Matchday 6 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Leipzig (Germany) and Aston Villa (England) will take place on December 10 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs. Aston Villa: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Maurizio Mariani (Italy)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 45%.
Predicted lineups for Leipzig vs. Aston Villa
Leipzig (3-4-2-1): Péter Gulácsi – El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Willi Orban, Lukas Klostermann – Antonio Nusa, Kevin Kampl, Arthur Vermeeren, Benjamin Henrichs – Christoph Baumgartner, Yussuf Poulsen – Lois Openda.
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martínez – Lucas Digne, Matty Cash, Diego Carlos, Pau Torres – Ross Barkley, Youri Tielemans – John McGinn, Leon Bailey, Morgan Rogers – Ollie Watkins.
Leipzig
Despite their efforts in the last round, the team still lost 0-1 away to Inter due to an own goal. This defeat marked the fifth consecutive loss for Marco Rose's side, leaving them without a point, just like Young Boys and Slovan. To advance to the Champions League playoffs, they need to be among the top 24, but they are currently six points behind the nearest competitor in this zone.
Defender Castello Lukeba will miss the match due to suspension.
- Leipzig has not won in the Champions League for seven matches (1 draw and 6 losses).
- Both teams have scored in 10 of the last 13 matches in this tournament.
- At least three goals have been scored in 10 of Leipzig's last 14 Champions League games.
Aston Villa
The English side confidently started their debut Champions League campaign with three consecutive victories. However, they failed to score in the next two matches, losing 0-1 away to Club Brugge and drawing 0-0 at home with Juventus. Unai Emery's team has fallen out of the top eight, but the three teams above them, who also have 10 points, are ahead only due to a better goal difference.
- At least one team failed to score in the last six matches of the Birmingham side in the Champions League and Europa League.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of Aston Villa's last 6 European matches.
- The club has not conceded in the first half of their last five European matches.
Leipzig vs. Aston Villa: Match Prediction
For the Germans to reach the Champions League round of 16, they must win all three remaining matches. Their chances of finishing in the top 24 are minimal but still exist. The upcoming match will be the toughest, requiring a very cautious defensive approach. Despite losing all five group stage matches, Leipzig conceded only one goal each against Liverpool and Inter.
Furthermore, in their last five home matches in the Champions League, Leipzig conceded more than one goal only once. Additionally, in the Bundesliga, Leipzig has allowed opponents to score two or more goals only once in their last 13 home games. The Birmingham side scored more than one goal in only two of their five group stage matches, against Young Boys and Bologna. It's also worth noting that Aston Villa has been struggling in the Premier League, scoring just one goal in their last three away matches and losing all three.
My prediction: Aston Villa Individual Total Under 1.5
