The Serie A matchday 28 fixture between Milan and Inter will take place on 8 March at San Siro. Milan vs Inter: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Milan
After a disappointing game against Parma, Milan bounced back by beating Cremonese 2:0. The home side’s results have been impressive: that latest win was already Milan’s 16th in the league (9 draws, 2 defeats). Their first defeat came back in matchday 1, while the second was — as it happens — against Parma. In between, the club collected points consistently for a long spell. Massimiliano Allegri’s men also stand out for their defensive work: the team are in the top three for defensive performance. As things stand, Milan sit second in the league with 57 points, 10 behind Inter.
- In their last 12 home league matches, Milan have won seven (four draws, one defeat).
- On home soil, the team have not conceded more than one goal in their previous five Serie A matches.
- At home, the club have scored more than once in only two of their last eight matches in this competition.
Potential Milan Lineup (3-5-2)*
Mike Maignan – Koni De Winter, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlovic – Davide Bartesaghi, Luka Modric, Samuele Ricci, Zakary Athekame, Ardon Jashari – Christopher Nkunku, Rafael Leao.
Forward Santiago Gimenez and defender Ruben Loftus-Cheek will miss out through injury.
Inter
Inter’s results have been even more impressive than their rivals’. After 27 rounds, the away team have recorded 22 wins (one draw, four defeats). The visitors have also scored 64 goals, averaging 2.13 per game, while their xG figure is the best in Serie A. Inter’s European campaign is already over, but domestically everything is in order — first place with 67 points. Worth noting in particular is their 15-match unbeaten run, during which they beat Juventus 3:2, drew 2:2 with Napoli and, in the most recent round, dealt confidently with Genoa 2:0.
- In six of their last eight league games, Inter have kept a clean sheet.
- Across their previous 13 away Serie A matches, the team have won 11 (two defeats).
- In their last six matches in this competition, Inter have scored at least twice.
Potential Inter Lineup (3-5-2)*
Yann Sommer – Yann Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni – Luis Enrique, Nicolo Barella, Piotr Zielinski, Petar Sucic, Federico Dimarco – Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram
Forward Lautaro Martinez will not take part in the match due to injury.
Referee
Daniele Doveri (Italy)
Matches — 13 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) — 44;
Average yellow cards per match — 3.4;
Red cards shown — 1;
Fouls per match on average — 25;
Penalties — 15%.
Milan vs Inter: Match Prediction
It is difficult to pick a clear favourite for this upcoming clash. On the one hand, Inter — unlike Milan — have been involved in the Champions League, are still fighting on in the Coppa Italia and have a busier schedule. Even so, that has not stopped the team from showing consistency in the league, collecting points confidently and staying top of the table. This fixture could be decisive in many ways. Yes, Inter’s lead is already 10 points, but a victory would practically settle the title race and allow the club to negotiate the run-in in comfort. If Milan win, however, the intrigue will remain, and Massimiliano Allegri’s side will not only cut the gap but also be able to pull away from Napoli, who continue to breathe down their necks. The two have already met in this league campaign, and Milan came out on top 1:0.
After the cup tie between Cristian Chivu’s men and Como, it feels as though Inter have started to allow themselves a certain looseness. Across the entire match, the team did not register a single shot on target, and their xG was only 0.07 — an extremely modest return, even taking rotation into account. Of course, in the league the team act with greater focus, but recent results across competitions are concerning: in their previous five matches they have managed only two wins (one draw, two defeats). We think Allegri’s more motivated side are unlikely to let points slip easily, especially given the table situation and the fierce nature of this rivalry.
Prediction: Milan, double chance
* For each team, the starting XI from its previous match in this competition is listed.
