Odds overview
Brazil are clear favourites: the away win is available at 1.45, compared with 6.40 for the home win, while the draw is 4.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.57 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.30. In the handicap markets, Australia (+1.5) at 1.65 is shorter than Brazil (-1.5) at 2.10; Brazil (-1) is 1.70, while Australia (+1) is 2.10.
Why Brazil are favourites for the match
Bookmakers consider the visitors clear favourites: Brazil to win is available at 1.45, the draw is 4.60 and Australia to win is 6.40.
• Superior attacking quality: Carlo Ancelotti has called up 26 players for the September series, including Vinícius Júnior and Raphinha, while Brazil have scored at least once in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• Opponents experimenting with personnel: Australia head coach Tony Popovic has changed ten places in the squad compared with the World Cup, calling up seven debutants, which reduces the hosts' cohesion.
Australia form and line-up
In their previous competitive match, Australia drew 1:1 with Egypt in the Round of 32 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup before losing on penalties. The coaching staff view the upcoming September friendlies as a stage of preparation for the 2027 AFC Asian Cup.
Midfielder Riley McGree, who missed the World Cup through injury, has returned to the Australia squad, while Patrick Yazbek has also been called up.
Key numbers:
• In 9 of Australia's 10 home matches, their opponents received no more than two yellow cards
• In 8 of 10 home matches, Australia and their opponents took no more than 10 corners
• In 8 of Australia's 10 home matches, they received no more than two yellow cards
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Patrick Beach, Alessandro Circati, Harry Souttar, Lucas Herrington, Aziz Behich, Kasey Bos, Aiden O'Neill, Jackson Irvine, Connor Metcalfe, Riley McGree, Nestory Irankunda
Brazil form and line-up
The match in Townsville will be Brazil's first since the World Cup. The visiting delegation will arrive in Australia and fly to the match venue a day before the game.
In away matches, Brazil manage their discipline and corners well: in 9 of their last 10 away games, they have not lost the corner count and have not had more offsides than their opponents.
Key numbers:
• In 8 of 10 matches, Brazil took at least four corners
• Brazil were caught offside no more than twice in 8 of 10 matches
• In 8 of the team's 10 home matches, Brazil took no more than nine corners
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Hugo Sousa, Wesley, Marquinhos, Vitor Reis, Douglas Santos, Breno Bidon, Bruno Guimarães, Estêvão, Raphinha, Samuel Lino, Endrick
Team chances
Brazil to win — 1.45, fair odds of 1.54 and a 64.9% probability; Australia to win — 6.40, 6.81 and 14.7%. The draw is 4.60, with fair odds of 4.89 and a 20.4% probability.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Australia to win | 6.40 | 6.81 | 14.7% |
Draw | 4.60 | 4.89 | 20.4% |
Brazil to win | 1.45 | 1.54 | 64.9% |
Total goals prediction
Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.57, compared with 2.30 for Under 2.5 goals. At the 3.5 line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.53 is preferred, while Over 3.5 goals is 2.35.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.30 | 1.57 |
3.5 | 1.53 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Brazil (-1.5) is 2.10 and Australia (+1.5) is 1.65. At the 1 line, Brazil (-1) is 1.70 and Australia (+1) is 2.10; Australia Draw No Bet is 4.50 and Brazil Draw No Bet is 1.15.
Home | Handicap | Away |
— | -1.5 | 2.10 |
1.65 | 1.5 | — |
— | -1 | 1.70 |
2.10 | 1 | — |
4.50 | 0 | 1.15 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.72, while Both teams to score — No, meaning at least one team will not score, is 2.05.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.72 |
No | 2.05 |
Double chance prediction
X2 has the shortest odds at 1.10; 12 is 1.18 and 1X is 2.65.
1X | 12 | X2 |
33/20
|
9/50
|
1/10
|
Team total prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Australia — 0.5 goals; Brazil — 2 goals.
Australia team total
Australia team total: Over 0.5 goals is 1.55, compared with 2.30 for Under 0.5 goals; at the 1 line, Under is 1.48 and Over is 2.45. At 1.5, Under is available at 1.23 and Over at 3.70.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.30 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
1.48 | 1 | 2.45 |
1.23 | 1.5 | 3.70 |
Brazil team total
Brazil team total: Over 0.5 goals is 1.05, compared with 7.40 for Under 0.5 goals. Over 1.5 goals is 1.47 and Under 1.5 goals is 2.50; at the 2 line, the odds are close — 1.82 for Over and 1.88 for Under. At 2.5, Under is 1.50 and Over is 2.40.
Under | Team total | Over |
7.40 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
2.50 | 1.5 | 1.47 |
1.88 | 2 | 1.82 |
1.50 | 2.5 | 2.40 |
