Odds overview
Croatia are the favourites — a Croatia win is available at 2.15, while a Czech Republic win and a draw are around 3.30–3.55. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. For a handicap of 0, Croatia are available at 1.60 against 2.35 for the Czech Republic.
Why Croatia are favourites
Bookmakers favour the visitors — a Croatia win is offered at 2.15, compared with 3.30 for a Czech Republic win and 3.55 for a draw.
- Croatia regularly find the net, having scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Changes have complicated the Czech Republic's preparations — head coach Santi Denia is holding his first training camp in charge of the national team and has had to revise his original squad list because of injuries to six players.
- Croatia's opponents scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 home matches. The visitors can defend reliably even away from home, and they have every chance of taking three points against an inconsistent Czech Republic.
Form and Line-up Czech Republic
The Czech Republic returned from the 2026 FIFA World Cup having made little impression, losing to South Korea (1:2) and Mexico (0:3) and drawing with South Africa (0:0). They begin the new UEFA Nations League season in League A, having won their previous campaign with 11 points and a 9:8 goal difference.
- The Czech Republic's opponents took no more than 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- The Czech Republic's opponents were caught offside no more than once in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
- The Czech Republic received no more than 2 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Lukáš Horníček, Stepan Chaloupek, Robin Hranac, Ladislav Krejčí, Adam Karabec, Michal Sadílek, Lukas Cerv, Ondrej Lingr, Pavel Sulc, Martin Vitík, Adam Hložek.
Absentees: David Zima, Tomas Chory, David Jurásek, Matej Rynes, Denis Višinský, Tomas Vlcek and Lukáš Provod (all injured); Tomas Holes (doubtful).
Form and Line-up Croatia
Croatia also performed very poorly at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. After progressing from their group, Slaven Bilic's side were knocked out by Portugal in the Round of 32 (1:2). In the UEFA Nations League, Croatia finished second with eight points, behind Portugal once again.
- At least 9 corners were taken in 8 of Croatia's last 10 away matches in all competitions.
- Croatia and their opponents scored at least 2 goals between them in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Croatia's opponents scored no more than 1 goal in 9 of Croatia's last 10 home matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Dominik Livaković, Josip Stanišić, Luka Vušković, Joško Gvardiol, Ivan Perišić, Luka Modrić, Mateo Kovačić, Luka Sučić, Petar Sučić, Martin Baturina, Igor Matanović.
Absentees: Josip Juranović and Martin Erlic (both injured).
Teams' chances
A Croatia win is rated the most likely outcome, with average odds of 2.15, fair odds of 2.26 and a probability of 44.3%. The corresponding figures are 3.30, 3.46 and 28.9% for a Czech Republic win, and 3.55, 3.73 and 26.8% for a draw.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czech Republic win | 3.30 | 3.46 | 28.9% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.73 | 26.8% |
| Croatia win | 2.15 | 2.26 | 44.3% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 has shorter odds than Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. At the 3.5-goal line, by contrast, the market favours Under 3.5 goals at 1.42 over Over 3.5 goals at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
The Czech Republic (-1.5) are available at 5.90 and Croatia (-1.5) at 3.50; for a +1.5 handicap, the odds are 1.25 for the Czech Republic (+1.5) and 1.08 for Croatia (+1.5). At -1, the Czech Republic (-1) are offered at 5.20 and Croatia (-1) at 2.90; at +1, the respective odds are 1.35 and 1.11. With a handicap of 0, Croatia (0) at 1.60 are favoured over the Czech Republic (0) at 2.35.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.90 | -1.5 | 3.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.08 |
| 5.20 | -1 | 2.90 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 1.11 |
| 2.35 | 0 | 1.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes at 1.65 is considered more likely than Both teams to score – No at 2.15; the latter means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.15 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
67/100
|
29/100
|
33/100
|
| 888sport |
67/100
|
3/10
|
33/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Czech Republic — 1 goal; Croatia — 1.5 goals.
Czech Republic team total goals
For the Czech Republic's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.35 has considerably shorter odds than Under 0.5 goals at 2.95; at the 1-goal line, Over is 1.70 and Under is 2.10. At 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 is available at 1.50 and Over 1.5 at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 2.10 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 1.50 | 1.5 | 2.50 |
Croatia team total goals
For Croatia's team total, Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.20 against 4.20 for Under 0.5, while Over 1 goal is 1.35 against 2.95 for Under 1. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close — Under 1.5 is 1.80 and Over 1.5 is 1.95. At 2 goals, Under 2 is offered at 1.35 and Over 2 at 2.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.80 | 1.5 | 1.95 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 2.90 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Simone Sozza (Italy)
Matches – 14 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.8;
Matches with a red card – 3 of 14;
Matches with a penalty – 8 of 14.
