Odds overview
Switzerland are the favourites: a Switzerland win is available at 1.90, while the draw is offered at 3.60 and a Scotland win at around 4.10. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 looks more likely than Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. For handicap (0), Switzerland at 1.38 are considerably shorter than Scotland at 2.80.
Why Switzerland are favourites
The bookmakers favour the visitors: Switzerland are offered at odds of 1.90 to win (a 50.2% probability excluding the margin). A Scotland win is quoted at 4.10 (23.3%), while the draw is available at 3.60 (26.5%).
• Switzerland began this UEFA Nations League campaign with a convincing, emphatic away win, thrashing North Macedonia 3:0.
• Scotland managed only a goalless draw with Slovenia (0:0) in the opening round, underlining their limited attacking threat.
Form and Line-up Scotland
The upcoming match will be Sébastien Pocognoli's first at home in charge of Scotland. The new head coach has made significant changes to the squad compared with the summer matches.
Scotland have had no more shots than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches. In 9 of those same 10 matches, the two teams combined had no more than 9.5 shots on target.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 9 of Scotland's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Scotland scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards were shown in 9 of Scotland's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Scotland line-up (3-5-2): Angus Gunn, Jack Hendry, Scott McKenna, Stephen Welsh, Aaron Hickey, Billy Gilmour, Lewis Ferguson, Andy Robertson, John McGinn, Robbie Ure, Oliver McBurnie
Kieran Tierney, Kenny McLean, Scott McTominay and Che Adams are absent from Scotland's squad because of injuries and decisions by the coaching staff.
Form and Line-up Switzerland
Switzerland regularly maintain their structure in away UEFA Nations League matches: they have won or drawn the offsides count in 9 of their last 10 away games.
Switzerland are also measured in their use of chances: in 8 of their last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches, they attempted fewer than 13.5 shots, but the two teams combined had more than 7.5 shots on target.
- Fewer than 5.5 yellow cards were shown in 8 of Switzerland's last 10 away UEFA Nations League matches.
- Switzerland committed fewer than 13.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- More than 7.5 corners were taken in 8 of Switzerland's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable Switzerland line-up (4-2-3-1): Gregor Kobel, Zachary Athekame, Manuel Akanji, Nico Elvedi, Ricardo Rodríguez, Remo Freuler, Fabian Rieder, Dan Ndoye, Ardon Jashari, Johan Manzambi, Zeki Amdouni
The teams' chances
A Switzerland win is the main outcome: odds of 1.90, fair odds of 1.99 and a 50.2% probability. The draw is offered at 3.60, with fair odds of 3.77 and a 26.5% probability; the corresponding figures for a Scotland win are 4.10, 4.30 and 23.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability excluding margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland win | 4.10 | 4.30 | 23.3% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.77 | 26.5% |
| Switzerland win | 1.90 | 1.99 | 50.2% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is offered at 1.75, compared with 2.10 for Over 2.5 goals. On the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is 2.45 and Over 2 goals is 1.53; on the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is 1.27 and Over 3.5 goals is 3.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
| 2 | 2.45 | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap prediction
Scotland (-1.5) are offered at 8.50 and Switzerland (-1.5) at 3.50. On the +1.5 handicap line, Switzerland (+1.5) at 1.04 are shorter than Scotland (+1.5) at 1.25; on the -1 line, Switzerland (-1) at 2.80 are favoured over Scotland (-1) at 7.10. For a +1 handicap, the odds are 1.45 for Scotland (+1) and 1.05 for Switzerland (+1); for handicap (0), they are 2.80 for Scotland (0) and 1.38 for Switzerland (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 8.50 | -1.5 | 3.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.04 |
| 7.10 | -1 | 2.80 |
| 1.45 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 2.80 | 0 | 1.38 |
Both teams to score prediction
The market is finely balanced: Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.90, while Both teams to score — No is 1.85. The slightly shorter odds on the latter mean it is considered marginally more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.90 |
| No | 1.85 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
91/100
|
29/100
|
11/50
|
| William Hill |
17/20
|
3/10
|
1/4
|
| 888sport |
17/20
|
3/10
|
1/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Scotland — 1 goal; Switzerland — 1.5 goals.
Scotland team total goals
For Scotland's team total, Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.55, compared with 2.40 for Under 0.5 goals. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is 1.63 and Over 1 goal is 2.20; on the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.28 and Over 1.5 goals is 3.35.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.63 | 1 | 2.20 |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | 3.35 |
Switzerland team total goals
For Switzerland's team total, Over 0.5 goals is offered at 1.20 and Under 0.5 goals at 4.20. On the 1-goal line, the odds are 3.00 for Under 1 goal and 1.35 for Over 1 goal; on the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.70 and Over 1.5 goals is 2.08; on the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is 1.30 and Over 2 goals is 3.25.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.20 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.00 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.08 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.25 |
