Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, Manchester City are clear favourites: Manchester City to win is priced at 1.65 against 4.90 for Crystal Palace to win, while the draw is offered at 4.15. In the main total, Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 looks notably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.20. In the handicap market at 0, Manchester City Draw No Bet at 1.25 is rated much higher than Crystal Palace Draw No Bet at 3.50.
Why Manchester City Are Favourites for the Match
The bookmakers give Manchester City the edge: an away win is priced at 1.65, a Crystal Palace win at 4.90, and the draw at 4.15.
- Manchester City have outperformed their opponents for total attempted shots in 10 of their last 10 Premier League matches, consistently creating more attacks.
- Crystal Palace have failed to win in 9 of their last 10 league matches, which underlines how difficult it is for them to bridge the gap in class.
Form and Line-up Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace lost 0:2 to Everton in the opening round of the Premier League. Pierre Sage was appointed on the eve of the season, so the new staff still do not have a sufficient official sample size, and the team's restructuring is taking place during the opening matches.
At home, Crystal Palace have consistently produced low-scoring attacking returns, scoring under 2.5 goals in their last 10 home league matches.
Key numbers:
- At home, Crystal Palace's opponents have been caught offside no more than twice in 10 of their last 10 Premier League matches.
- In 9 of Crystal Palace's last 10 Premier League home matches, there have been no more than 11 corners.
- Crystal Palace have had no more than five shots on target in 8 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
Probable Crystal Palace line-up (3-4-3): Dean Henderson — Takehiro Tomiyasu, Jaydee Canvot, Chris Richards — Daniel Munoz, Tyrick Mitchell, Adam Wharton, Daichi Kamada — Dwight McNeil, Jorgen Strand Larsen, Ismaila Sarr
Absentees: Chadi Riad (injury)
Form and Line-up Manchester City
Manchester City began the league campaign with a 2:1 home win over Bournemouth, secured thanks to a Josko Gvardiol goal in added time. The upcoming game will be the team's first away Premier League match under Enzo Maresca.
Away from home, Manchester City have maintained a high level of consistency, not being outscored in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away games.
Key numbers:
- Manchester City have taken at least six corners in 10 of their last 10 Premier League matches.
- In 9 of Manchester City's last 10 Premier League away matches, at least three offsides have been recorded.
- Manchester City have had at least four shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches.
Probable Manchester City line-up (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma — Rico Lewis, Abdukodir Khusanov, Ruben Dias, Marc Guehi, Josko Gvardiol — Marc Guehi, Elliot Anderson — Antoine Semenyo, Nico O'Reilly, Phil Foden — Erling Haaland
Absentees: Jeremy Doku (injury), Ryan McAidoo (not fit)
Team Chances
Crystal Palace to win is priced at 5.10, with a no-margin estimate of 5.34 and 18.7%. For the draw, the figures are 4.20, 4.40 and 22.7% respectively. Manchester City to win is priced at 1.63; the no-margin estimate is 1.71 and the probability is 58.6%, making this the most likely outcome.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
Crystal Palace to win | 5.10 | 5.34 | 18.7% |
Draw | 4.20 | 4.40 | 22.7% |
Manchester City to win | 1.63 | 1.71 | 58.6% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 2.20 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.67, so the market expects at least three goals. On the 3.5 mark, Under 3.5 goals is priced lower at 1.50 against Over 3.5 goals at 2.55.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.20 | 1.67 |
3.5 | 1.50 | 2.55 |
Handicap Prediction
Manchester City (-1.5) is available at 2.60, while Crystal Palace (+1.5) is 1.47. On the -1 line, Manchester City (-1) is priced at 2.05, while on the +1 line Crystal Palace (+1) is 1.78. With a 0 handicap, Crystal Palace Draw No Bet is priced at 3.60 and Manchester City Draw No Bet at 1.25, which makes the visitors stand out clearly.
Home team | Handicap | Away team |
— | -1.5 | 2.60 |
1.47 | 1.5 | — |
— | -1 | 2.05 |
1.78 | 1 | — |
3.60 | 0 | 1.25 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is offered at 1.70, while Both teams to score - No is 2.10. The lower odds on Yes point to an expectation of goals from both teams.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.70 |
No | 2.10 |
Double Chance Prediction
Double chance 1X is priced at 2.30, 12 at 1.25 and X2 at 1.19. The market sees X2 as the most likely option, while the insurance against a draw in the 12 bet is rated slightly higher.
1X | 12 | X2 |
13/10
|
1/4
|
19/100
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Crystal Palace — 1 goal, Manchester City — 2 goals.
Crystal Palace Team Total
Crystal Palace: Under 0.5 goals is priced at 2.45, Over 0.5 goals at 1.50; Under 1 goal at 1.65, Over 1 goal at 2.20; Under 1.5 goals at 1.30, Over 1.5 goals at 3.25. The market gives a noticeably higher rating to at least one goal for the hosts, but leans towards them not scoring more than one.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.45 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
1.65 | 1 | 2.20 |
1.30 | 1.5 | 3.25 |
Manchester City Team Total
Manchester City: Under 0.5 goals is priced at 6.30, Over 0.5 goals at 1.07; Under 1.5 goals at 2.18, Over 1.5 goals at 1.65; Under 2 goals at 1.65, Over 2 goals at 2.17; Under 2.5 goals at 1.38, Over 2.5 goals at 2.80. With almost no doubt about the visitors scoring, the market also leans slightly more towards two or more goals, but not three.
Under | Team total | Over |
6.30 | 0.5 | 1.07 |
2.18 | 1.5 | 1.65 |
1.65 | 2 | 2.17 |
1.38 | 2.5 | 2.80 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Andy Madley (England)
Matches – 3 (all competitions, 2026/27 season up to 26 August 2026)
Average fouls per match – 26
Average yellow cards per match – 2.67
