Algeria vs Austria: prediction & betting odds 28 June 2026

Why There Is No Favourite in the Match

Bookmakers consider Austria slight favourites, but the bigger move is towards the draw, because both teams are guaranteed to reach the play-offs if the points are shared. The draw can be backed at odds of around 2.20-2.35.

• Both teams have taken three points from two rounds and have the same tournament weight and motivation.

• Austria have a slightly better goal difference: 0 (3:3), compared with -2 for Algeria (2:4).

• The teams are almost side by side in the FIFA rankings - Algeria (No. 28) and Austria (No. 24).

Form and Line-up Algeria

Algeria approach the decisive match after a comeback win over Jordan (2:1), which changed the mood after the heavy defeat to Argentina (0:3). Vladimir Petkovic saw his side respond with greater purpose and show a much sharper attacking display.

The match against Jordan was notable for the pressing from the Algerians. They had 17 shots, eight of them on target, held 72% possession and earned 10 corners. That was in sharp contrast to the game against Argentina, when Algeria had the ball but did not manage a single shot on target.

Key numbers for Algeria:

• In their last 26 matches in all competitions, Algeria have lost only twice.

• In four friendlies before the World Cup, the Algerians did not concede a single goal and scored 12.

• They have had mixed results against European national teams - four wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 10 meetings.

Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Luca Zidane - Rafik Belghali, Aissa Mandi, Ramy Bensebaini, Rayan Ait-Nouri - Hicham Boudaoui, Ramiz Zerrouki - Riyad Mahrez, Ibrahim Maza, Fares Chaibi - Amine Gouiri.

Absentees: Mohamed Amoura (injury).

Form and Line-up Austria

Austria began the tournament with a confident win over Jordan (3:1), but lost to Argentina (0:2) in the second round. The defeat to the reigning world champions raised questions about attacking efficiency: the team produced 70 attacks, 59 of which were dangerous, but had only six shots, with one on target.

In the winning match against Jordan, the Austrians showed good passing quality - 487 accurate passes from 580 attempts (84% accuracy). At the same time, the team do not get carried away with sterile ball circulation, making up to 96 passes into the final third with a creative efficiency of 69%.

Key numbers for Austria:

• The defeat to Argentina was only the Austrians' second in their last 13 matches.

• In two recent friendlies, the Austrians twice beat African national teams - Tunisia (1:0) and Ghana (5:1).

• Before the match against Argentina, the team had scored in six consecutive games.

Probable Austria line-up (4-2-3-1): Alexander Schlager - Stefan Posch, Kevin Danso, David Alaba, Konrad Laimer - Nicolas Seiwald, Xaver Schlager - Romano Schmid, Paul Wanner, Marcel Sabitzer - Michael Gregoritsch.

Absentees: -.

Team Chances

Let us convert the odds into probabilities and remove the built-in margin (~5%). Average line: Algeria 2.80, draw 3.10, Austria 2.50.

After removing the margin, Austria's win is estimated at roughly 34%, the draw at 41%, and Algeria's success at 24%. The market views the teams as close in strength, while the probability of a draw is higher than usual because of the tournament situation.

Alternative Bets

• X2 (Austria will not lose) - 1.25: a basic option for accumulators, given the tournament situation.

• Both teams to score - Yes - 1.95-2.05: both teams scored against Jordan, and there are several top forwards in the squads (Arnautovic, Gouiri).

• Under 2.5 goals - 1.40-1.45: the status of the match and the tournament permutations point towards a closed game.

• Austria Draw No Bet - 1.60-1.65: a draw means a stake refund, a win means a payout.

• Draw - 2.15-2.40: a direct outcome option that suits both teams.

Total Prediction

The totals line is tilted towards the under: Under 2.5 is 1.40-1.45, while Over 2.5 is 2.65-2.75. The market expects a closed match with few goals, given the tournament permutations and the cost of a mistake.

Under 2.5 at 1.45 is the most reliable totals market: the teams will not charge forward recklessly and will either exchange goals (1:1) or Austria will win narrowly (1:0, 2:0), but the total will stay within three goals.

Handicap Prediction

Austria Draw No Bet is the most balanced position. A win means a payout, a draw means a stake refund. A (-1.5) handicap on either team is risky because of the expected low scoring.

Austria Draw No Bet at 1.60-1.70 looks attractive: the Europeans have the advantage on goal difference and can afford to play to protect the scoreline.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

In the both teams to score market, there is a slight edge for Yes: 1.90-2.10 (~52%) versus No at 1.75-1.85 (~53%). Both teams scored against Jordan, while few sides could compete with Argentina. Given Algeria's attacking potential and Austria's counterattacking qualities, both teams scoring looks likely.

Both teams to score - Yes is a workable option, although with minimal margin. Even in a closed match, the teams are capable of finding their chances.

Double Chance Prediction

X2 (Austria will not lose) is the most conservative option at 1.25-1.30. The 12 option (either team to win) at 1.55-1.70 is for those who are confident there will be no draw. 1X (Algeria will not lose) is 1.40-1.45.

X2 is a basic option for accumulators, given Austria's tournament position and their ability to avoid defeat in 11 of their last 13 matches.

Correct Score Prediction

The most likely score is 1:1: a draw suits both teams, and with that outcome each side will solve their tournament tasks. The alternative is 1:0 in favour of Austria if the Europeans take their chance on the counterattack. A 0:0 scoreline is also possible, and there have already been four such matches at this World Cup. The teams will shut things down and take the game to a share of the points.

When and Where to Watch

The match will start on Sunday, 28 June at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, USA) at 03:00 BST.

Live broadcasts of World Cup matches in the UK: BBC Sport and ITV.

Who Will Referee the Match

Ilgiz Tantashev (Uzbekistan)

Matches – 15 (International matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match – 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.8;
Matches with red cards – 5 out of 15;
Matches with penalties – 2 out of 15.