Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Monaco are the favourites: Monaco to win is 2.03, while Lens to win is 3.45 and the draw is offered at 3.75. In the main totals market, the odds on Over 2.5 are noticeably shorter at 1.55, compared with 2.35 for Under 2.5. In the handicap 0 market, Monaco Draw No Bet at 1.53 looks more attractive in terms of odds than Lens Draw No Bet at 2.50.
Why Monaco are favourites for the match
A Monaco win is priced at 2.03, the draw is 3.75, and a Lens success is 3.45.
• Monaco have started confidently in Ligue 1, taking three wins and one draw from four rounds.
• Lens went into Matchday 5 sitting 10th in the table with four points after two defeats, one win and one draw.
Form and Line-up Monaco
In the last round of Ligue 1, Monaco drew 1:1 away to Strasbourg: having fallen behind during the match, the team equalised thanks to Paris Brunner's goal in the 71st minute.
At the start of the season, the Monegasques are conceding an average of 0.5 goals per game, ranking last in the league for this metric in the pre-match snapshot.
- At least 3 yellow cards have been shown in 9 of the last 10 Ligue 1 home matches involving Monaco.
- In 9 of Monaco's last 10 Ligue 1 home games, their opponents committed no more than 11 fouls.
- In 8 of Monaco's last 10 Ligue 1 home matches, their opponents had no more than 13 shot attempts.
Probable Monaco line-up (4-2-3-1): Lukas Hradecky, Jordan Teze, Eric Dier, Sadibou Sané, Flaviu Nazinho, Lamine Camara, Diego Loban, Aleksandr Golovin, Stanis Idumbo Muzambo, Sebastian Nanasi, Jorge Ortega
Form and Line-up Lens
Lens come into the game after a 2:2 away draw with Le Mans in the league thanks to goals from Abdallah Sima and Ivanovic, while a few days earlier they beat Slavia Prague 3:2 in the Champions League.
At the same time, the visitors' attack remains highly productive: in the pre-match Ligue 1 snapshot, Lens are scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match, sharing 2nd place in the league for scoring output.
On 15 September 2026, the club announced the departure of head coach Dino Toppmoller, so Yannick Cahuzac will be in charge of the team against Monaco.
- In 10 of Lens' last 10 Ligue 1 away matches, referees showed at least 3 yellow cards.
- In 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away games, Lens committed no more than 13 fouls.
- In 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 games, Lens took at least 5 corners.
Probable Lens line-up (3-4-2-1): Robin Risser, Ruben Aguilar, Jonathan Gradit, Ismaëlo Ganiou, Samson Baidoo, Andrija Bulatovic, Michael Cuisance, Michal Skóraś, Florian Thauvin, Abdallah Sima, Odsonne Édouard
Team chances
Monaco to win is quoted at 2.03; the fair odds are 2.13 and 47.0%. The draw is available at 3.75, with fair odds of 3.93 and a 25.4% probability, while Lens to win is 3.45, 3.62 and 27.6% respectively. Monaco have the highest assessment, but the chances of Lens and the draw are also notable.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco win | 2.03 | 2.13 | 47.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.93 | 25.4% |
| Lens win | 3.45 | 3.62 | 27.6% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.55 is shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.35. For 3.5, the relationship is reversed: Under 3.5 is 1.60, while Over 3.5 is 2.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Monaco (-1.5) is offered at 3.20, while Lens (-1.5) is 6.00, so the first option has shorter odds. Alongside a line of 1, Monaco (1) is 1.11 compared with 1.45 on Lens (1), while on the 1.5 line it is 1.08 for Monaco (1.5) and 1.30 for Lens (1.5). For the -1 line, the odds are 2.65 on Monaco (-1) and 5.30 on Lens (-1). On the 0 line, Monaco Draw No Bet at 1.53 is shorter than Lens Draw No Bet at 2.50.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | -1.5 | 6.00 |
| 1.08 | 1.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.65 | -1 | 5.30 |
| 1.11 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1.53 | 0 | 2.50 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is assessed at 1.50, while Both teams to score - No is 2.50. The lower odds suggest that an exchange of goals is considered more likely; the No option means that at least one of the teams will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.50 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
29/100
|
1/4
|
4/5
|
| 888sport |
33/100
|
29/100
|
73/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Monaco at 1.5 goals and Lens at 1 goal.
Monaco team total
Monaco team total: Over 0.5 is 1.11 compared with 5.20 for Under 0.5, while Over 1 is 1.23 against 3.75 for Under 1. On the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 at 1.77 is slightly shorter than Under 1.5 at 2.00, while on the 2 line, Under 2 is 1.50 compared with 2.45 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 3.75 | 1 | 1.23 |
| 2.00 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.45 |
Lens team total
Lens team total: Over 0.5 is quoted at 1.27, while Under 0.5 is 3.40. On the 1 line, Over 1 at 1.60 is shorter than Under 1 at 2.30, while on the 1.5 line Under 1.5 at 1.52 is more attractive in terms of odds than 2.45 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
| 2.30 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 1.52 | 1.5 | 2.45 |
