Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, Monaco are favourites: a home win is available at 2.03, compared with 3.45 for an away win and 3.75 for the draw. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 is considerably shorter at 1.55 than Under 2.5 at 2.35. In the handicap market with a line of 0, Home Draw No Bet at 1.53 looks more attractive than Away Draw No Bet at 2.50.
Why Monaco Are Match Favourites
Monaco to win is available at 2.03, the draw is offered at 3.75 and Lens to win is 3.45.
• Monaco have made a confident start to Ligue 1, recording three wins and one draw in four matches.
• Ahead of Matchday 5, Lens are 10th in the table on four points after two defeats, one win and one draw.
Form and Line-up Monaco
In the latest round of Ligue 1, Monaco drew 1:1 away to Strasbourg: having fallen behind, they levelled through Paris Brunner's 71st-minute goal.
At the start of the season, Monaco are conceding an average of 0.5 goals per match, ranking bottom in the league by this metric in the pre-match overview.
- At least 3 yellow cards have been shown in 9 of Monaco's last 10 home Ligue 1 matches.
- Monaco's opponents have committed no more than 11 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches.
- Monaco's opponents have attempted no more than 13 shots in 8 of their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches.
Probable Monaco line-up (4-2-3-1): Lukas Hradecky, Jordan Teze, Eric Dier, Sadibou Sane, Nazinho, Lamine Camara, Diego Loban, Aleksandr Golovin, Stanis Idumbo, Sebastian Nanasi, Jorge Ortega
Form and Line-up Lens
Lens come into the match after a 2:2 away draw with Le Mans in the league, thanks to goals from Abdallah Sima and Ivanovic, and a few days earlier they beat Slavia Prague 3:2 in the Champions League.
The visitors' attack remains highly productive: in the pre-match Ligue 1 overview, Lens are averaging 2.0 goals per match, jointly second in the league for scoring.
On 18 September 2026, the club announced that it had parted ways with head coach Dino Toppmoller, so Yannick Cahuzac will take charge of the team against Monaco.
- Referees have shown at least 3 yellow cards in all of Lens' last 10 away Ligue 1 matches.
- Lens have committed no more than 13 fouls in 9 of their last 10 away Ligue 1 matches.
- Lens have taken at least 5 corners in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
Probable Lens line-up (3-4-2-1): Robin Risser, Ruben Aguilar, Jonathan Gradit, Ismaelo Ganiou, Samson Baidoo, Andrija Bulatovic, Michael Cuisance, Michal Skoras, Florian Thauvin, Abdallah Sima, Odsonne Edouard
Team Chances
A Monaco win is quoted at 2.03; the fair odds are 2.13 and the probability is 47.0%. The draw is available at 3.75, with fair odds of 3.93 and a probability of 25.4%, while a Lens win is 3.45, 3.62 and 27.6% respectively. Monaco have the highest rating, but Lens and the draw also have notable chances.
| Outcome | Average Odds | Average Fair Odds | Fair Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco to win | 2.03 | 2.13 | 47.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.93 | 25.4% |
| Lens to win | 3.45 | 3.62 | 27.6% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.55 is shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.35. At 3.5, the relationship is reversed: Under 3.5 is 1.60 and Over 3.5 is 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap Prediction
Home -1.5 is available at 3.20 and Away -1.5 at 6.00, so the former is shorter. At the line of 1, Home +1 is 1.11 compared with 1.45 for Away +1, while at the 1.5 line, Home +1.5 is 1.08 and Away +1.5 is 1.30. For the -1 line, the odds are 2.65 for Home -1 and 5.30 for Away -1. At the 0 line, Home Draw No Bet at 1.53 is shorter than Away Draw No Bet at 2.50.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | -1.5 | 6.00 |
| 1.08 | 1.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.65 | -1 | 5.30 |
| 1.11 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1.53 | 0 | 2.50 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.50, while Both teams to score - No is 2.50. The shorter odds indicate that goals from both sides are considered more likely; the No option means that at least one team will not score.
| Both Teams to Score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.50 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Monaco at 1.5 goals and Lens at 1 goal.
Monaco Team Total
Monaco team total: Over 0.5 is 1.11 compared with 5.20 for Under 0.5, while Over 1 is 1.23 compared with 3.75 for Under 1. At the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 at 1.77 is slightly shorter than Under 1.5 at 2.00, while at the 2 line, Under 2 is 1.50 compared with 2.45 for Over 2.
| Under | Team Total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 3.75 | 1 | 1.23 |
| 2.00 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.45 |
Lens Team Total
Lens team total: Over 0.5 is available at 1.27, while Under 0.5 is 3.40. At the 1 line, Over 1 at 1.60 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.30, while at the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 at 1.52 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.45.
| Under | Team Total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
| 2.30 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.52 | 1.5 | 2.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Clement Turpin (France)
Matches - 18 (Ligue 1, 2025/26-2026/27);
Average fouls per match - 23;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows - 3.1;
Matches with red cards - 3 of 18;
Matches with penalties - 6 of 18.
