Jordan vs Argentina: prediction & betting odds 28 June 2026

Why Are Argentina Favourites for the Match?

Bookmakers regard Argentina as one of the main contenders for the title, so a bet on the Albiceleste to beat Jordan is offered at odds from 1.18 to 1.23, depending on the bookmaker:

• Argentina are the reigning world champions and the only side in Group J to have taken the maximum six points from the first two rounds.

• The Albiceleste have scored five goals without conceding any.

• Messi has become the top scorer in World Cup history (18 goals). Leo leads the 2026 World Cup scoring charts with five goals.

• Argentina are on a run of nine consecutive wins, which started back in October. The Argentina squad is 40 times more expensive than Jordan's (EUR 807.5 million versus EUR 20.3 million).

Form and Line-up Jordan

Jordan have been left without any chance of reaching the play-offs. Even before the fatal group-stage results against Austria (1:3) and Algeria (1:2), the team had looked poor in pre-tournament friendlies – there were defeats against Switzerland (1:4) and Colombia (0:2). As expected, the side are capable of showing decent structure between the lines, but in the first two rounds it clearly lacked individual quality.

Key numbers for Jordan:

• The team have accumulated only 1.10 xG over 180 minutes at the 2026 World Cup. Only five national teams have a lower expected-goals figure.

• Jordan have gone six matches without a win. They have conceded at least two goals in every game in 2026.

• Jordan rank 39th in xGA with 3.58.

Probable Jordan line-up (3-4-2-1)

Yazeed Abulaila – Hussam Abu Daghob, Yazan Al-Arab, Abdallah Nasib – Mohannad Abu Taha, Noor Al-Rawabdeh, Nizar Al-Rashdan, Ehsan Haddad – Mahmoud Al-Mardi, Ali Olwan – Mousa Tamari

Absentees: Ibrahim Sabra (injury)

Form and Line-up Argentina

Confident qualification and an excellent set of friendly results before the 2026 World Cup have led the Albiceleste to play festival football at the tournament itself. All five goals scored by Argentina so far belong to Messi – Leo has become the all-time leading scorer in World Cup history. After his hat-trick against Algeria (3:0), the legend was not bothered by a missed penalty at the start of the game with Austria (2:0) – he still produced a brace with sublime finishing.

Key numbers for Argentina:

• The Albiceleste rank in the top 10 at the 2026 World Cup for expected goals (3.62) after two rounds.

• Argentina have won nine matches in a row. Over this stretch they have conceded only one goal.

• On this winning run, the team have won by a margin of at least two goals in seven of those matches.

Probable Argentina line-up (4-4-2)

Emiliano Martinez – Facundo Medina, Lisandro Martinez, Cristian Romero, Nahuel Molina – Thiago Almada, Enzo Fernandez, Alexis Mac Allister, Rodrigo De Paul – Lautaro Martinez, Lionel Messi

Teams' Chances

Let us convert the odds into probabilities and remove the built-in margin (around 5%). The average line is: Jordan 13.53, draw 7.00, Argentina 1.20.

Alternative Bets

• Argentina (-1.5) on the handicap – 1.65: the Albiceleste have won by a margin of two or more goals in both matches at the tournament, a pattern that is hard to ignore.

• "Only Argentina to score" – 1.78: Jordan have created little at the 2026 World Cup, even though they have not been goalless. They are unlikely to end Martinez's run of clean sheets.

• Over 2.5 goals – 1.58–1.61: Argentina have already recorded 2:0 and 3:0 scorelines in their previous matches, and against the weakest team in the group there is no reason to expect parsimony.

• X2 (Argentina, double chance) – 1.02: an ultra-conservative anchor for any accumulator.

Total Goals Prediction

The market is confident about a game going over the 2.5-goal mark but is cautious about a big scoreline. Over 2.5 goals at 1.58–1.61 is the baseline option: Argentina are not inclined to play closed football, especially when the opponents have lost their tournament motivation by the third round.

Handicap Prediction

Argentina (-1.5) on the handicap at 1.65 is the most balanced position given their comfortable wins in the two previous matches. The (-2) handicap at 2.07 is attractive in terms of price but carries additional risk.

Both Teams to Score Prediction

The market clearly favours the "No" option: 1.57–1.66 compared with "Yes" at 2.22–2.40. Jordan have scored but have struggled to create. With proper control of the ball, Argentina are capable of completely shutting down the opposition's build-up. "Both teams to score – No" looks more logical: the Albiceleste know how to keep a clean sheet when the match is going their way.

Double Chance Prediction

X2 (Argentina not to lose) at 1.02 is a symbolic price, suitable only as an anchor in a long accumulator. The 12 option at 1.09–1.10 is slightly more interesting for those who rule out the draw and back the favourite to win outright.

Correct Score Prediction

The most likely scoreline is 2:0 in favour of Argentina at 5.00: the Albiceleste control the game from the first minutes and convert chances without taking unnecessary risks. An alternative is 3:0 at 6.00 if Messi and company decide to settle the contest already in the first half.

When and Where to Watch

The match will be played on 28 June 2026 at 03:00 BST. The venue is the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, USA.

Live broadcasts of World Cup matches in the UK: BBC Sport and ITV.

Who Will Referee the Match

István Kovács (Romania)

Matches – 23 (International matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match – 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.7;
Matches with red cards – 0 out of 23;
Matches with penalties – 5 out of 23.