Form and Line-up Borussia Dortmund
By early April Borussia Dortmund had suffered only two defeats in the Bundesliga (both against Bayern Munich), but then the bad results started to pile up. The home side lost to Bayer Leverkusen, Borussia Monchengladbach (both 0:1) and Hoffenheim (1:2), but at home the hosts gave Freiburg no chance (4:0). The Europa League semi-finalists conceded three goals at Signal Iduna Park by the 31st minute, and the final xG difference was frightening (3.37-0.76). In Monchengladbach much went wrong for the team, yet even the only goal scored by Tabakovic did not really follow from the run of play — the opponents were simply lucky at the end. Such errors the yellow-and-blacks will no longer allow.
Key numbers Borussia Dortmund:
The yellow-and-blacks have collected 38 points at home — only Bayern Munich have more (41).
Borussia Dortmund have the most reliable home defence (14 goals conceded in 16 matches).
Borussia Dortmund have scored 2+ goals in seven of eight home league matches since the start of February.
Probable Borussia Dortmund line-up (3-4-2-1): Gregor Kobel — Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton, Luca Regiani — Maximilian Bayer, Jobe Bellingham, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Ryerson — Samuele Inacio, Julian Brandt — Serhou Guirassy.
Absentees: Niklas Sule, Karim Adeyemi, Felix Nmecha, Emre Can (all injured).
Form and Line-up Eintracht Frankfurt
The coaching reshuffle has hardly helped the visitors. Under Riera the Eagles have picked up 16 points from 12 matches — only the ninth-best record over this stretch. The gap to seventh place, currently occupied by Freiburg, is just one point, but their rivals do not have the toughest run-in. Eintracht Frankfurt collapsed at home last week against Hamburg (1:2), whose away form has always raised questions. Riera's side conceded twice early in the second half and created only 0.65 xG — much more could have been expected from the talented attacking players of the Frankfurt club.
Key numbers Eintracht Frankfurt:
The Eagles have the worst difference between xGA (50.79) and actual goals conceded (60).
Eintracht Frankfurt have conceded 35 goals away from home — only Wolfsburg, who spent a long time in the relegation zone, have a worse record (36).
Since the 2021/22 season Eintracht Frankfurt have conceded 14 goals in four matches in Dortmund — all of them ended in defeat.
Probable Eintracht Frankfurt line-up (4-5-1): Michael Zetterer — Nathaniel Brown, Robin Koch, Ellyes Skhiri, Aurele Amenda — Arnaud Kalimuendo, Oscar Heilund, Hugo Larsson, Can Uzun, Ansgar Knauff — Jonathan Burkardt.
Absentees: Nnamdi Collins, Jens Grahl (both injured), Rasmus Kristensen (suspended).
