Odds overview
England are clear favourites to win at 1.42, while the draw is available at 4.80 and a Czech Republic win at 7.40. In the main goals market, Over 2.5 at 1.75 is shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.10. England (-1) at 1.65 is considerably shorter than the Czech Republic (+1) at 2.18 in the handicap market.
Why England are favourites
Bookmakers give the visitors a clear advantage: England are 1.42 to win, compared with 4.80 for the draw and 7.40 for a Czech Republic win.
• England regularly maintain a high attacking intensity, recording at least four shots on target in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
• At home, the Czech Republic often allow opponents to create chances: in 8 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches, their opponents took more than three corners.
Form and Line-up Czech Republic
The Czech Republic lost 1:2 at home to Croatia in their opening UEFA Nations League match. The team also try to play with discipline in their contests: in 8 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches, their opponents committed fewer than 12.5 fouls.
- There were fewer than 9.5 shots on target in 8 of the Czech Republic's last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- The Czech Republic received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 home UEFA Nations League matches.
- There were fewer than 3.5 offsides in 9 of the Czech Republic's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Lukas Hornicek, Vladimír Coufal, Robin Hranac, Ladislav Krejčí, Stepan Chaloupek, Michal Sadílek, Roman Macek, Lukas Ambros, Adam Karabec, Pavel Sulc, Adam Hložek
Form and Line-up England
England began with a 2:3 home defeat to Spain, showing both attacking potential and defensive vulnerability. In 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches, they took more than 3.5 corners and committed fewer than 12.5 fouls while maintaining an emphasis on possession.
- There were fewer than 3.5 offsides in 9 of England's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- England attempted more than 11.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Fewer than 4.5 goals were scored in the first half of all 10 of England's last 10 matches across all competitions.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): James Trafford, Nico O'Reilly, Marc Guéhi, Ezri Konsa, Jarell Quansah, Myles Lewis-Skelly, Elliot Anderson, Anthony Gordon, Jude Bellingham, Bukayo Saka, Harry Kane
Declan Rice, Cole Palmer, Marcus Rashford, Kobbie Mainoo and Tino Livramento remain out of England's squad.
The teams' chances
A Czech Republic win is offered at 7.40, with fair odds of 7.75 and a probability of 12.9%. The draw is available at 4.80, with fair odds of 5.03 and a probability of 19.9%. An England win is offered at 1.42, with fair odds of 1.49 and a probability of 67.2%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czech Republic win | 7.40 | 7.75 | 12.9% |
| Draw | 4.80 | 5.03 | 19.9% |
| England win | 1.42 | 1.49 | 67.2% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.75 is shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.10. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.42 is favoured over Over 3.5 at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
England (-1.5) are offered at 2.18, while the Czech Republic (+1.5) are at 1.68. On the adjacent lines, England (-1) are available at 1.65, compared with 2.18 for the Czech Republic (+1). At the zero handicap, England (0) at 1.12 are considerably shorter than the Czech Republic (0) at 5.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.18 | |
| 1.68 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.65 | |
| 2.18 | 1 | |
| 5.00 | 0 | 1.12 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No at 1.80 is slightly shorter than Both teams to score – Yes at 1.95, so the market considers it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.95 |
| No | 1.80 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/4
|
17/100
|
1/10
|
| 888sport |
7/4
|
1/5
|
1/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal lines for this match: the Czech Republic — 0.5 goals; England — 2 goals.
Czech Republic team goals
For Czech Republic team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.77 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 1.97. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.35 is clearly favoured over Over 1 at 3.00; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.17 compared with 4.20 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.97 | 0.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 3.00 |
| 1.17 | 1.5 | 4.20 |
England team goals
For England team goals, Over 0.5 at 1.05 is strongly favoured over Under 0.5 at 7.30. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 is 1.55 compared with 2.40 for Under 1.5; at the 2-goal line, the odds are close — Under 2 at 1.80 and Over 2 at 1.95. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.47 is shorter, while Over 2.5 is offered at 2.55.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.30 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
| 2.40 | 1.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.80 | 2 | 1.95 |
| 1.47 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Halil Umut Meler (Turkey)
Matches — 9 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.6;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 9;
Matches with a penalty — 3 of 9.
