Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, the away win has a slight edge: 2.55 versus 2.75 for the home win, with the draw at 3.45. Under 2.5 and Over 2.5 are both available at 1.90, indicating an even balance. In the main handicap market, the away Draw No Bet is shorter than the home Draw No Bet — 1.83 versus 1.97.
Why Real Sociedad are favourites for the match
Bookmakers offer odds of 2.75 on a Valencia CF win, 3.45 on the draw and 2.55 on Real Sociedad to win.
- Valencia CF are preparing for the match amid organisational changes: following Carlos Corberán's departure, the team are awaiting a new manager, while the club expect another sporting director to take up the post.
- Real Sociedad sit higher in the table, in 12th place with 7 points after six La Liga matches, but face a congested schedule due to their home UEFA Europa League match against Bournemouth on 17 September.
Form and Line-up Valencia CF
On 15 September, Valencia CF recorded their first win of the season, beating Deportivo Alavés 1:0 away from home thanks to Luis Rioja's 78th-minute goal, assisted by Javi Guerra. Despite this success, the team's attacking output remains very low: averaging 0.33 goals per game, Valencia CF are bottom of the league.
- Valencia CF have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches.
- Valencia CF have received no more than two yellow cards in their last 10 home La Liga matches.
- Valencia CF's opponents have registered no more than 4 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 La Liga matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Stole Dimitrievski, Pablo Maffeo, Javi García Vayá, Justin de Haas, José Gayà, Aarón Mayol, Guido Rodríguez, Filip Ugrinic, Javi Guerra, Arnaut Danjuma, Hugo Duro Perales
Form and Line-up Real Sociedad
In their previous league match, Real Sociedad suffered a heavy 0:3 home defeat to Atlético Madrid. The San Sebastián side's defensive figures are a concern: in the La Liga pre-match sample, their opponents average 6.33 shots on target per game, one of the three highest figures in the competition.
- In 10 of their last away La Liga matches, Real Sociedad have had fewer than 13.5 shots including blocked attempts.
- A maximum of 4 offsides has been recorded in 9 of Real Sociedad's last 10 away La Liga matches.
- Real Sociedad's opponents have had at least 4 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 away La Liga matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Álex Remiro, Sergio Gómez, Luken Beitia, Jon Aramburu, Mamadou Sarr, Carlos Soler, Yangel Herrera, Luka Sučić, Gonçalo Guedes, Ander Barrenetxea, Mikel Oyarzabal
Team chances
The fair-odds assessment also favours the away win: odds of 2.67 and a probability of 37.5%. The home win is listed at 2.88 and 34.8%, while the draw is at 3.61 and 27.7%; the average odds are 2.55, 2.75 and 3.45 respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia CF win | 2.75 | 2.88 | 34.8% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.61 | 27.7% |
| Real Sociedad win | 2.55 | 2.67 | 37.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Under and Over are both available at 1.90. At 3.5, Under 3.5 is the favourite at 1.35, while Over 3.5 is available at 3.00.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 3.5 | 1.35 | 3.00 |
Handicap prediction
The home handicap of -1.5 is available at 5.00 and the away handicap of -1.5 at 4.70; at the 1.5 handicap, the odds are almost level: 1.13 for the home handicap of +1.5 and 1.12 for the away handicap of +1.5. At the -1 line, the odds are 4.20 for the home handicap and 4.15 for the away handicap; at the +1 line, they are 1.20 and 1.17. In the Draw No Bet market, the away side at 1.83 is shorter than the home side at 1.97.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.00 | -1.5 | 4.70 |
| 1.13 | 1.5 | 1.12 |
| 4.20 | -1 | 4.15 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 1.17 |
| 1.97 | 0 | 1.83 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.72 looks more likely than Both teams to score — No at 2.05, meaning at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.72 |
| No | 2.05 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Valencia CF — 1 goal; Real Sociedad — 1.5 goals.
Valencia CF team total
Valencia CF team total: Under 0.5 is available at 3.15 and Over 0.5 at 1.30. At the 1 line, the odds are 2.17 for Under 1 and 1.65 for Over 1; at the 1.5 line, 1.50 for Under 1.5 and 2.45 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | 0.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.17 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.45 |
Real Sociedad team total
Real Sociedad team total: Under 0.5 is available at 3.45 and Over 0.5 at 1.25. At the 1 line, the odds are 2.40 for Under 1 and 1.55 for Over 1; at the 1.5 line, 1.58 and 2.30. At the 2 line, Under 2 is available at 1.20, while Over 2 is available at 4.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.40 | 1 | 1.55 |
| 1.58 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.20 | 2 | 4.10 |
