Ligue 1
33th round
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PSG
MATCH FINISHED
1
:
0
10 May, 20:00
Brest
1
23/100
X
19/2
2
175/1
Odds for upcoming matches
This match has ended, please select an alternative match to bet on
1 X 2
Under Over
19:45
1 33/5
X 9/2
2 9/25
Under 2.5 43/20
2.5
Over 2.5 9/25
19:45
1 1/2
X 77/20
2 57/10
Under 2.5 7/5
2.5
Over 2.5 57/100
19:45
1 6/5
X 13/5
2 11/5
Under 2.5 32/25
2.5
Over 2.5 63/100
11:00
1 10/1
X 19/4
2 2/5
Under 2.5 17/10
2.5
Over 2.5 11/25
17:00
1 4/5
X 13/5
2 15/4
Under 2.5 73/100
2.5
Over 2.5 59/50
Show all
Match stats
Logo PSG PSG
Brest Logo Brest
67 Ball possession (%) 33
23 Goal attempts 3
6 Shots on Goal 2
17 Shots off Goal 1
11 Blocked shots 0

PSG vs Brest: prediction & betting odds 10 May 2026

Published: 4 May 2026 13:04

In matchweek 33 of the Ligue 1, Paris Saint-Germain will host Stade Brestois 29 at the Parc des Princes. Kick-off is at 20:00 BST.

Paris Saint-Germain have just survived in Munich, sealing a place in the final of the Champions League after a 1:1 draw with Bayern Munich and now return to the title race in the Ligue 1. On paper there is almost no doubt about the favourite, but for a match prediction the scale of the victory is more important: a straightforward home win is priced too low, whereas the combined markets still leave room for a solid price.

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After Munich, the main risk is that Paris Saint-Germain may switch into energy-saving mode. But the result in the Champions League does not in itself break the prediction: the hosts reached the final without extra time, took Ousmane Dembele off early, and Goncalo Ramos, Kang-in Lee and Ilya Zabarnyi did not play at all. The leaders have fresh resources for attack and rotation, while Stade Brestois 29 are without their usual right-hand defensive flank.

Betting Tip

Luis Enrique may rest part of his usual starting XI, but the team's model does not change. Paris Saint-Germain will still dominate the ball, stretch the opponents wide and work attacks into the penalty area through second-phase moves. The most vulnerable part of the visitors is the right flank without Kenny Lala. Luck Zogbe will have to deal with the pace of Bradley Barcola and the overlapping runs of Warren Zaire-Emery, which points towards constant entries into that zone and passes into shooting positions.

Head-to-head meetings reinforce this scenario: 3:0, 7:0, 3:0, 5:2, 3:1. Three of those five went over 3.5 total goals, and the aggregate score of 21:3 shows that Paris Saint-Germain are capable of clearing the required goals total on their own. Combining a home win with Over 3.5 goals at odds of around 2.00 implies a probability of roughly 50% and still looks the more attractive option: the market correctly identifies the favourite but underestimates the fresh rotation and the chance of a heavy win.

Prediction: Paris Saint-Germain to win + Over 3.5 goals

Additional Bet

For an additional bet, a clean sheet for Paris Saint-Germain looks logical. Stade Brestois 29 will spend long spells defending and expending energy without the ball, and will have few attacking moments. Over the last 10 rounds the visitors have generated 8.77 xG and taken 24 shots on target — only 2.4 per match. In Munich the hosts allowed a goal only in the 94th minute, while Matvey Safonov made five saves and kept his place as first-choice goalkeeper for the upcoming spell.

For the visitors' centre-forward Ludovic Ajorque there is only one real helper from deep, Del Castillo, and without broader support they are unlikely to find a goal against a quality defence. In three of the last five head-to-head meetings, Stade Brestois 29 have failed to score. With odds of around 1.90, that is a normal margin for a scenario in which the hosts take control of the ball and do not allow the visitors to find any rhythm.

Prediction: Stade Brestois 29 not to score

Betting prediction
Paris Saint-Germain to win + Over 3.5 goals
Cf
Odds
51/50
Read more

Team lineups

PSG

Luis Enrique
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Renato Bellucci Marin
gk. 17 -2
Lucas Hernández
df. 32 0
Lucas Lopes Beraldo
df. 31 2
Illia Zabarnyi
df. 30 1
Marquinhos
df. 27 0
Kang-In Lee
mf. 28 3
Senny Nsona Mayulu
mf. 24 4
Fabián Ruiz
mf. 18 1
Gonçalo Matias Ramos
fw. 31 6
Bradley Jean-Manuel Essolisam Addo Barcola
fw. 29 10
Pedro Fernández Sarmiento
fw. 13 1
Substitutes
Matvey Safonov
gk. 28 -12
David Boly
df. 5 0
Dimitri Lucea
df. 0 0
Vitinha
mf. 29 1
Désiré Doué
mf. 23 7
João Neves
mf. 21 5
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
fw. 29 7
Ibrahim Mbaye Sissokho
fw. 28 2
Ousmane Dembélé
fw. 22 10
Brest

Eric Roy
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Grégoire Coudert
gk. 32 -37
Michel Junior Diaz
df. 31 0
Daouda Guindo
df. 27 1
R. Le Guen
df. 0 0
Hugo Magnetti
mf. 31 1
Joris Jean-Claude Jacques Chotard
mf. 31 2
Romain Del Castillo
mf. 30 8
Éric Junior Dina Ebimbe
mf. 28 5
Lucas Simon Pierre Tousart
mf. 25 1
Kamory Doumbia
mf. 22 5
Ludovic Ajorque
fw. 30 7
Substitutes
Axel Lassus
3 0
S. Diop
0 0
Radosław Majecki
gk. 26 -15
Brendan Auguste Chardonnet
df. 30 1
Tolikpaley Luck Evrad Zogbé
df. 0 0
Hamidou Makalou
mf. 0 0
Pathé Mboup
fw. 29 1
Rémy Labeau Lascary
fw. 25 5
Mama Samba Baldé
fw. 17 2

Previous matches in the tournament

PSG
2 May, 2026
Ligue 1
PSG
Lorient
2
2
D
Show more Hide
Brest
3 May, 2026
Ligue 1
FC Paris
Brest
4
0
L
Show more Hide

H2H: PSG — Brest

Ligue 1 2025/26
25 October, 2025
Brest
PSG
0
3
Champions League 2024/25
19 February, 2025
PSG
Brest
7
0
Champions League 2024-2025
19 February, 2025
PSG
Brest
7
0
Champions League 2024/25
11 February, 2025
Brest
PSG
0
3
Champions League 2024-2025
11 February, 2025
Brest
PSG
0
3
Ligue 1 2024-2025
1 February, 2025
Brest
PSG
2
5
14 September, 2024
PSG
Brest
3
1
Coupe de France 2023-2024
7 February, 2024
PSG
Brest
3
1
Ligue 1 2023-2024
28 January, 2024
PSG
Brest
2
2
29 October, 2023
Brest
PSG
2
3
Show more Hide

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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
PSG
34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2
Lens
34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3
Lille
34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4
Lyon
34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5
Marseille
34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6
Rennes
34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7
Monaco
34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8
Strasbourg
34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9
Lorient
34 11 12 11 48:51 45
10
Toulouse
34 12 9 13 47:46 45
11
Paris
34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12
Brest
34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13
Nice
36 8 12 16 41:61 36
14
Angers
34 9 9 16 29:48 36
15
Le Havre
34 7 14 13 32:44 35
16
Auxerre
34 8 10 16 34:44 34
17
Nantes
34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18
Metz
34 3 8 23 32:76 17
19
Saint-Etienne
2 0 1 1 1:4 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Strasbourg
5 3 1 1 12:10 10
2
Auxerre
5 3 1 1 11:7 10
3
PSG
5 3 1 1 9:4 10
4
Lyon
5 3 0 2 10:11 9
5
Paris
5 3 0 2 10:5 9
6
Rennes
5 3 0 2 10:9 9
7
Lens
5 2 2 1 9:6 8
8
Lille
5 2 2 1 3:3 8
9
Toulouse
5 2 2 1 8:7 8
10
Marseille
5 2 1 2 5:7 7
11
Lorient
5 2 1 2 10:7 7
12
Nice
5 1 3 1 6:4 6
13
Le Havre
5 1 3 1 8:7 6
14
Monaco
5 1 2 2 10:11 5
15
Nantes
5 1 1 3 4:6 4
16
Angers
5 0 3 2 4:9 3
17
Metz
5 0 2 3 6:13 2
18
Brest
5 0 2 3 5:11 2
19
Saint-Etienne
2 0 1 1 1:4 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Lens
17 14 0 3 35:13 42
2
PSG
17 13 2 2 41:12 41
3
Marseille
17 11 4 2 41:20 37
4
Lyon
17 12 1 4 30:18 37
5
Rennes
17 10 4 3 30:17 34
6
Monaco
17 10 2 5 33:23 32
7
Lorient
17 8 6 3 31:25 30
8
Strasbourg
17 9 3 5 30:19 30
9
Lille
17 8 5 4 24:17 29
10
Brest
17 7 5 5 28:23 26
11
Paris
17 7 4 6 28:27 25
12
Toulouse
17 6 6 5 25:24 24
13
Nice
18 5 8 5 23:28 23
14
Le Havre
17 5 8 4 20:18 23
15
Angers
17 6 5 6 18:20 23
16
Auxerre
17 6 4 7 18:17 22
17
Nantes
17 3 4 10 18:27 13
18
Metz
17 2 4 11 15:32 10
19
Saint-Etienne
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
PSG
17 11 2 4 33:17 35
2
Lille
17 10 2 5 28:20 32
3
Lens
17 8 4 5 31:22 28
4
Rennes
17 7 4 6 29:33 25
5
Strasbourg
17 6 5 6 28:28 23
6
Lyon
17 6 5 6 23:22 23
7
Monaco
17 6 4 7 27:31 22
8
Marseille
17 7 1 9 22:25 22
9
Toulouse
17 6 3 8 22:22 21
10
Paris
17 4 7 6 19:23 19
11
Lorient
17 3 6 8 17:26 15
12
Nice
18 3 4 11 18:33 13
13
Brest
17 3 4 10 15:32 13
14
Angers
17 3 4 10 11:28 13
15
Auxerre
17 2 6 9 16:27 12
16
Le Havre
17 2 6 9 12:26 12
17
Nantes
17 2 5 10 11:25 11
18
Metz
17 1 4 12 17:44 7
19
Saint-Etienne
1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Legend
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals

PSG vs Brest Odds

Project-Id-Version: 20260902182614 Report-Msgid-Bugs-To: PO-Revision-Date: 2026-09-02 18:26:14 Language-Team: MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit Last-Translator: Plural-Forms: nplurals=3; plural=(n%10==1 && n%100!=11 ? 0 : n%10>=2 && n%10<=4 && (n%100<10 || n%100>=20) ? 1 : 2); Language: gb
1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
BookieFIRST_TEAM_TO_SCORE_YESSECOND_TEAM_TO_SCORE_YES
Alex Tarabrin
Alex Tarabrin
Betting Expert
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