Odds overview
Real Madrid are clear favourites to win at 1.30, compared with 8.50 for a Valencia win, while the draw is available at 5.90. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.70. Real Madrid (-1.5) at 1.82 are slightly favoured over Valencia (+1.5) at 2.00.
Why Real Madrid are favourites
Bookmakers make Real Madrid clear favourites, with an away win at 1.30. The draw is available at 5.90 and a Valencia win at 8.50.
- Real Madrid have avoided defeat in nine of their last ten competitive matches in all competitions.
- Valencia have failed to win eight of their last ten La Liga matches.
- Real Madrid have lost to Valencia just once in their last six meetings.
Form and Line-up Valencia
On 1 November, Valencia beat Elche away (1:0). Before that, they lost at home to Villarreal (1:2) on 24 October and drew twice — against Athletic Bilbao (0:0) and Racing Santander (2:2).
- Valencia have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last 10 competitive matches across all competitions.
- Valencia have registered fewer than 5.5 shots on target in 10 consecutive La Liga matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Stole Dimitrievski, Arnau Martínez, Justin de Haas, César Tárrega, José Luis Gayà, Pablo Maffeo, Guido Rodríguez, Aaron Mayol, Luis Rioja, Javi Guerra, Arnaut Danjuma.
Unavailable: Sergi Canós, Diego Lopez, David Otorbi, Kayne van Oevelen (all injured).
Form and Line-up Real Madrid
On 4 November, Real Madrid won 3:2 away to Greek side AEK Athens, snatching victory in the closing minutes. Before that, on 1 November, they thrashed Racing Santander 3:0 away in La Liga. Real Madrid have won seven matches in a row across all competitions.
- Real Madrid have scored in 11 consecutive matches.
- In Real Madrid's last 10 competitive matches across all competitions, the two teams have combined for more than 5.5 shots on target.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Thibaut Courtois, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Dean Huijsen, Ibrahima Konaté, Marc Cucurella, Bernardo Silva, Federico Valverde, Endrick, Jude Bellingham, Yan Diomande, Kylian Mbappé.
Unavailable: Vinicius Junior (suspended), Raul Asencio, Ferland Mendy, Rodrygo (all injured).
Team chances
The margin-free assessment gives Valencia a win probability of 11.1%, with average odds of 8.50 and fair odds of 8.98. The draw is rated at 16.0%, with average odds of 5.90 and fair odds of 6.23. A Real Madrid win leads at 72.8%, with average odds of 1.30 and fair odds of 1.37.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia win | 8.50 | 8.98 | 11.1% |
| Draw | 5.90 | 6.23 | 16.0% |
| Real Madrid win | 1.30 | 1.37 | 72.8% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is available at 2.70 and Over at 1.45, making the higher-scoring outcome the clear favourite. At 3.5 goals, Under at 1.75 is shorter than Over at 2.10.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.70 | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
Handicap prediction
Real Madrid (-1.5) are offered at 1.82 and Valencia (+1.5) at 2.00. At the 1-goal handicap line, Real Madrid (-1) are 1.40 and Valencia (+1) are 2.70. On the zero handicap, Valencia (0) are 5.90 and Real Madrid (0) are 1.08.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.82 | |
| 2.00 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.40 | |
| 2.70 | 1 | |
| 5.90 | 0 | 1.08 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.77, while No is 1.97; the shorter odds indicate a slight preference for both teams finding the net.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.77 |
| No | 1.97 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/4
|
11/100
|
7/100
|
| 888sport |
13/5
|
3/25
|
3/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Valencia — 0.5 goals; Real Madrid — 2.5 goals.
Valencia team goals
For Valencia, Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.10 and Over 0.5 at 1.70. At the 1-goal line, Under is 1.38 and Over is 2.85; at 1.5 goals, they are 1.18 and 4.10 respectively.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 0.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.38 | 1 | 2.85 |
| 1.18 | 1.5 | 4.10 |
Real Madrid team goals
For Real Madrid, Under 2 goals is available at 2.40 and Over 2 at 1.53. At the 2.5-goal line, Under is 1.75 and Over is 2.02; at 3 goals, they are 1.40 and 2.65 respectively.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 2 | 1.53 |
| 1.75 | 2.5 | 2.02 |
| 1.40 | 3 | 2.65 |
