The Matchday 6 fixture of the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Monaco (France) and Galatasaray (Turkey) will take place on 9 December at the Louis II Stadium in Fontvieille. Monaco vs Galatasaray: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Monaco
The Monegasques drew 2-2 away at Pafos in the last round, extending their unbeaten run in the Champions League to four matches, although three of those were draws and they have only one win in that sequence (against Bodo/Glimt). Six points is enough to sit in the top 24 of the group stage, but Monaco only outrank the next team by goal difference. Notably, Monaco have won four of their last five home European matches against Turkish opposition, scoring at least three goals in each victory.
- In their last eight matches in this competition, the French side have managed just one win (four draws and three defeats).
- Monaco are unbeaten in six of their last eight Champions League home games (three wins and three draws).
- The club failed to win the second half in 10 of their last 11 matches in this competition (five draws and five defeats).
Predicted Monaco line-up (4-2-3-1)
Lukasz Gradecki – Caio Henrique, Jordan Tese, Wanderson, Mohammed Salisu – Jordan Tese, Lamin Kamara – Aleksandr Golovin, Takumi Minamino, Magn Akliush – Mika Biret.
Defenders Eric Dier and Christian Mavissa, along with forward Ansu Fati, will miss the game through injury.
Galatasaray
The Istanbul side suffered a surprise 0-1 home defeat to Union in the last round. That loss dropped them down to 14th in the group standings, although they remain just one point off the top eight. Prior to that setback, Galatasaray had won three consecutive group-stage matches. The defeat was also the club's first blank in this campaign. Historically, Galatasaray have struggled in France, failing to win in nine of their last 11 European away games there (two draws and seven defeats).
- Galatasaray's inconsistent run in this competition stands at eight matches – three wins and five defeats.
- At least three goals were scored in 11 of Galatasaray's previous 15 Champions League games.
- The Turks have conceded two or more goals in nine of their last 12 away matches in this competition.
Predicted Galatasaray line-up (4-2-3-1)
Ugurcan Cakir – Mario Lemina, Davinson Sanchez, Abdulkerim Bardakci, Ismail Jakobs – Lucas Torreira, Gabriel Sara – Ilkay Gundogan, Leroy Sane, Baris Yilmaz – Victor Osimhen.
Defenders Kaan Ayhan and Wilfried Singo, plus midfielder Mario Lemina, are out injured. Defenders Eren Elmali and Metehan Baltaji, and forward Arda Unay, are suspended.
Referee
Danny Makkelie (Netherlands)
Matches – 5 (International fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 11;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 80%.
Monaco vs Galatasaray: Match Prediction
Monaco cannot afford to drop points here if they want to secure a place in the top 24 of the group stage, particularly with much tougher assignments to come against Real Madrid and Juventus in the final two rounds. Expect the hosts to push for victory; they generally perform well at home in this competition and have lost only two of their last eight Champions League home games, both to Benfica.
I also anticipate an open, high-scoring affair. Monaco have scored in six of their last eight home Champions League matches, while conceding in 18 of their previous 20 at the Louis II. Galatasaray have scored in nine of their last 10 away games in this competition, finding the net at least twice on six occasions. The Turks have also conceded in 25 of their last 28 European away matches, and at least three goals were scored in six of their last seven away games in this tournament.
My prediction – 1X and Over 2.5
