Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Serie A match.
Sérgio Conceição's coaching staff are gradually adapting to AC Milan’s system, and it’s crucial for them to make gains in this part of the season. Ahead of their clash with Parma, Milan succeeded in securing a coveted spot in the top 8 of the Champions League group stage. Buoyed by their recent achievements, they will find it easier to create chances with the backing of the San Siro supporters.
AC Milan
Before their defeat to Juventus (0:2) last Saturday, Milan were unbeaten in eight consecutive matches. The game against the Turin side was the only loss for the Milan side in six matches under Sérgio Conceição—by Wednesday against Girona (1:0), they played more aggressively in the opposition half, with 1.31 xG and 17 shots. Milan rank in the top 4 in Serie A for expected goals (36.41), so opportunities will undoubtedly arise against the underdog’s shaky defence.
Parma
Parma, back in the top division, not only score frequently (26 goals — the best in the lower half of the table alongside Como) but also often falter defensively. Following a draw with Venezia (1:1), their buffer above the relegation zone is just one point, and in terms of xGA, Parma have the worst record in the league (44.45). With six injured players out, the trip to the San Siro will present a tough challenge for the team.
AC Milan vs Parma Prediction
In August, Milan lost to Parma (1:2) for the first time in 10 years, but since then, Serie A clubs have adjusted to Parma's style. The Milan side will not let this winnable match slip as they aim to climb the standings.