Borussia Dortmund win | 1.62 | 1.69 | 59.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.52 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 at 2.45. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is favoured at 1.65, compared with 2.25 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
Handicap prediction
Borussia Dortmund (-1.5) at 2.45 have considerably shorter odds than Union Berlin (-1.5) at 7.90. At the 1.5 line, Borussia Dortmund (+1.5) are at 1.04 against 1.50 for Union Berlin (+1.5); at -1, Borussia Dortmund (-1) are at 1.95 against 6.80 for Union Berlin (-1). At the 1 line, Borussia Dortmund (+1) at 1.06 are favoured over Union Berlin (+1) at 1.85, while at 0, Borussia Dortmund (0) are at 1.25 against 3.55 for Union Berlin (0).
| Home team | Handicap | Away team |
|---|---|---|
| 7.90 | -1.5 | 2.45 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 1.04 |
| 6.80 | -1 | 1.95 |
| 1.85 | 1 | 1.06 |
| 3.55 | 0 | 1.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.55, shorter than the 2.35 for Both teams to score — No, so a goal from each team is considered more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/10
|
1/5
|
7/50
|
| 888sport |
13/10
|
11/50
|
17/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Union Berlin — 1 goal; Borussia Dortmund — 2 goals.
Union Berlin team total goals
For Union Berlin's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.40 is favoured over Under 0.5 at 2.70. At the 1-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1 at 1.80 and Over 1 at 1.95. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 has shorter odds at 1.38, against 2.80 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.38 | 1.5 | 2.80 |
Borussia Dortmund team total goals
For Borussia Dortmund's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.06 has considerably shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 6.60. Over 1.5 is offered at 1.55 against 2.40 for Under 1.5; at the 2-goal line, the odds are almost equal — 1.85 for Under 2 and 1.90 for Over 2. At 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 at 1.50 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.60 | 0.5 | 1.06 |
| 2.40 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.85 | 2 | 1.90 |
| 1.50 | 2.5 | 2.50 |
