Match stats

Logo Leganes Logo Real Madrid
41 Ball possession (%) 59
16 Goal attempts 20
4 Shots on Goal 12
8 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked shots 2

Leganés vs Real Madrid: betting odds 5 Feb 2025

The Copa del Rey quarter-final match between Leganes and Real Madrid will take place on February 5 at the Butarque Stadium. Leganes vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Leganes

The club from the Madrid suburbs played all four of their current Copa del Rey matches away, achieving three victories in regular time and one in a penalty shootout. The most thrilling game was the last one, where Borja Jimenez's side defeated one of the Segunda leaders, Almeria, 3-2. Leganes' most successful season in the Copa del Rey was 2017/18 when they reached the semi-finals but lost to Sevilla over two legs.

Defender Enric Franquesa and midfielder Seydouba Cisse will miss the match due to injuries.

  • The number "2" has appeared in the score at the end of regular time in 6 of the club's last 8 games in this tournament.
  • Leganes has suffered only two defeats in regular time in their last 13 Copa del Rey matches (6 wins and 5 draws).
  • Both teams have scored in regular time in 7 of Leganes' last 10 matches in this Cup.

Predicted lineup for Leganes (4-2-3-1)

Juan Soriano – Javi Hernandez Carrera, Matija Nastasic, Sergio Gonzalez, Adria Altimira – Renato Tapia, Seydouba Cisse – Darko Brasanac, Munir El Haddadi, Roberto Lopez – Diego Garcia.

Real Madrid

The capital club has played two matches in the current Copa del Rey. In the first game against Deportiva Minera, the team had no problems, winning 5-0 away. However, in the previous round, they managed to overcome Celta Vigo at home only in extra time (2-2, 3-0 in extra time). Last season, Madrid was stopped at the round of 16, losing to Atletico (2-4), but they last won the trophy in 2023.

Defenders David Alaba, Antonio Rudiger, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal are sidelined due to injuries, and midfielder Eduardo Camavinga is doubtful for the match.

  • At least three goals have been scored in regular time in Real Madrid's last six Copa del Rey matches.
  • Madrid has won in regular time in 5 of their last 6 away games in this tournament.
  • The team has scored at least two goals in regular time in their last five away matches in this Cup.

Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)

Andriy Lunin – Fran Garcia, Raul Asensio, Antonio Rudiger, Lucas Vazquez – Aurelien Tchouameni, Luka Modric – Brahim Diaz, Vinicius Junior, Dani Ceballos – Kylian Mbappe.

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas (Spain)

Matches – 14 (La Liga and Copa del Rey, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 41;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties – 36%.

Match Prediction: Leganes vs. Real Madrid

Despite the thrashing Madrid handed out at Butarque in the first round of La Liga, I believe it will be much tougher for them to beat the hosts in this encounter. Before that game, Real had been unable to defeat Leganes at their stadium for three consecutive matches in the league and Copa del Rey (2 draws and 1 loss).

Borja Jimenez's side has shown significant improvement towards the middle of the season, suffering only one defeat in their last six matches in La Liga and the Copa del Rey, and that was by a narrow margin (3 wins and 2 draws). It's also worth noting that this winter, Leganes pulled off two sensational victories in the league, beating both Barcelona and Atletico 1-0. Additionally, Real Madrid has an important La Liga derby against Atletico in three days, and the capital club will likely focus more on that match than on this cup tie.

My prediction – Leganes with a handicap (+1.5)

Betting tips 5 Feb 2025

Real Madrid’s unexpected slip-up against Espanyol (0:1) on Saturday ended their five-match unbeaten run. On Wednesday, they face Leganés, who have stunned both Barcelona and Atlético Madrid in the past two months (both 1:0 wins). However, their last encounter with Real Madrid in late November was far less successful, as they suffered a defeat (0:3).

Despite their respectable performances against La Liga giants, Leganés were fortunate to receive a favourable Copa del Rey draw, facing three lower-division opponents. However, even against these sides, they struggled—Estepona (3:2 on penalties), Cartagena (2:1), and Almería (3:2) all created plenty of chances. In their last two league matches against Athletic Bilbao (0:0) and Rayo Vallecano (0:1), Leganés managed just three shots on target over 180 minutes.

With a crucial Madrid derby against Atlético Madrid looming on Saturday—a fixture that could significantly impact the La Liga title race—Carlo Ancelotti is likely to rotate his squad to give key players some rest. However, Real Madrid’s depth remains formidable. Before their defeat to Espanyol, they had scored 32 goals in nine matches since the start of 2025. In January, Real Madrid topped La Liga in xG (13.08), proving their attacking prowess.

In their La Liga clash at Leganés earlier this season, Kylian Mbappé, Federico Valverde, and Jude Bellingham each found the net for Real Madrid. Leganés will struggle to contain a motivated Madrid side. Even with squad rotation, the visitors should secure a comfortable victory.

Betting prediction
Real Madrid (-1)
Cf
Odds
3/5
Bet now

Leganés vs Real Madrid Odds

Bonuses

All

Copa del Rey: previous matches in the tournament

Leganés
15.01.25
Almería
Leganés
W
05.01.25
FC Cartagena
Leganés
W
04.12.24
Estepona
Leganés
2
:
2
0
:
0
OT
4
:
5
P
D
30.10.24
Ciudad de Lucena
Leganés
W
More matches
Real Madrid
16.01.25
Real Madrid
Celta
2
:
2
3
:
0
OT
D
06.01.25
Deportiva Minera
Real Madrid
W
More matches

H2H: Leganés — Real Madrid

La Liga 2024-2025
24.11.24
Leganés
Real Madrid
La Liga 2019-2020
19.07.20
Leganés
Real Madrid
30.10.19
Real Madrid
Leganés
La Liga 2018-2019
15.04.19
Leganés
Real Madrid
01.09.18
Real Madrid
Leganés
La Liga 2017-2018
28.04.18
Real Madrid
Leganés
21.02.18
Leganés
Real Madrid
La Liga 2016-2017
05.04.17
Leganés
Real Madrid
06.11.16
Real Madrid
Leganés

Team lineups

Leganés

Borja Jiménez
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Juan Soriano
gk. 4 -3
Adrià Altimira Reynaldos
df. 3 1
Sergio González
df. 3 0
Valentin Rosier
df. 3 0
Matija Nastasić
df. 2 0
Juan Cruz
mf. 4 1
Darko Brašanac
mf. 3 0
Renato Tapia
mf. 2 0
Yvan Latour Neyou Noupa
mf. 2 0
Óscar Rodríguez
mf. 2 0
Diego García Campos
fw. 3 1
Substitutes
Marko Dmitrović
gk. 0 0
Álvaro Abajas Martín
gk. 0 0
Javi Hernández Cabrera
df. 4 1
Iker Bachiller Vega
df. 2 0
Jorge Sáenz
df. 2 0
Roberto López
mf. 4 0
Julián Antonio Chicco
mf. 3 0
Hugo Solozábal Granados
mf. 0 0
Munir El-Haddadi
fw. 4 3
Daniel Raba Antolín
fw. 3 1
Miguel de la Fuente
fw. 3 1
Real Madrid

C. Ancelotti
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Andriy Lunin
gk. 2 -2
Asencio
df. 0 0
Ferland Mendy
df. 0 0
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
df. 0 0
Arda Güler
mf. 2 2
Brahim Díaz
mf. 2 0
Federico Valverde
mf. 2 2
Luka Modrić
mf. 2 1
Aurelien Tchouameni
mf. 1 0
Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa
fw. 2 2
Rodrygo Goes
fw. 1 0
Substitutes
Francisco Javier González Pérez
gk. 0 0
Sergio Sanchez
gk. 0 0
Fran García
df. 2 0
Jesús Vallejo
df. 0 0
Lorenzo Aguado Herrera
df. 0 0
Mario Rivas Lago
df. 0 0
Daniel Ceballos
mf. 2 0
Lucas Vázquez
mf. 2 0
José María Andrés Baixauli
mf. 0 0
Vinisius Junior
fw. 2 1
Gonzalo García Torres
fw. 0 0

Post by:

Andy H
Andy H
Site Manager
Need Register or Need Login to access unique content: statistics, best odds, trends and tips. Login / Registration
Copy the token