Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Spanish Super Cup match.
Barcelona
Barcelona are 3rd in the Spanish league, only because they terribly use the attempts they create. The side is much better than any other team in xG (2,27). The closest opponent in xG, which is Girona, has 7 expected goals less. Even playing away from home, Barcelona creates 1,3 xG more than an opponent per 90 minutes.
Osasuna
Only 3 La Liga teams have conceded less goals, playing away games, than Osasuna (1,88). This is relevant information for the upcoming game, which will be held in Saudi Arabia. Osasuna conceded 3 goals in the previous La Liga away game against Mallorca (3:3). The games versus more creative opponents have been a failure. For example, the were beaten by Real Madrid (0:4).
Barcelona – Osasuna prediction
Osasuna have qualified for the Spanish Super Cup because of the perfect previous season. Osasuna reached the Spanish cup final and qualified for the European cups. Currently, Osasuna are a pale shade of themselves. They have hardly taken 22 points in 19 La Liga rounds, having negative goals difference (22:29). They’re amongst the 4 worst teams in goals conceded.
I think that Barcelona will easily score at least three goals.
