Tunisia vs Netherlands: prediction & betting odds 26 June 2026

Form and Line-up Tunisia

Tunisia are having an extremely poor tournament and sit bottom of the group table without a point. The team are creating virtually no threat in the opposition box. Across two rounds at the 2026 World Cup, they have accumulated only 0.34 xG and managed just two shots on target. At the same time, the team are far too unstable near their own goal, conceding nine goals from 3.47 xGA.

Key numbers for Tunisia:

• The team's forwards have been completely taken out of the game: none of the strikers have produced shots worth even 0.04 xG.

• Including friendlies, Tunisia have suffered four consecutive defeats by a combined score of 1:15.

• Renard's team have lost their chances of reaching the play-offs and will not even climb to third place in the group.

• Tunisia fall apart after the break, conceding an average of 2.5 goals in second halves.

Probable Tunisia line-up (3-4-2-1): Aymen Dahmen — Omar Rekik, Montassar Talbi, Dylan Bronn — Ali Abdi, Ellyes Skhiri, Anis Ben Slimane, Yan Valery — Hannibal Mejbri, Elias Saad — Sebastian Tounekti.

Form and Line-up Netherlands

Netherlands have secured a comfortable position in the group. Koeman's team are consistently opening up opposition defences through active wing play and midfielders joining attacks. The Netherlands are level with Japan, with both teams on four points, but the European side have scored more goals, seven against six, which allows them to lead the table. The win over Sweden (5:1) was their ninth in the last 14 matches.

Key numbers for Netherlands:

• Four players have already recorded two goal contributions each for Netherlands: Gakpo (2+1), Brobbey (2+0), Summerville (1+1) and Gravenberch (0+2).

• Netherlands have produced 3.39 xG across 180 minutes at the 2026 World Cup. Among the teams with a higher figure, only Germany have scored more, with seven goals against nine.

• If Koeman's team win and keep first place, they will face an opponent from the ranking of third-placed teams.

• Netherlands are scoring an average of 2.5 goals after the break at the 2026 World Cup, with five of their seven goals coming in second halves.

Probable Netherlands line-up (4-3-3): Bart Verbruggen — Micky van de Ven, Virgil van Dijk, Jan Paul van Hecke, Denzel Dumfries — Tijjani Reijnders, Frenkie de Jong, Ryan Gravenberch — Cody Gakpo, Brian Brobbey, Donyell Malen.

Absentees: Quinten Timber (injury).

Who will referee the match

Katia García (Mexico)

Matches – 7 (International matches, 2025-2026);
Average fouls per match – 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4.4;
Matches with a red card – 0 out of 7;
Matches with a penalty – 2 out of 7.