Watford
Last season can't be considered successful for Watford—they finished only 15th. However, they were among the top ten in terms of scoring. This season, only Burnley have scored more goals than Watford (six goals), so their third place in the table going prior to this round is well deserved. Edo Kayembe has emerged as the top scorer, already netting three goals, compared to his total of five last season. In the 2023/24 season, Tom Cleverley used the Congolese player in a central defensive role, but this season, he’s been pushed forward to either attacking midfielder or winger, increasing the attacking threat. At home, Watford beat Stoke (3:0) with 24 shots (8 on target) and 2.27 xG. Against Millwall, they needed only 1.12 xG and 10 shots to score three goals.
Derby County
Derby County were somewhat fortunate in their match against Middlesbrough. The visitors hit the woodwork and created a nearly 100% scoring chance that went unconverted. Goalkeeper Josh Vickers was one of the team’s standout performers, making four saves, despite Middlesbrough taking 20 shots. Middlesbrough are notoriously wasteful, a stark contrast to Watford. However, Derby County can pose a threat too: they scored both of their goals against Blackburn from corners, and their goalkeeper stopped a ball on the goal line. The team will likely focus on free kicks and corners.
Watford - Derby County Prediction
Watford's unbeaten streak at Vicarage Road now extends to six matches, during which they've scored 11 goals. Notably, Derby's last visit to this stadium ended in a 1:2 defeat. If Derby decide to engage in an open game like they did in the first round, they will likely concede more than once.