Sweden vs Tunisia: prediction & betting odds 15 June 2026

Form and Line-up Sweden

Sweden reached the tournament the hard way. In their main qualifying group, the team failed to win a single match, picked up only two points and received a second chance only through the Nations League. In the play-offs, Sweden came alive under Graham Potter: first they got past Ukraine (3:1), then they edged out Poland (3:2), where Viktor Gyokeres scored the winning goal in the 88th minute. There is still plenty of concern before the start: defeat to Norway (1:3) and a draw with Greece (2:2) again showed that Sweden are strong in attack, but the team give opponents too much at the back.

In terms of playing style, Sweden are built around the quality of their forwards. Gyokeres forces his way through the centre, engages well in physical duels and finds space well in the box. Alexander Isak provides pace, one-touch play and movement between defenders, but his physical condition remains an important question. His season at Liverpool was disrupted: a fractured fibula in winter, a late return and little consistent rhythm. Lindelof missed the match against Greece because of a minor foot problem, Elanga took a knock to the knee, and Gudmundsson fell ill before the start. So, in terms of names, Sweden look powerful, but questions remain over readiness and balance.

Key numbers:

• Both teams to score landed in Sweden's last six matches.
• In their last five matches, Sweden scored 10 goals and conceded nine.
• Sweden have conceded in 10 consecutive matches.

Probable line-up (3-4-1-2): Kristoffer Nordfeldt — Gustaf Lagerbielke, Isak Hien, Victor Nilsson Lindelof — Alexander Bernhardsson, Jesper Karlstrom, Yasin Ayari, Elliot Stroud — Benjamin Nygren — Alexander Isak, Viktor Gyokeres.

Absentees: Dejan Kulusevski — knee injury, Emil Holm — muscle injury. Both are out of the squad. Gabriel Gudmundsson missed preparation because of illness, and his involvement is in doubt.

Form and Line-up Tunisia

Tunisia arrive with different baggage. In qualifying, Tunisia came through their group almost perfectly: nine wins, one draw, 22 goals scored and none conceded. But it is important not to overrate that run. The level of opposition was below the World Cup, and the latest friendlies have already highlighted the difference. Under Sabri Lamouchi, Tunisia started cautiously: a win over Haiti (1:0) and a draw with Canada (0:0), but then came defeats to Austria (0:1) and Belgium (0:5).

The playing profile is clear: Tunisia try not to open up, block the centre and wait for a chance to break through the flanks. Ellyes Skhiri links the lines and gives the team order in midfield. Elias Achouri and Hannibal Mejbri are important for quick attacks, but there are still questions over finishing. After the heavy defeat to Belgium, the main risk is no longer only in attack, but whether the defence can withstand the pressure of a team with forwards of Isak and Gyokeres's level. There are no obvious physical losses, but a change of coach and tough tests against Austria and Belgium make Tunisia's start less calm than their clean qualifying run might suggest.

Key numbers:

• Tunisia did not concede a single goal in 10 qualifying matches.
• In their last five matches, Tunisia scored only two goals and conceded seven.
• Under 2.5 goals landed in five of the last six matches.

Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Aymen Dahmen — Yan Valery, Montassar Talbi, Dylan Bronn, Ali Abdi — Ellyes Skhiri, Rani Khedira — Elias Achouri, Hannibal Mejbri, Anis Ben Slimane — Elias Saad.

Absentees: there are no confirmed injuries. Ferjani Sassi and Yassine Meriah were left out of the squad by the coaching staff's decision.