Odds overview
Viktoria Plzen are favourites: a home win is offered at 1.78, while the draw and a Levski Sofia win are quoted at around 3.90 and 4.40. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. Viktoria Plzen Draw No Bet (0) at 1.33 has much shorter odds than Levski Sofia Draw No Bet (0) at 3.05.
Why Viktoria Plzen are favourites
Bookmakers make the Czech club favourites: a Viktoria Plzen win is offered at 1.78, the draw at 3.90 and a Levski Sofia win at 4.40.
- Viktoria Plzen have lost only twice in their last seven home matches.
- Levski Sofia have won only twice in their previous six matches across all competitions.
- The Sofia club have offered little in attack on the European stage: Levski Sofia recorded fewer than 4.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches and sit bottom of the competition's pre-match ranking for this measure.
Form and Line-up Viktoria Plzen
On 18 October, Viktoria Plzen beat Jablonec 3:2 in the domestic league, holding on after scoring their third goal by the 53rd minute. The Czech side managed just 3 shots on target and allowed their opponents to create several dangerous chances in the second half. Viktoria Plzen began their UEFA Europa League campaign with defeats to Union Saint-Gilloise (0:3) and Ferencváros (1:2), despite averaging 1.5 xG per match.
- Viktoria Plzen: fewer than 3.5 total goals in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches.
- Viktoria Plzen: their opponents scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches.
- Viktoria Plzen: fewer than 10.5 total corners in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League home matches.
Probable Viktoria Plzen line-up (4-2-3-1): Dominik Tapaj, Adam Gabriel, Sampson Dweh, Filip Prebsl, Merchas Doski, Patrik Hrošovský, Stefan Pirgic, Amar Memić, Jiri Panos, Lukas Cerv, Christophe Kabongo.
Absentees: Václav Jemelka (injured), Alexandr Sojka (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Levski Sofia
On 18 October, Levski Sofia beat Spartak Pleven (2:0) in the Bulgarian Cup, scoring twice in the second half. After the match, head coach Julio Velázquez confirmed that he had deliberately rotated the side, retaining just one starter from the previous UEFA Europa League match against NEC Nijmegen (1:1). Before that, the Bulgarian club lost to Red Bull Salzburg (0:1) in European competition without registering a shot on target.
- Levski Sofia: fewer than 2.5 total goals in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Levski Sofia: fewer than 5.5 Levski Sofia corners in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
- Levski Sofia: fewer than 26.5 combined shot attempts by both teams in all 10 of their last 10 UEFA Europa League matches.
Probable Levski Sofia line-up (4-2-3-1):Svetoslav Vutsov, Aldair, Kristian Dimitrov, Christian Makoun, Maicon, El Mehdi Moubarek, Marko Grujic, Serginho, David Kusso, Reinaldo, Everton Bala.
Absentees: Radoslav Kirilov and Asen Mitkov (both injured), Akram Bouras (doubtful).
The teams' chances
A Viktoria Plzen win is offered at 1.78, with fair odds of 1.86 and a 53.7% probability. The draw is quoted at 3.90, with fair odds of 4.08 and a 24.5% probability; the corresponding figures for a Levski Sofia win are 4.40, 4.60 and 21.7%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viktoria Plzen win | 1.78 | 1.86 | 53.7% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.08 | 24.5% |
| Levski Sofia win | 4.40 | 4.60 | 21.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals at 1.45 is clearly favoured over Over 3.5 goals at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 3.5 | 1.45 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
Viktoria Plzen (-1.5) are offered at 2.85, while Levski Sofia (-1.5) are at 7.60. At the +1.5 handicap line, Viktoria Plzen (+1.5) are quoted at 1.05 against 1.37 for Levski Sofia (+1.5); at the -1 line, Viktoria Plzen (-1) are 2.30 and Levski Sofia (-1) are 6.60. For the +1 handicap, the odds are 1.06 for Viktoria Plzen (+1) and 1.60 for Levski Sofia (+1); at handicap (0), they are 1.33 for Viktoria Plzen (0) and 3.05 for Levski Sofia (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.85 | -1.5 | 7.60 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.37 |
| 2.30 | -1 | 6.60 |
| 1.06 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.33 | 0 | 3.05 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.67 is favoured over Both teams to score — No at 2.13; the latter means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.67 |
| No | 2.13 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
1/4
|
1/1
|
| William Hill |
11/50
|
1/4
|
1/1
|
| 888sport |
11/50
|
1/4
|
1/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: 1.5 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 1 goal for Levski Sofia.
Viktoria Plzen team goals
For Viktoria Plzen's team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.11 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 at 5.30, as does Over 1 at 1.23 compared with Under 1 at 3.75. At the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 is quoted at 1.75 against 2.00 for Under 1.5; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 at 1.52 has shorter odds than Over 2 at 2.45.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.30 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 3.75 | 1 | 1.23 |
| 2.00 | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.52 | 2 | 2.45 |
Levski Sofia team goals
For Levski Sofia's team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.45 is favoured over Under 0.5 at 2.65. At the 1-goal line, the odds are close: Under 1 is 1.78 and Over 1 is 1.98; at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.33 has much shorter odds than Over 1.5 at 3.00.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.78 | 1 | 1.98 |
| 1.33 | 1.5 | 3.00 |
