The Matchday 33 clash in Ligue 1 between Toulouse and Lens will take place on May 10 at the Stadium de Toulouse. Toulouse vs. Lens: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Toulouse
In the last round, the club ended their seven-match winless streak in Ligue 1 (2 draws, 5 losses) by defeating Rennes 2-1. This success ensured Toulouse's safety from the relegation battle, as they sit in 12th place in the standings, seven points clear of the relegation zone with two matches remaining in the season. Notably, the team has a zero goal difference this season in Ligue 1 – 40:40. Additionally, before their recent home win in the league, Toulouse had not won at home in this tournament for seven matches (2 draws, 5 losses).
- The club has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine home matches in Ligue 1.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Toulouse's last 8 matches in this tournament.
- At least 3 goals were scored in 5 of the team's last 7 matches in the French championship.
Predicted lineup for Toulouse (3-4-3)
Guillaume Restes – Jaidi Kanwo, Charlie Cresswell, Djibril Sidibe – Warren Kamanzi, Vincent Sierro, Cristian Casseres, Aron Dønnum – Joshua King, Yann Gboho, Frank Magri.
Lens
The team extended their uncompromising run in the championship to 17 matches (8 wins, 9 losses) by defeating Lyon 2-1 in the previous game. However, even this win will not help the club in the fight for a European spot, as they sit 8th in the Ligue 1 standings, nine points behind 6th place. Notably, Lens has performed well in away matches this season, ranking 3rd among the best away teams in the tournament, earning 28 points from 16 games, with wins in their last two matches.
- One opponent failed to score in 6 of the club's last 8 games in the elite French division.
- The team has not drawn in their last 8 away matches in Ligue 1 (5 wins, 3 losses).
- Lens conceded in 5 of their last 6 away matches in the championship.
Predicted lineup for Lens (3-5-2)
Mathew Ryan – Juma Ba, Jonathan Gradit, Facundo Medina – Tom Puiye, Nampalys Mendy, Neil El Aynaoui, Adrien Thomasson, Deiver Machado – Goduine Koyalipou, Andy Diouf.
Referee
Bastien Dechepy (France)
Matches – 12 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 49;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 58%.
Toulouse vs. Lens: Match Prediction
Both teams have little motivation for the end of the season. Lens has already lost their chance to compete for European spots, while Toulouse secured their Ligue 1 status in the last round. As a result, the upcoming opponents can play without the pressure of responsibility for the result. Nevertheless, Lens has already proven that a lack of motivation is not a hindrance for them, as they stopped a resurgent Lyon, who are fighting for a Champions League spot, in the last round. Moreover, Lens has been successful in away matches this season. Toulouse, on the other hand, has struggled even at home, failing to win in 7 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches, losing 5 of them. Additionally, the team has struggled against Lens recently, losing 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches in the French championship (1 win). Therefore, I don't understand why bookmakers favor the underperforming hosts, for whom Lens is an inconvenient opponent.
I'm confident that the visitors will at least not lose; my prediction is “Lens to win or draw”.
