The Matchday 26 Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion will take place on 11 February at Villa Park in Birmingham. Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Aston Villa
Aston Villa had to settle for a draw in the last round, playing out a 1:1 scoreline with Bournemouth away from home. The home side have clearly slowed down, recording just one win in their previous five league matches (2 draws and 2 defeats). In that run, the hosts failed to score on three occasions. Even so, Aston Villa remain third in the standings, although the gap to leaders Arsenal has grown to nine points. In addition, only the two teams above them have conceded fewer goals in the league than the Birmingham outfit (27).
- No more than two goals have been scored in Aston Villa’s last five Premier League matches.
- The club have won 8 of their last 10 home matches in the Premier League.
- The Birmingham side have not conceded more than one goal in their last 10 home Premier League games.
Potential Aston Villa Lineup (4-5-1)*
Emiliano Martinez – Ezri Konsa, Lucas Digne, Matty Cash, Tyrone Mings – Emiliano Buendia, Douglas Luiz, Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Amadou Onana – Ollie Watkins.
Midfielders Youri Tielemans, John McGinn and Boubacar Kamara, as well as defender Andres Garcia, are out injured.
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion simply cannot find a way out of the crisis they fell into in early December. Over the last 12 league matches, the away side have managed to beat only Burnley, while drawing six times and losing five. In the previous round, Brighton & Hove Albion hosted Crystal Palace but failed to make home advantage count, losing 0:1. It was also the first time in five Premier League matches that the visitors failed to score. As a result, the club have dropped to 14th place, although there is no talk of a relegation battle yet — they are eight points clear of the drop zone.
- Brighton & Hove Albion are on a five-match winless run in the Premier League (3 draws and 2 defeats).
- Both teams to score – Yes has landed in 6 of Brighton & Hove Albion’s last 8 Premier League matches.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of the club’s last 6 Premier League games.
Potential Brighton & Hove Albion Lineup (4-3-3)*
Bart Verbruggen – Maxim De Cuyper, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, Olivier Boscagli – Pascal Gross, Harry Howell, Carlos Baleba – Georginio Rutter, Kaoru Mitoma, Charalampos Kostoulas.
Defenders Stefanos Tzimas and Adam Webster, as well as midfielders Solly March and Mats Wieffer, will miss the match through injury.
Referee
Peter Bankes (England)
Matches – 17 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 67;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 3;
Fouls per match on average – 22;
Penalties – 35%.
Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Match Prediction
Both teams are in very poor form. The visitors are no longer thinking about European qualification, as they have fallen well behind the top five. Meanwhile, the home team have minimised their chances of winning the title, and their current third place is now under threat, with Chelsea and Manchester City closing in. Both sides need major changes to improve their results, so in the upcoming match they will try to show their best in attack and may even commit more resources going forward.
Aston Villa will be looking to make amends after their last two home defeats in the Premier League. Before that, the hosts had put together eight consecutive home wins in the league, and in that run the team scored at least twice on six occasions. Brighton & Hove Albion, for their part, have scored in each of their last four away Premier League matches. However, the away side have also conceded two goals in 4 of their last 5 away games in the Premier League. On top of that, at least three goals have been scored in 6 of the last 7 league head-to-head meetings.
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their previous match in this competition.
