Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, Villarreal are clear favourites: a home win is 1.57, compared with 4.50 for a draw and 5.40 for an away win. In the 2.5 goals market, Over 2.5 at 1.55 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.35. In the handicap market, Villarreal (0) are 1.22 versus Levante (0) at 3.85.
Why Villarreal Are Favourites
Bookmakers regard Villarreal as favourites for the match: a home win is available at 1.57, a draw at 4.50 and a Levante win at 5.40.
- The hosts' status as favourites is supported by their set-piece activity: Villarreal average 7.2 corners per match (first in the league), while Levante average only 3.4.
- However, the hosts do not hold a clear advantage in the table: after five matches, Villarreal were below Levante and were yet to win this season, with both teams remaining in the lower half of the table.
Form and Line-up Villarreal
In their latest La Liga home match, Villarreal lost 1:2 to Real Betis despite opening the scoring through Gerard Moreno. The busy schedule is taking its toll: between the Real Betis and Levante matches, the team travelled to face Málaga on 17 September.
At home, the team consistently maintain a high tempo: in 9 of their last 10 La Liga home matches, Villarreal have registered at least 4 shots on target, while all 10 matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Villarreal have taken at least 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 La Liga home matches
- At least 8 shots on target have been recorded in Villarreal's last 10 La Liga matches
- No more than 5 yellow cards have been recorded in 9 of Villarreal's last 10 La Liga matches
Probable Villarreal line-up (4-3-3): Péter Gulácsi, Juan Foyth, Santiago Mouriño, Renato Veiga, Carlos Romero, Pape Gueye, Santi Comesaña, Tajon Buchanan, Nicolas Pépé, Gerard Moreno, Georges Mikautadze
Form and Line-up Levante
In their previous match, Levante lost 2:4 to Barcelona, with Iván Romero and Roger Brugué scoring. The match against Athletic Bilbao on 16 September was cancelled due to rain, giving the team extra rest before the away trip.
The team are less productive in attack away from home: in 9 of their last 10 away league matches, Levante have scored no more than one goal, while the total number of fouls in those games did not exceed 26.
- Levante have taken no more than 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 La Liga matches
- Levante have received no more than 2 yellow cards in their last 10 La Liga matches
- Levante have not won 9 of their last 10 La Liga away matches
Probable Levante line-up (4-4-2): Mathew Ryan, Unai Elgezabal, Aïssa Mandi, Adrián de la Fuente, Manu Sánchez, Adrián de la Torre, Jon Ander Olasagasti, Hugo Sotelo, Roger Brugué, Kévin Carlos, Petar Ratkov
Team Chances
A Villarreal win is available at 1.57; the fair odds are 1.64 and the probability is 61.0%. Draw: 4.50, fair odds 4.70 and probability 21.3%. A Levante win: 5.40, fair odds 5.64 and probability 17.7%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal win | 1.57 | 1.64 | 61.0% |
| Draw | 4.50 | 4.70 | 21.3% |
| Levante win | 5.40 | 5.64 | 17.7% |
Total Goals Prediction
In the 2.5 goals market, Under 2.5 is available at 2.35 and Over 2.5 at 1.55. In the 3.5 goals market, Under 3.5 is 1.60 and Over 3.5 is 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap Prediction
Villarreal (-1.5) are available at 2.40 and Levante (+1.5) at 1.55. On the handicap line of 1, Villarreal (-1) and Levante (+1) are both 1.90. In the Draw No Bet market, Villarreal (0) are 1.22 and Levante (0) are 3.85.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | -1.5 | |
| +1.5 | 1.55 | |
| 1.90 | -1 | |
| +1 | 1.90 | |
| 1.22 | 0 | 3.85 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.63, while Both teams to score - No is 2.20: the market rates goals from both teams as more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.63 |
| No | 2.20 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
9/50
|
3/2
|
| 888sport |
7/50
|
1/5
|
3/2
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team total goal lines: Villarreal — 2 goals, Levante — 1 goal.
Villarreal Team Total
Villarreal team total: Under 0.5 — 7.20, Over 0.5 — 1.05; Under 1.5 — 2.45, Over 1.5 — 1.53. On the line of 2, Under 2 is 1.80 and Over 2 is 1.95; on the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 is 1.45 and Over 2.5 is 2.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.20 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.45 | 1.5 | 1.53 |
| 1.80 | 2 | 1.95 |
| 1.45 | 2.5 | 2.60 |
Levante Team Total
Levante team total: Under 0.5 — 2.55, Over 0.5 — 1.50; Under 1 — 1.68, Over 1 — 2.10. On the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 is 1.32 and Over 1.5 is 3.10.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.68 | 1 | 2.10 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 3.10 |
