Odds overview
Werder Bremen are favourites at 1.75 to win, while the draw and a Paderborn win are both around 4.15–4.20. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.40. In the handicap market, Werder Bremen (0) at 1.35 are shorter than Paderborn (0) at 3.00.
Why Werder Bremen are match favourites
Bookmakers offer odds of 1.75 on a Werder Bremen win, putting their chance of success at 54.4%. A Paderborn win is available at 4.20, while the draw is quoted at 4.15.
- The difference in scoring early in the season is marked: Werder Bremen average 2 goals per match, while Paderborn, with 0.6 goals per match, rank last in the Bundesliga for attacking output.
- Paderborn have struggled away from home, failing to win any of their last 10 away league matches.
Form and Line-up Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen showed character in Dortmund in the last round, drawing 2:2 with Borussia Dortmund thanks to two goals late in the match. They consistently create chances, although recurring defensive lapses contribute to high-scoring games — their matches average 4 goals.
- In 9 of Werder Bremen's last 10 Bundesliga home matches, there were no more than 10.5 corners.
- Werder Bremen had more than 12.5 shot attempts in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
- There were fewer than 4.5 yellow cards in 9 of Werder Bremen's last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Karl Hein, Arthur, Amos Pieper, Marco Friedl, Olivier Deman, Ludovit Reis, Youri Regeer, Eren Dinkçi, Chuki, Marco Grüll, Niclas Füllkrug
Form and Line-up Paderborn
Paderborn lost 0:2 to Stuttgart after failing to take their chances in the second half. In a subsequent behind-closed-doors friendly against Osnabrück, the coaching staff rested key players and fielded a reserve side.
- Paderborn have had no more than five shots on target in each of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
- Paderborn scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
- There were no more than 4.5 yellow cards in 8 of Paderborn's last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
Probable line-up (3-4-1-2): Nahuel Noll, Jano ter Horst, Tjark Scheller, Mattes Hansen, Laurin Curda, Raphael Obermair, Laurin Ulrich, Santiago Castañeda, Gabriel Vidović, Stefano Marino, Marvin Pieringer
The teams' chances
A Werder Bremen win is offered at 1.75, with fair odds of 1.84 and a probability of 54.4%. The draw is available at 4.15, with fair odds of 4.36 and a probability of 22.9%. A Paderborn win is offered at 4.20, with fair odds of 4.41 and a probability of 22.7%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability excluding margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen win | 1.75 | 1.84 | 54.4% |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.36 | 22.9% |
| Paderborn win | 4.20 | 4.41 | 22.7% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.40 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.55, making the higher-scoring option the favourite. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is shorter at 1.60 than Over 3.5 goals at 2.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
Handicap prediction
Werder Bremen (-1.5) are available at 2.70 and Paderborn (-1.5) at 7.20. At the 1.5-goal line, Werder Bremen (+1.5) at 1.05 are shorter than Paderborn (+1.5) at 1.40. At the -1 line, the odds are 2.25 for Werder Bremen (-1) and 6.30 for Paderborn (-1); at the +1 line, they are 1.07 for Werder Bremen (+1) and 1.65 for Paderborn (+1). For the zero handicap, Werder Bremen (0) at 1.35 are shorter than Paderborn (0) at 3.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | -1.5 | 7.20 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.40 |
| 2.25 | -1 | 6.30 |
| 1.07 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.35 | 0 | 3.00 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.53, while Both teams to score — No is available at 2.45; the shorter odds indicate an expectation that both teams will score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.53 |
| No | 2.45 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Werder Bremen — 2 goals; Paderborn — 1 goal.
Werder Bremen team total goals
For Werder Bremen's team total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 5.90 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.08. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is longer at 2.25 than Over at 1.60; at the 2-goal line, Under is 1.68 against Over at 2.13. At the 2.5-goal line, the odds are 1.40 for Under and 2.80 for Over.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.90 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
| 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.68 | 2 | 2.13 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.80 |
Paderborn team total goals
For Paderborn's team total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.95 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.35. At the 1-goal line, Under at 1.95 is slightly longer than Over at 1.80, while at the 1.5-goal line, Under at 1.42 is shorter than Over at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 1.95 | 1 | 1.80 |
| 1.42 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Robert Schröder (Germany)
Matches — 11 (Bundesliga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.9;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 11;
Matches with a penalty — 4 of 11.
