Odds overview
Villarreal are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.43, compared with 5.00 for a draw and 6.70 for an Elche win. Over 2.5 goals at 1.47 has much shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 2.60; in the Draw No Bet (0) market, Villarreal are at 1.14 and Elche at 4.60.
Why Villarreal are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Villarreal are available at 1.43 to win, a draw at 5.00 and an Elche win at 6.70.
- Villarreal have won three of their last four matches in all competitions.
- Elche have conceded 17 goals in eight La Liga matches; only Osasuna (18) and Racing Santander (23) have conceded more.
- Villarreal have lost to Elche only twice in their last 14 meetings.
Form and Line-up Villarreal
After three consecutive La Liga defeats, Villarreal have recovered with three wins in their last four matches. The Yellow Submarine's only defeat in that run was against Real Madrid (0:1), while they beat Napoli in the UEFA Champions League (3:1).
- Villarreal have scored more than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 home La Liga matches.
- Villarreal have taken more than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home La Liga matches.
- There have been fewer than 4.5 yellow cards in 8 of Villarreal's last 10 home La Liga matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Péter Gulácsi, Alex Freeman, Pau Navarro, Renato Veiga, Sergi Cardona, Santi Comesana, Juan Foyth, Pape Gueye, Ilias Akhomach, Ayoze Pérez, Alberto Moleiro.
Unavailable: Tajon Buchanan, Nicolas Pépé (both injured).
Form and Line-up Elche
Elche have won only once in eight rounds, beating Espanyol 3:1, and have dropped points in every other match, with three draws and four defeats. Anselmi's side drew 0:0 with Celta in the last round, managing just two shots on target and 0.78 xG.
- Elche have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 away La Liga matches.
- Elche have committed more than 11.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away La Liga matches.
- There have been fewer than 9.5 shots on target in 8 of Elche's last 10 away La Liga matches.
Probable line-up (5-3-2): Matías Dituro, Rubén Sánchez, Javi Morcillo, Víctor Chust, Roy Revivo, Germán Valera, Marc Aguado, Gonzalo Villar, Thomas Lemar, Tete Morente, Fer Niño.
Unavailable: Yago Santiago (injured), Buba Sangaré (doubtful).
The teams' chances
A Villarreal win is quoted at 1.43, with fair odds of 1.50 and a 66.7% probability. A draw is at 5.00, with fair odds of 5.24 and a 19.1% probability; the corresponding figures for an Elche win are 6.70, 7.03 and 14.2%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal win | 1.43 | 1.50 | 66.7% |
| Draw | 5.00 | 5.24 | 19.1% |
| Elche win | 6.70 | 7.03 | 14.2% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.47 has much shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is favoured at 1.70, compared with 2.15 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.60 | 1.47 |
| 3.5 | 1.70 | 2.15 |
Handicap prediction
Elche (+1.5) at 1.70 have shorter odds than Villarreal (-1.5) at 2.13. On the one-goal handicap line, Villarreal (-1) are at 1.65 and Elche (+1) at 2.20; in the Draw No Bet (0) market, Villarreal at 1.14 are favoured over Elche at 4.60.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.13 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.70 | |
| 1.65 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.20 | |
| 1.14 | 0 | 4.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.65, while Both teams to score — No is at 2.17; the market slightly favours both sides scoring.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.17 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/100
|
17/100
|
163/100
|
| 888sport |
3/25
|
1/5
|
81/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Villarreal — 2 goals, Elche — 1 goal.
Villarreal team total goals
For Villarreal's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.04 has much shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 7.80, while Over 1.5 goals is at 1.40 against 2.70 for Under 1.5 goals. At the two-goal line, Over 2 goals is at 1.68 and Under 2 goals at 2.12; at the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.63 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 goals at 2.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.80 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.70 | 1.5 | 1.40 |
| 2.12 | 2 | 1.68 |
| 1.63 | 2.5 | 2.20 |
Elche team total goals
For Elche's team total, Over 0.5 goals is quoted at 1.55 against 2.40 for Under 0.5 goals. At the one-goal line, Under 1 goal at 1.57 is favoured over Over 1 goal at 2.30, while at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.28 has much shorter odds than Over 1.5 goals at 3.35.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.57 | 1 | 2.30 |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | 3.35 |
