Odds overview
Werder Bremen are favourites: they are available to win at 1.75, while the draw and a Paderborn win are both around 4.15–4.20. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is clearly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.40. Werder Bremen Draw No Bet (0) at 1.35 has shorter odds than Paderborn Draw No Bet (0) at 3.00.
Why Werder Bremen are favourites
Bookmakers offer 1.75 on Werder Bremen to win, putting their chances of success at 54.4%. A Paderborn win is available at 4.20, while the draw is quoted at 4.15.
- The difference in goalscoring early in the season is marked: Werder Bremen average 2 goals per match, while Paderborn, with 0.6 goals per match, rank last in the Bundesliga for attacking output.
- Paderborn have struggled away from home, failing to win any of their last 10 away league matches.
Form and Line-up Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen showed character in Dortmund in the last round, scoring twice in the closing stages to draw 2:2 with Borussia Dortmund. They have consistently created chances, although regular defensive lapses have led to high-scoring games — their matches average 4 goals.
- In 9 of Werder Bremen's last 10 home Bundesliga matches, the total number of corners did not exceed 10.5.
- Werder Bremen had more than 12.5 shot attempts in 8 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
- There were fewer than 4.5 yellow cards in 9 of Werder Bremen's last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Probable Werder Bremen line-up (4-2-3-1): Karl Hein, Arthur, Amos Pieper, Marco Friedl, Olivier Deman, Ludovit Reis, Youri Regeer, Eren Dinkçi, Chuki, Marco Grüll, Niclas Füllkrug
Form and Line-up Paderborn
Paderborn lost 0:2 to Stuttgart after failing to take their second-half chances. In a subsequent behind-closed-doors friendly against Osnabrück, the coaching staff rested key players and fielded a reserve side.
- Paderborn had no more than five shots on target in each of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- Paderborn scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
- The total number of yellow cards did not exceed 4.5 in 8 of Paderborn's last 10 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable Paderborn line-up (3-4-1-2): Nahuel Noll, Jano ter Horst, Tjark Scheller, Mattes Hansen, Laurin Curda, Raphael Obermair, Laurin Ulrich, Santiago Castañeda, Gabriel Vidović, Stefano Marino, Marvin Pieringer
The teams' chances
Werder Bremen to win is offered at 1.75, with fair odds of 1.84 and a probability of 54.4%. The draw is available at 4.15, with fair odds of 4.36 and a probability of 22.9%. Paderborn to win is offered at 4.20, with fair odds of 4.41 and a probability of 22.7%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen win | 1.75 | 1.84 | 54.4% |
| Draw | 4.15 | 4.36 | 22.9% |
| Paderborn win | 4.20 | 4.41 | 22.7% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.40 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.55, making the higher total the favoured option. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals has shorter odds at 1.60 than Over 3.5 goals at 2.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
Handicap prediction
Werder Bremen (-1.5) are available at 2.70 and Paderborn (-1.5) at 7.20. At the +1.5 line, Werder Bremen (+1.5) at 1.05 have shorter odds than Paderborn (+1.5) at 1.40. At the -1 line, Werder Bremen (-1) are offered at 2.25 and Paderborn (-1) at 6.30; at the +1 line, the respective odds are 1.07 for Werder Bremen (+1) and 1.65 for Paderborn (+1). With a handicap of 0, Werder Bremen Draw No Bet (0) at 1.35 have shorter odds than Paderborn Draw No Bet (0) at 3.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | -1.5 | 7.20 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.40 |
| 2.25 | -1 | 6.30 |
| 1.07 | 1 | 1.65 |
| 1.35 | 0 | 3.00 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.53, while Both teams to score – No is offered at 2.45; the shorter odds indicate that goals from both teams are expected.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.53 |
| No | 2.45 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/50
|
11/50
|
1/1
|
| 888sport |
1/4
|
1/4
|
19/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: 2 goals for Werder Bremen and 1 goal for Paderborn.
Werder Bremen team goal total
For Werder Bremen's team goal total, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 5.90 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.08. At the 1.5-goal line, Under is longer at 2.25 than Over at 1.60; at the 2-goal line, Under is 1.68 and Over is 2.13. At the 2.5-goal line, Under is quoted at 1.40 and Over at 2.80.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.90 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
| 2.25 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.68 | 2 | 2.13 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.80 |
Paderborn team goal total
For Paderborn's team goal total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 2.95 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.35. At the 1-goal line, Under at 1.95 is slightly longer than Over at 1.80, while at the 1.5-goal line, Under at 1.42 has shorter odds than Over at 2.65.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 1.95 | 1 | 1.80 |
| 1.42 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
