Odds overview
Borussia Dortmund are clear favourites at 1.62 to win, while a Union Berlin win and a draw are available at around 5.00 and 4.40 respectively. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 is considered considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.45. At a handicap of 0, Borussia Dortmund Draw No Bet at 1.25 is favoured over Union Berlin Draw No Bet at 3.55.
Why Borussia Dortmund are favourites
Borussia Dortmund are offered at 1.62 to win, while a Union Berlin victory is available at 5.00 and a draw at 4.40.
- Borussia Dortmund have shown strong attacking form at the start of the league season, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match.
- Union Berlin have serious defensive problems: they concede 3.4 goals per match — the second-worst record in the Bundesliga.
Form and Line-up Union Berlin
Union Berlin claimed their first Bundesliga win of the season, beating Elversberg 1:0 at home thanks to Livan Burcu's goal in the 81st minute. Nevertheless, they remain restrained in attack, scoring just 1 goal per match on average.
- Union Berlin's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
- Union Berlin's opponents had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
- The total number of fouls did not exceed 22.5 in 8 of Union Berlin's last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Frederik Rønnow, Janik Haberer, Zeno Van Den Bosch, Ohis Felix Uduokhai, Tom Rothe, Andras Schafer, Rani Khedira, Michel Aebischer, Jeong Woo-yeong, Tim Skarke, Kastriot Imeri
Form and Line-up Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund lost 0:1 to Norwegian side Bodø/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League, with head coach Niko Kovac rotating his squad and making five changes to the starting line-up. The upcoming match will be Dortmund's third away game in six days, placing an increased physical strain on the team.
In the Bundesliga, however, Borussia Dortmund have been extremely solid defensively, conceding just 0.8 goals per game and sharing first place in the league on that measure.
- Borussia Dortmund's opponents attempted fewer than 14.5 shots in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
- Borussia Dortmund had fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
- Borussia Dortmund's players were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Gregor Kobel, Joane Gadou, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Daniel Svensson, Jobe Bellingham, Joey Veerman, Maximilian Beier, Konstantinos Karetsas, Samuele Inácio, Fabio Silva
Each team's chances
Borussia Dortmund to win: average odds of 1.62, fair odds of 1.69 and a probability of 59.1%. For the draw, the figures are 4.40, 4.60 and 21.8%; for a Union Berlin win, they are 5.00, 5.22 and 19.1%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin win | 5.00 | 5.22 | 19.1% |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.60 | 21.8% |
| Borussia Dortmund win | 1.62 | 1.69 | 59.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.52 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 2.45. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is favoured at 1.65, compared with 2.25 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
Handicap prediction
Borussia Dortmund (-1.5) at 2.45 has considerably shorter odds than Union Berlin (-1.5) at 7.90. At the 1.5 line, Borussia Dortmund (+1.5) are available at 1.04 compared with 1.50 for Union Berlin (+1.5); at -1, the odds are 1.95 for Borussia Dortmund (-1) and 6.80 for Union Berlin (-1). At the 1 line, Borussia Dortmund (+1) at 1.06 are favoured over Union Berlin (+1) at 1.85, while at 0, Borussia Dortmund Draw No Bet is available at 1.25 compared with 3.55 for Union Berlin Draw No Bet.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.90 | -1.5 | 2.45 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 1.04 |
| 6.80 | -1 | 1.95 |
| 1.85 | 1 | 1.06 |
| 3.55 | 0 | 1.25 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes has shorter odds at 1.55 than Both teams to score – No at 2.35, suggesting that goals from both sides are considered more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.55 |
| No | 2.35 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Union Berlin — 1 goal; Borussia Dortmund — 2 goals.
Union Berlin team total goals
For Union Berlin's team goal total, Over 0.5 at 1.40 is favoured over Under 0.5 at 2.70. At the 1-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1 at 1.80 and Over 1 at 1.95. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 has shorter odds at 1.38 than Over 1.5 at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.80 | 1 | 1.95 |
| 1.38 | 1.5 | 2.80 |
Borussia Dortmund team total goals
For Borussia Dortmund's team goal total, Over 0.5 at 1.06 has considerably shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 6.60. Over 1.5 is available at 1.55, compared with 2.40 for Under 1.5; at the 2-goal line, the odds are almost equal — 1.85 for Under 2 and 1.90 for Over 2. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.50 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.60 | 0.5 | 1.06 |
| 2.40 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.85 | 2 | 1.90 |
| 1.50 | 2.5 | 2.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Daniel Schlager (Germany)
Matches — 16 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Fouls per match — 20;
Yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.9;
Matches with a red card — 1 out of 16;
Matches with a penalty — 4 out of 16.
