The Matchday 27 La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad will take place on 7 March at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Atletico Madrid
Last weekend, Atletico Madrid snatched a hard-fought win right at the death away to Oviedo (1:0). The only goal was scored in the 94th minute. After a three-match winless run in La Liga, the club avoided a second straight slip-up. It is also worth noting that the team kept a clean sheet for the first time in their last four league matches. Overall, the home side remain among the most reliable teams in La Liga defensively: Atletico Madrid have conceded 23 goals this season, bettered only by Real Madrid (22). The team have returned to the top three in the table, although Villarreal are currently behind only on tie-breakers.
- The hosts have scored in 29 of their last 30 home La Liga matches.
- The club's no-draw home run in this competition stands at 12 matches (11 wins, 1 defeat).
- At least one team failed to score in six of Atletico Madrid's last seven La Liga matches.
Potential Atletico Madrid Lineup (4-4-2)*
Jan Oblak – Nahuel Molina, Jose Maria Gimenez, Robin Le Normand, Julio Diaz – Johnny Cardoso, Rodrigo Mendoza, Alex Baena, Thiago Almada – Ademola Lookman, Alexander Sorloth.
Midfielder Pablo Barrios is unavailable through injury.
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad's last La Liga outing ended with a narrow 1:0 away win over Mallorca. That result means the team have suffered just one defeat across the last 10 league rounds in Spain. Over the previous nine matches in the competition following the managerial change, the Basques have collected 18 points, with only Real Madrid and Barcelona earning more over that spell (21 points each). The club have moved up to eighth in the standings, with the gap to seventh reduced to the minimum. We should also note that last week the team kept a clean sheet for the first time in their last 20 La Liga matches.
- Real Sociedad's scoring run in La Liga has reached 11 matches.
- Six of the club's last eight matches in this competition have gone over.
- Both teams scored in nine of the Basques' previous 11 away matches in the Spanish league.
Potential Real Sociedad Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Alejandro Remiro – Duje Caleta-Car, Igor Zubeldia, Jon Aramburu, Sergio Gomez – Jon Gorrotxategi, Benat Turrientes – Goncalo Guedes, Carlos Soler, Arsen Zakharyan – Mikel Oyarzabal.
Midfielder Brais Mendez has served his suspension. Due to fitness issues, midfielder Takefusa Kubo and defender Alvaro Odriozola are not ready for the match.
Referee
Adrian Cordero Vega (Spain)
Matches – 13 (La Liga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match on average – 26;
Penalties – 31%.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Match Prediction
Atletico Madrid did not collapse after a small dip in form. The team ended February with two straight La Liga wins, which allowed them to return to the top three. Now the hosts are back on home soil, where they have been close to flawless. In this league season, the club have taken 34 points from a possible 39 at home, bettered only by Barcelona (39). Across their last 12 home matches in the competition, Atletico Madrid have stumbled only against Real Betis (0:1).
Real Sociedad are maintaining a more than respectable level of form, and under the new head coach in 2026 the club have picked up points everywhere except away to Real Madrid (1:4). However, another test now awaits against an awkward opponent from the Spanish capital. The Basques have not beaten Atletico Madrid in 12 La Liga head-to-heads (5 draws, 7 defeats). If we look specifically at trips to Madrid, then in 10 of the last 12 La Liga matches there, Real Sociedad have failed to take a single point.
The home side also look the more convincing team right now.
Prediction: Atletico Madrid to win
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their last match in this competition.
