Odds Overview
Viktoria Plzen to win at 2.10 looks more appealing than Red Star Belgrade to win at 3.20, while the draw is priced at 3.65. In the main total market, over 2.5 goals at 1.62 is notably more likely than under 2.5 goals at 2.20. In the handicap market, Viktoria Plzen (0) at 1.58 is priced lower than Red Star Belgrade (0) at 2.30.
Why Viktoria Plzen Are the Match Favourites
Viktoria Plzen are 2.10 to win, Red Star Belgrade are 3.20, and the draw is 3.65. The reasons behind these odds are:
Strong home form in European competition. The team have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Europa League matches.
Extra preparation time. The postponement of a league round gave the hosts a full week to recover after the 0:3 defeat in Belgrade.
The particular circumstances of this match. The visitors do not need a win to progress, which reduces their motivation specifically for a three-point game.
Form and Line-up Viktoria Plzen
After the defeat in Belgrade, Viktoria Plzen dismissed head coach Martin Hysky. Their league match against Hradec Kralove was postponed, however, giving the hosts a full week to recover and prepare for the second leg. At home last season, Plzen suffered only three league defeats, while in this campaign they have managed to win, draw and lose.
Key numbers:
Have conceded in five consecutive matches.
Both teams to score - Yes has landed in 4 of their previous 5 matches.
Fewer than 10 corners have been taken in six consecutive matches.
Probable Viktoria Plzen line-up (4-4-1-1): Florian Wiegele — Amar Memic, Sampson Dweh, David Krcik, Merchas Doski — Tomas Ladra, Lukas Cerv, Filip Prebsl, Cheick Souare — Patrik Hrosovsky — Prince Kwabena Adu.
Absentees: Viktor Baier (injury).
Form and Line-up Red Star Belgrade
New head coach Albert Riera has made a successful start at the club and, before travelling to the Czech Republic, thrashed Cukaricki 4:0 in the Serbian league, making extensive changes to keep his key players fresh. Belgrade's only poor spell in August was a home defeat to Hapoel Be'er Sheva (0:2) in Champions League qualifying.
Key numbers:
Have scored first in 6 of their previous 8 matches.
Have won the first half in 6 of their last 8 matches.
Have scored at least twice in 7 of 9 games this season.
Probable Red Star Belgrade line-up (4-3-3): Matheus — Young-woo Seol, Derrick Luckassen, Milos Veljkovic, Timi Elsnik — Marko Ivanic, Rade Krunic, Vasilije Kostov — Osman Bukari, Marko Arnautovic, Muhammed Cham.
Absentees: —.
Team Chances
Viktoria Plzen to win is available at 2.10; the margin-free estimate is 2.23 and 44.8%. The draw is listed at 3.65, 3.88 and 25.8%, while Red Star Belgrade to win is 3.20, 3.40 and 29.4%: the hosts remain the most likely outcome.
Outcome | Average odds | Average margin-free odds | Margin-free probability |
Viktoria Plzen win | 2.10 | 2.23 | 44.8% |
Draw | 3.65 | 3.88 | 25.8% |
Red Star Belgrade win | 3.20 | 3.40 | 29.4% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5 line, under 2.5 goals at 2.20 is priced higher than over 2.5 goals at 1.62. At the 3.5 mark, by contrast, under 3.5 goals at 1.50 is preferred to over 3.5 goals at 2.40.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
3.5 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Handicap Prediction
For the -1.5 handicap, Viktoria Plzen (-1.5) is 3.55, while Red Star Belgrade (-1.5) is 5.70. At the 1.5 line, Viktoria Plzen (+1.5) at 1.09 is priced lower than Red Star Belgrade (+1.5) at 1.23; at the -1 line, Viktoria Plzen (-1) is 2.90 against 5.00 for Red Star Belgrade (-1). For the 1 handicap, Viktoria Plzen (+1) is 1.12 and Red Star Belgrade (+1) is 1.35, while for the level handicap Viktoria Plzen (0) at 1.58 is cheaper than Red Star Belgrade (0) at 2.30.
Home | Handicap | Away |
3.55 | -1.5 | 5.70 |
1.09 | 1.5 | 1.23 |
2.90 | -1 | 5.00 |
1.12 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.58 | 0 | 2.30 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.55 is priced noticeably lower than both teams to score - No at 2.40, meaning the market more often expects goals from both teams.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.55 |
No | 2.40 |
Double Chance Prediction
The lowest odds are on 12 at 1.25, followed by 1X at 1.33; X2 at 1.70 is rated more cautiously.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.33 | 1.25 | 1.70 |
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Viktoria Plzen — 1.5 goals; Red Star Belgrade — 1.5 goals.
Viktoria Plzen Team Total
Viktoria Plzen: under 0.5 goals at 4.70 is notably higher than over 0.5 goals at 1.14; at the 1-goal line, it is 3.35 against 1.28. For the 1.5 total, under 1.5 goals and over 1.5 goals are priced equally at 1.85; at the 2-goal mark, under 2 goals at 1.40 is priced lower than over 2 goals at 2.70.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.70 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
3.35 | 1 | 1.28 |
1.85 | 1.5 | 1.85 |
1.40 | 2 | 2.70 |
Red Star Belgrade Team Total
Red Star Belgrade: under 0.5 goals at 3.40 is higher than over 0.5 goals at 1.27; at the 1-goal line, it is 2.35 against 1.53. At the 1.5 mark, under 1.5 goals at 1.57 is preferred to over 1.5 goals at 2.25, while at the 2-goal line under 2 goals is 1.17 and over 2 goals is 4.20.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.40 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
2.35 | 1 | 1.53 |
1.57 | 1.5 | 2.25 |
1.17 | 2 | 4.20 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Danny Makkelie (Netherlands)
Matches — 15 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 2.4;
Matches with red cards — 2 of 15;
Matches with penalties — 7 of 15.
