Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, AS Monaco are slight favourites: Monaco to win is 2.40 against 2.75 for Olympique de Marseille to win, while the draw is priced at 3.70. On the main goals total, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 looks noticeably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At Draw No Bet level, AS Monaco (0) at 1.80 are preferred to Olympique de Marseille (0) at 2.02.
Why AS Monaco Are Match Favourites
Bookmaker Fonbet offers odds of 2.40 on AS Monaco to win, 3.70 on the draw and 2.75 on Olympique de Marseille to succeed.
• AS Monaco backed up that confidence with a heavy 4:1 home win in another tournament this season three days before the league meeting.
• Olympique de Marseille are still adapting to the demands of new head coach Bruno Genesio, for whom the win over Strasbourg was only his first competitive match in charge of the club.
Form and Line-up AS Monaco
In Ligue 1's opening round, AS Monaco earned a clean-sheet away win over Le Havre, 1:0, scoring the only goal from a set-piece routine.
At the start of the season, the team came through a packed spell: from 20 to 27 August, AS Monaco played three competitive matches, combining a league away trip with UEFA Conference League qualifying games.
Key numbers:
AS Monaco received no more than 2 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
AS Monaco's opponents took a maximum of 4 corners in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home games.
AS Monaco's opponents committed no more than 12 fouls in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Lukas Hradecky — Vanderson — Sadibou Sane — Eric Dier — Flavio Nazinho — Denis Zakaria — Lamine Camara — Mamadou Coulibaly — Aleksandr Golovin — Stanis Idumbo — Paris Brunner
AS Monaco will be without Takumi Minamino, Mohammed Salisu, Jordan Teze and Folarin Balogun. Mathis Abline's involvement remains in doubt.
Form and Line-up Olympique de Marseille
In Ligue 1's opening round, Olympique de Marseille started with a heavy 4:0 win over Strasbourg. The final score was largely shaped in the second half after an opposition red card in the 59th minute and a converted penalty.
Key numbers:
In 9 of the last 10 Ligue 1 away matches involving Olympique de Marseille, there were a maximum of 8 corners.
Olympique de Marseille committed no more than 12 fouls in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
Olympique de Marseille's opponents were caught offside at least 2 times in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Jeffrey de Lange — Timothy Weah — CJ Egan-Riley — Geoffrey Kondogbia — Emerson — Himad Abdelli — Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg — Amine Harit — Angel Gomes — Igor Paixao — Amine Gouiri
Leonardo Balerdi will not play for Olympique de Marseille.
Team Chances
AS Monaco to win is offered at 2.40; the no-margin estimate is 2.52 and 39.7%. For the draw, the odds are 3.70, the no-margin estimate is 3.89 and the probability is 25.7%. Olympique de Marseille to win is 2.75, with a no-margin estimate of 2.89 and a probability of 34.6%.
Result | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
AS Monaco to win | 2.40 | 2.52 | 39.7% |
Draw | 3.70 | 3.89 | 25.7% |
Olympique de Marseille to win | 2.75 | 2.89 | 34.6% |
Goals Total Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 looks preferable to Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. On the 3.5 line, by contrast, the shorter price is on Under 3.5 goals — 1.55 against 2.35 for Over 3.5 goals.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.35 | 1.60 |
3.5 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
Handicap Prediction
For the -1.5 handicap, AS Monaco (-1.5) are 3.95, while Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) are 4.50. On the 1.5 line, the prices are close: AS Monaco (1.5) at 1.15 and Olympique de Marseille (1.5) at 1.20. For the -1 line, the shorter price is AS Monaco (-1) — 3.30 against 4.00 on Olympique de Marseille (-1); on the 1 line, AS Monaco (1) at 1.20 are shorter than Olympique de Marseille (1) at 1.28. With a 0 handicap, AS Monaco (0) at 1.80 are preferred to Olympique de Marseille (0) at 2.02.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
3.95 | -1.5 | 4.50 |
1.15 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
3.30 | -1 | 4.00 |
1.20 | 1 | 1.28 |
1.80 | 0 | 2.02 |
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.50 is rated noticeably higher than Both teams to score - No at 2.55, meaning at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.50 |
No | 2.55 |
Double Chance Prediction
The lowest double-chance price is on 12 — 1.30. The 1X option is offered at 1.47, with X2 at 1.58.
1X | 12 | X2 |
47/100
|
3/10
|
29/50
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: AS Monaco — 1.5 goals, Olympique de Marseille — 1.5 goals.
AS Monaco Team Total
AS Monaco team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.16 is significantly shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.30; on the 1 line, Over 1 goal at 1.35 is preferable to Under 1 goal at 2.95. For 1.5, the prices are almost level: Under 1.5 goals — 1.85, Over 1.5 goals — 1.90. On the 2 line, the shorter price is on Under 2 goals — 1.35 against 2.90 for Over 2 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.30 | 0.5 | 1.16 |
2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
1.35 | 2 | 2.90 |
Olympique de Marseille Team Total
Olympique de Marseille team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is noticeably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.10, while Over 1 goal at 1.42 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 2.65. On the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.65 is preferable to Over 1.5 goals at 2.18. For the 2 line, Under 2 goals is priced at 1.25, while Over 2 goals is 3.50.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.10 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.65 | 1 | 1.42 |
1.65 | 1.5 | 2.18 |
1.25 | 2 | 3.50 |
