Serie A
33rd round
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Lecce
MATCH FINISHED
1
:
1
20 April, 19:45
Fiorentina
1
29/5
X
23/10
2
29/4
Odds for upcoming matches
This match has ended, please select an alternative match to bet on
1 X 2
Under Over
19:45
1 9/4
X 5/2
2 5/4
Under 2.5 113/100
2.5
Over 2.5 73/100
21:00
1 31/20
X 23/10
2 17/10
Under 2.5 73/100
2.5
Over 2.5 27/25
19:45
1 12/5
X 5/2
2 6/5
Under 2.5 1/1
2.5
Over 2.5 4/5
14:00
1 3/2
X 11/5
2 2/1
Under 2.5 31/50
2.5
Over 2.5 33/25
17:00
1 50/1
X 9/1
2 9/100
Under 2.5 33/20
2.5
Over 2.5 1/2
Show all
Match stats
Logo Lecce Lecce
Fiorentina Logo Fiorentina
55 Ball possession (%) 45
14 Goal attempts 5
4 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked shots 0

Lecce vs Fiorentina: prediction & betting odds 20 April 2026

Published: 13 April 2026 12:45

On Monday 20 April at the Stadio Via del Mare, the final match of Matchday 33 in the Serie A season between Lecce and Fiorentina will kick off at 18:45 London time.


The hosts share the crucial 17th spot with Cremonese but trail on additional indicators. At this stage every point is worth its weight in gold, and ahead lies a meeting with a fatigued Fiorentina, in which there is an excellent chance for something special.


In this prediction we will break down the form of the teams, discuss the key pre-match factors and also offer an unconventional bet on the underdog at a solid price of 1.70.

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Fiorentina spent a huge amount of energy in their midweek Conference League clash with Crystal Palace (2:1) but still failed to reach the semi-finals. Moreover, in the first half of the season Lecce proved too strong for them (0:1), so we totally disagree with the bookmakers who immediately labelled the hosts as clear underdogs.


Confident Bet on the Match

Lecce will not hesitate to surrender the ball to their opponents even in front of their own fans (41.8% average possession). That means Fiorentina will have to start breaking down a low block from the first minutes, something the away side find extremely difficult. Yes, there is the creative Fagioli in the squad, who has already created 10 big chances, but his team-mates have converted only three of them. Moise Kean is the biggest squanderer of chances in the Serie A (eight goals from 15.1 xG). In his absence Piccoli will lead the line, and he also has plenty of issues with finishing (three goals from 5.3 xG).


Even if Fiorentina do manage to get their shots away, Falcone, who has already rescued his team many times, will come into play. What usually follows is a trademark clearance towards Banda, who is one of the best dribblers in the league (39% successful take-ons). Given space to run into, he will immediately look to threaten, which is particularly dangerous for the visitors, who have already conceded six penalties (fifth-worst record).


To sum up, Lecce definitely have aces up their sleeve that can help the team find the net. At the same time Fiorentina, who still have not found a reliable centre-forward, are unlikely to break down the hosts' low block.


Additional Bet on the Match

Fiorentina will certainly face counter-attacks and will have to stop them at any cost. The team struggle badly with discipline (an average of 5.5 yellow cards in matches involving them), so they will not hesitate to commit cynical fouls. Lecce also rarely finish a game without bookings (1.8 per match), so it is quite reasonable to expect that referee Maresca will have to calm tempers on the pitch more than once.


Yellow cards: Over 3.5

Betting prediction
Lecce, double chance
Cf
Odds
7/10
Read more

Team lineups

Lecce

Eusebio Di Francesco
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Wladimiro Falcone
gk. 33 -46
Jamil Siebert
df. 33 1
Tiago Gabriel
df. 33 2
Antonino Gallo
df. 32 0
Danilo Veiga
df. 32 0
Ylber Ramadani
mf. 32 1
Lassana Coulibaly
mf. 29 3
Oumar Ngom
mf. 14 0
Konan N'Dri
fw. 33 2
Santiago Pierotti
fw. 32 1
Walid Cheddira
fw. 12 0
Substitutes
Christian Früchtl
gk. 26 0
Jasper Samooja
gk. 0 0
Corrie Ndaba
df. 33 0
Matías Pérez
df. 22 0
Gaby Jean
df. 17 0
Álex Sala
mf. 32 0
Thórir Helgason
mf. 31 0
Lameck Banda
mf. 30 3
Filip Marchwiński
mf. 15 0
Omri Gandelman
mf. 15 2
Niko Kovač
mf. 13 0
Olaf Gorter
mf. 10 0
Nikola Štulić
fw. 32 3
Fiorentina

Paolo Vanoli
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
David de Gea
gk. 33 -45
Luca Ranieri
df. 32 1
Marin Pongračić
df. 32 0
Dodô
df. 31 1
Robin Gosens
df. 26 3
Cher Ndour
mf. 33 2
Nicolò Fagioli
mf. 32 2
Rolando Mandragora
mf. 30 6
Roberto Piccoli
fw. 32 3
Albert Guðmundsson
fw. 30 5
Jack Harrison
fw. 12 1
Substitutes
Luca Lezzerini
gk. 29 0
Oliver Christensen
gk. 15 0
Pietro Comuzzo
df. 33 1
Eddy Kouadio
df. 32 0
Luis Balbo
df. 13 0
Daniele Rugani
df. 8 0
E. Košpo
df. 0 0
Jacopo Fazzini
mf. 26 0
Marco Brescianini
mf. 13 1
Giovanni Fabbian
mf. 12 0
Manor Solomon
fw. 11 2
Riccardo Braschi
fw. 8 0
Giorgio Puzzoli
fw. 2 0

Previous matches in the tournament

Lecce
12 April, 2026
Serie A
Bologna
Lecce
2
0
L
Show more Hide
Fiorentina
13 April, 2026
Serie A
Fiorentina
Lazio
1
0
W
Show more Hide

H2H: Lecce — Fiorentina

Serie A 2025/26
2 November, 2025
Fiorentina
Lecce
0
1
Serie A 2024-2025
28 February, 2025
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
0
20 October, 2024
Lecce
Fiorentina
0
6
Serie A 2023-2024
2 February, 2024
Lecce
Fiorentina
3
2
27 August, 2023
Fiorentina
Lecce
2
2
Serie A 2022-2023
19 March, 2023
Fiorentina
Lecce
1
0
17 October, 2022
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
Serie A 2019-2020
15 July, 2020
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
3
30 November, 2019
Fiorentina
Lecce
0
1
Serie A 2011-2012
5 May, 2012
Lecce
Fiorentina
0
1
Show more Hide

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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Inter Milan
38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2
Napoli
38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3
Roma
38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4
Como 1907
38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5
Milan
38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6
Juventus
38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7
Atalanta
38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8
Bologna
38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9
Lazio
38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10
Udineze
38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11
Sassuolo
38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12
Torino
38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13
Parma
38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14
Cagliari
38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15
Fiorentina
38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16
Genoa
38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17
Lecce
38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18
Cremonese
38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19
Hellas Verona
38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20
Pisa
38 2 12 24 26:71 18
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Roma
5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2
Como 1907
5 4 1 0 8:1 13
3
Cagliari
5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4
Napoli
5 3 1 1 10:3 10
5
Lecce
5 3 1 1 6:4 10
6
Inter Milan
5 2 3 0 11:6 9
7
Bologna
5 2 2 1 7:7 8
8
Udineze
5 2 1 2 7:5 7
9
Lazio
5 2 1 2 7:10 7
10
Fiorentina
5 1 3 1 3:5 6
11
Juventus
5 1 3 1 4:5 6
12
Cremonese
5 2 0 3 6:10 6
13
Parma
5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14
Atalanta
5 1 2 2 6:7 5
15
Torino
5 1 2 2 7:9 5
16
Sassuolo
5 1 1 3 5:6 4
17
Milan
5 1 1 3 5:8 4
18
Hellas Verona
5 0 3 2 2:5 3
19
Genoa
5 0 2 3 1:5 2
20
Pisa
5 0 0 5 2:11 0
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Inter Milan
19 14 3 2 50:16 45
2
Napoli
19 13 4 2 33:18 43
3
Roma
19 13 3 3 33:10 42
4
Juventus
19 10 7 2 35:16 37
5
Como 1907
19 10 6 3 35:15 36
6
Atalanta
19 9 6 4 25:15 33
7
Milan
19 9 5 5 25:21 32
8
Lazio
19 8 6 5 27:25 30
9
Sassuolo
19 9 2 8 25:26 29
10
Torino
19 8 4 7 27:29 28
11
Cagliari
19 7 4 8 22:23 25
12
Udineze
19 6 5 8 18:21 23
13
Genoa
19 6 4 9 22:26 22
14
Bologna
19 6 4 9 19:23 22
15
Fiorentina
19 4 9 6 21:21 21
16
Parma
19 5 6 8 16:25 21
17
Lecce
19 5 5 9 13:24 20
18
Cremonese
19 3 7 9 18:29 16
19
Pisa
19 2 4 13 9:26 10
20
Hellas Verona
19 1 5 13 12:28 8
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Inter Milan
19 13 3 3 39:19 42
2
Milan
19 11 5 3 28:14 38
3
Como 1907
19 10 5 4 30:14 35
4
Bologna
19 10 4 5 30:23 34
5
Napoli
19 10 3 6 25:18 33
6
Juventus
19 9 5 5 26:18 32
7
Roma
19 10 1 8 26:21 31
8
Udineze
19 8 3 8 27:27 27
9
Atalanta
19 6 8 5 26:21 26
10
Lazio
19 6 6 7 14:15 24
11
Parma
19 6 6 7 12:21 24
12
Fiorentina
19 5 6 8 20:29 21
13
Sassuolo
19 5 5 9 21:24 20
14
Genoa
19 4 7 8 19:25 19
15
Cagliari
19 4 6 9 18:30 18
16
Cremonese
19 5 3 11 14:28 18
17
Lecce
19 5 3 11 15:26 18
18
Torino
19 4 5 10 17:34 17
19
Hellas Verona
19 2 7 10 13:33 13
20
Pisa
19 0 8 11 17:45 8
Legend
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals

Lecce vs Fiorentina Odds

Project-Id-Version: 20260902130013 Report-Msgid-Bugs-To: PO-Revision-Date: 2026-09-02 13:00:13 Language-Team: MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit Last-Translator: Plural-Forms: nplurals=3; plural=(n%10==1 && n%100!=11 ? 0 : n%10>=2 && n%10<=4 && (n%100<10 || n%100>=20) ? 1 : 2); Language: gb
1X2
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OVER/UNDER
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HANDICAP
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Alex Tarabrin
Alex Tarabrin
Betting Expert
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