Form and Line-up Wolfsburg
Another coaching reshuffle at the beginning of March did not immediately give Wolfsburg the impulse it needed. However, over time the team have grown used to Hecking’s tactics – the home side have been picking up points for three rounds in a row. After a win over Union (2:1), the hosts drew with Gladbach (0:0) and Freiburg (1:1). Sharing the points away to the Europa League semi-finalists is a serious achievement for the home team. In that match they were even more active in xG terms (1.11-0.95).
Key numbers Wolfsburg:
- The home side have the best xGA figure over the last two rounds (1.42).
- Under Hecking the team have suffered only one defeat by 2+ goals in seven matches.
- Over the last five years Wolfsburg have lost by two goals in only one of five home matches against Bayern Munich.
Probable Wolfsburg line-up (3-5-2): Kamil Grabara – Konstantinos Koulierakis, Denis Vavro, Jeanuel Belocian – Joakim Maehle, Christian Eriksen, Vinicius, Patrick Wimmer, Sael Kumbedi – Dzenan Pejcinovic, Adam Dagim.
Absentees: Rogerio, Maximilian Arnold, Kilian Fischer, Jonas Wind, Jenson Selt, Bence Dardai (all – injury).
Form and Line-up Bayern Munich
The visitors relaxed in the Bundesliga as early as the beginning of March, and they sealed the title ahead of schedule on 19 April in the game against Stuttgart (4:2). In recent weeks Kompany has been rotating his line-up, calmly fielding reserves for German league matches. Against Freiburg (3:2) and Mainz (4:3) Bayern Munich produced historic comebacks, but a week ago they almost slipped up at the Allianz Arena against the weakest team in the competition. Heidenheim were leading until the final minute, when a freak own goal by the goalkeeper occurred. Thus the visitors rescued themselves once again (3:3), although an easy win had been expected of them.
Key numbers Bayern Munich:
- Since the international break the visitors have conceded 10 goals in five Bundesliga matches – only three teams have a worse defensive record.
- Bayern Munich have conceded eight goals in total across their last two away matches against Mainz (4:3) and Paris Saint-Germain (4:5).
- Bayern Munich matches have gone over 3.5 goals in 25 of 32 Bundesliga fixtures.
Probable Bayern Munich line-up (4-3-1-2): Jonas Urbig – Hiroki Ito, Jonathan Tah, Kim Min Jae, Josip Stanisic – Konrad Laimer, Bara Ndiaye, Aleksandar Pavlovic – Leon Goretzka – Jamal Musiala, Nicolas Jackson.
Absentees: Serge Gnabry, Raphael Guerreiro (both – injury).
