Odds overview
Russia are favourites: the home win is around 1.65, the draw 3.55 and the away win about 5.60. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.77 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 1.97. In the handicap markets, Iran (+1.5) at 1.38 is notably preferred to Russia (-1.5) at 2.80; Russia (-1) is 2.17 against 1.65 for Iran (+1), while the Draw No Bet market favours Russia at 1.20 over Iran at 3.75.
Why Russia are favourites for the match
Russia are available at 1.65 to win, the draw is offered at 3.55 and an Iran win at 5.60.
• The hosts' status as favourites is supported by their ability to take control of matches: Russia have had more shots on target than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Iran, meanwhile, drew all three of their group-stage matches at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, demonstrating their ability to grind out results against strong teams.
Form and Line-up Russia
In their most recent match on 9 June, Russia beat Trinidad and Tobago 3:0. The team are attentive in defence: in each of their last 10 matches, Russia's opponents have had no more than five shots on target.
In attack, Valery Karpin's team regularly apply pressure down the flanks and from set pieces, taking at least five corners in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Key numbers:
• Russia's opponents scored no more than 1 goal in 9 of the last 10 matches.
• In 9 of the last 10 matches, Russia and their opponents received no more than five yellow cards.
• In 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Russia committed at least 11 fouls.
Probable Russia line-up (4-3-3): Matvei Safonov, Aleksandr Silyanov, Maksim Osipenko, Igor Diveev, Danil Krugovoy, Kirill Glebov, Aleksei Miranchuk, Alexandr Golovin, Maksim Glushenkov, Konstantin Tyukavin, Aleksey Batrakov
Form and Line-up Iran
Iran played their previous match on 27 June at the World Cup, drawing 1:1 with Egypt. The visitors are good at closing down space: in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Iran's opponents had no more than four shots on target.
The Iranians also maintain discipline well in defence, allowing their opponents no more than two offsides in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Key numbers:
• Iran have not lost in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• In 9 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions, Iran and their opponents took no more than 10 corners.
• In 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Iran's opponents scored no more than one goal.
Probable Iran line-up (4-2-3-1): Alireza Beiranvand, Ramin Rezaeian, Shoja Khalilzadeh, Hossein Kanaanizadegan, Milad Mohammadi, Saeed Ezatolahi, Saman Ghoddos, Alireza Jahanbakhsh, Mohammad Mohebi, Mehdi Torabi, Mehdi Taremi
Team chances
The home win at 1.65 corresponds to a no-margin probability of 56.8% and fair odds of 1.76. For the draw, odds of 3.55 give 26.4% and 3.79; for the away win, 5.60 gives 16.7% and 5.97.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Russia to win | 1.65 | 1.76 | 56.8% |
Draw | 3.55 | 3.79 | 26.4% |
Iran to win | 5.60 | 5.97 | 16.7% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.77, compared with 1.97 for Over 2.5 goals, which gives a slight edge to the lower-total option. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.30 is substantially more likely than Over 3.5 goals at 3.20.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.77 | 1.97 |
3.5 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Handicap prediction
Russia (-1.5) is available at 2.80, while Iran (+1.5) is at 1.38. In the adjacent pair, Russia (-1) is 2.17 against 1.65 for Iran (+1). The Draw No Bet market is quoted at 1.20 for Russia and 3.75 for Iran, clearly favouring Russia.
Home | Handicap | Away |
2.80 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.38 |
2.17 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 1.65 |
1.20 | 0 | 3.75 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.85 is slightly shorter than Both teams to score - Yes at 1.90: the market slightly favours at least one team failing to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.90 |
No | 1.85 |
Double chance prediction
1X at 1.13 is the most likely double-chance outcome, 12 is 1.27, while X2 at 2.17 looks less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
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Team total prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team-total lines for this match: Russia 1.5 goals and Iran 0.5 goals.
Russia team total
Russia team total: Under 0.5 goals — 4.90, Over 0.5 goals — 1.12; Under 1 goal — 3.45, Over 1 goal — 1.25. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.92 is slightly longer than Over 1.5 goals at 1.78, while at 2 goals, Under 2 goals at 1.43 is notably shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.60.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.90 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
3.45 | 1 | 1.25 |
1.92 | 1.5 | 1.78 |
1.43 | 2 | 2.60 |
Iran team total
Iran team total: Under 0.5 goals at 2.10 is longer than Over 0.5 goals at 1.65. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 1.42 against 2.65 for Over 1, while Under 1.5 goals at 1.20 is substantially preferred to Over 1.5 goals at 3.90.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.10 | 0.5 | 1.65 |
1.42 | 1 | 2.65 |
1.20 | 1.5 | 3.90 |
