Norway vs Senegal: prediction & betting odds 23 June 2026

Form and Line-up Norway

As expected, Norway tried to overwhelm Iraq with aggression from the first minutes of the opening round, and that plan worked (4:1). In addition to Haaland's goal after a sharp counter-attack, the Manchester City forward pressed the opposition defence well and put the national team ahead before the break. The Scandinavians scored the rest of their goals late on, when the opponents had run out of energy, and the coaching staff's smart substitutions are worth noting here (Ostigard scored off the bench).

Key numbers for Norway:

• Norway had only five shots on target against Iraq in the first round.

• Since March, Norway have won only one of four friendlies against national teams that qualified for the 2026 World Cup.

• The Norwegians made only 477 passes in the first round; among teams that had more than 60% possession, only Colombia (444) and South Korea (469) made fewer passes.

Probable Norway line-up (4-4-2)

Orjan Nyland; David Moller Wolfe, Torbjorn Heggem, Kristoffer Ajer, Julian Ryerson; Antonio Nusa, Fredrik Aursnes, Sander Berge, Martin Odegaard; Erling Haaland, Alexander Sorloth.

Form and Line-up Senegal

Senegal faced an overly strong opponent in the first round, but that did not stop the team from coming close to a shock. First, Pape Thiaw's players went as many as 65 minutes without conceding; before Mbappe's first goal, the visitors regularly created danger around the opposition penalty area themselves (Jackson's goal was ruled out for offside). Yes, the Africans failed to withstand the pressure late on, but Mbaye's accurate strike must be noted. The Paris Saint-Germain midfielder and Ndiaye, who provided the assist, came off the bench and created an excellent goalscoring move.

Key numbers for Senegal:

• Senegal made more tackles in the opposition third than France (5-4). Their pressing worked.

• Senegal goalkeeper Mendy made five saves; only five goalkeepers made more stops in the first round.

• Before the defeat to France, Senegal had not lost a competitive match since January 2024.

Probable Senegal line-up (4-2-3-1)

Edouard Mendy; El Hadji Malick Diouf, Moussa Niakhate, Kalidou Koulibaly, Krepin Diatta; Pape Gueye, Idrissa Gueye; Sadio Mane, Lamine Camara, Ismaila Sarr; Nicolas Jackson.

Who will referee the match 

Wilton Sampaio (Brazil) 

Matches – 14 (International matches, 2025 - 2026);

Average fouls per match – 22;

Average yellow/red cards per match (including second yellows) – 4,4;

Matches with a straight red card – 2 out of 14;

Matches with a penalty – 5 out of 14