Odds overview
Everton are favourites — they are available at 2.05 to win, while a Hull City win and a draw are offered at around 3.70 and 3.50 respectively. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 is only slightly favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 1.95. In the main handicap market, Everton Draw No Bet at 1.50 is considered markedly more likely than Hull City Draw No Bet at 2.65.
Why Everton are favourites
Everton are available at 2.05 to win, the draw is offered at 3.50, and a Hull City win at 3.70.
• Everton are one of two teams to have conceded the fewest goals in the first five rounds — three.
• Hull City rank third in the league for shots allowed against them in home matches (17.0).
Form and Line-up Hull City
Hull City have had a mixed start to life in the Premier League. The newcomers beat Manchester United (2:0), then Coventry City (1:0), held Aston Villa (0:0) and drew 2:2 with Chelsea. Their exploits ended, however, in their away match against Newcastle United in the fifth round, when the Tigers conceded twice by the seventh minute and lost 1:2.
- Under 3.5 goals have been scored in 8 of Hull City's last 10 Premier League home matches.
- The total number of yellow cards has not exceeded 4.5 in any of Hull City's last 10 Premier League home matches.
- The teams have registered fewer than 10.5 shots on target in 8 of Hull City's last 10 Premier League home games.
Probable line-up (5-4-1): Konstantinos Tzolakis, Lewie Coyle, Semi Ajayi, John Egan, Nobel Mendy, Ryan Giles, Mohamed Belloumi, Matt Crooks, Regan Slater, Sorba Thomas, Oliver McBurnie
Unavailable: Tim Iroegbunam, Darko Gyabi, Jack Butland, Ilyas Ansah, Charlie Hughes, Eliot Matazo (injured), Elliot Stroud (illness)
Form and Line-up Everton
Everton remain one of five teams to have taken points in every Premier League round this season — two wins and three draws. In three of those matches, the defence led by Jordan Pickford did not concede a goal. That solidity has helped David Moyes's side reach seventh place in the table.
- There have been fewer than 4.5 offsides in each of Everton's last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Everton have received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- Everton have committed more fouls than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitaliy Mikolenko, Harrison Armstrong, James Garner, Brennan Johnson, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Jack Grealish, Thierno Barry
Unavailable: Merlin Röhl (injured); Vitaliy Mikolenko and Christian Nørgaard (doubtful)
The teams' chances
Everton to win has a margin-free probability of 46.7%, with odds of 2.05 and fair odds of 2.14. The corresponding figures are 27.4%, 3.50 and 3.65 for the draw, and 25.9%, 3.70 and 3.86 for Hull City to win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City to win | 3.70 | 3.86 | 25.9% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.65 | 27.4% |
| Everton to win | 2.05 | 2.14 | 46.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.85 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.95, suggesting a slight preference for a lower-scoring match. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.30 is a much stronger favourite than Over 3.5 goals at 3.15.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.15 |
Handicap prediction
Hull City (-1.5) are offered at 6.60, compared with 3.80 for Everton (-1.5). At the +1.5 handicap, the odds are 1.22 for Hull City (+1.5) and 1.06 for Everton (+1.5). For the -1 handicap, Hull City (-1) are 5.80 and Everton (-1) are 2.95; for the +1 handicap, Hull City (+1) are 1.35 and Everton (+1) are 1.09. At the zero handicap, Everton Draw No Bet at 1.50 is markedly shorter than Hull City Draw No Bet at 2.65.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.60 | -1.5 | 3.80 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| 5.80 | -1 | 2.95 |
| 1.35 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 2.65 | 0 | 1.50 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.80, while No is offered at 1.95: the market slightly favours goals from both sides.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
73/100
|
3/10
|
29/100
|
| 888sport |
3/4
|
3/10
|
29/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: Hull City — 1 goal; Everton — 1.5 goals.
Hull City team total goals
Hull City team total goals: Over 0.5 goals at 1.45 is favoured over Under 0.5 goals at 2.60. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 1.75 and Over 1 goal at 2.00; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.35 is markedly shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 3.00.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | 0.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.75 | 1 | 2.00 |
| 1.35 | 1.5 | 3.00 |
Everton team total goals
Everton team total goals: Over 0.5 goals is offered at 1.20, compared with 4.15 for Under 0.5 goals, while Over 1 goal is available at 1.40, compared with 2.75 for Under 1 goal. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is available at 1.70 and Over 1.5 goals at 2.10; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals at 1.28 is much more strongly favoured than Over 2 goals at 3.35.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.75 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.10 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.35 |
