The Bundesliga matchday 22 fixture between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC St. Pauli will take place on 14 February at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen were unable to break down Borussia Monchengladbach in the previous round, drawing 1:1. As a result, the club’s 15-match run of decisive results in the league came to an end (10 wins, 5 defeats). That said, Kasper Hjulmand’s side are unbeaten in three straight Bundesliga matches, which is the club’s second-longest unbeaten stretch in the current campaign. It is also worth noting that Bayer 04 Leverkusen have conceded in five of their last six Bundesliga games. In the standings, the team stayed in sixth place, three points off the Champions League places.
- The club have not scored more than two goals in seven of their last nine league matches.
- At home, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won five of their last seven Bundesliga matches (2 defeats).
- In five of the last seven home games in this competition, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have kept a clean sheet.
Potential Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineup (3-4-3)*
Janis Blaswich – Jarell Quansah, Loic Bade, Edmond Tapsoba – Alejandro Grimaldo, Aleix Garcia, Arthur, Ignacio Fernandez – Patrik Schick, Malik Tillman, Jonas Hofmann.
Goalkeeper Mark Flekken and forward Nathan Tella are injured.
FC St. Pauli
The win over Stuttgart in the last round (2:1) was FC St. Pauli’s first in their last seven league matches (3 draws, 3 defeats). The team have also scored more than once in a match only for the sixth time this season. Alexander Blessin’s men, with 20 goals, are among the two lowest-scoring clubs in the league. FC St. Pauli are also second from bottom in the overall table, but the gap to safety in 15th place is only two points. In addition, the visitors have already suffered eight away defeats, and no one has a worse record by that measure.
- Both teams scored in five of FC St. Pauli’s previous seven Bundesliga matches.
- In six of the last eight away league matches, the team have conceded at least twice.
- In five of the previous seven away matches in this competition, the club scored exactly one goal.
Potential FC St. Pauli Lineup (3-5-2)*
Nikola Vasilj – Tomoya Ando, Karol Mets, Adam Dzwigala – Arkadiusz Pyrka, Mathias Rasmussen, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Danel Sinani – Manolis Saliakas, Marten Kars.
Defender David Nemeth and forwards Riky-Jade Jones and Andrea Untonghi are injured.
Referee
Sven Jablonski (Germany)
Matches – 10 (the Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 35;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 10%.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli: Match Prediction
Just over a week ago, the opponents met in the German Cup, and Bayer 04 Leverkusen gave FC St. Pauli no chance at home, thrashing the Hamburg side 3:0. We think the league match will also go the way of Kasper Hjulmand’s men. After all, the difference in class and the teams’ Bundesliga results leave the visitors with very little hope.
At home, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won five of their last seven league matches, losing in that spell only to sides from the European qualification zone. Even so, the home team managed to score against Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund. There are no issues with their attacking output at all: the hosts have found the net in every home game in the Bundesliga 2025/26, and in five of those they scored at least twice.
FC St. Pauli have only one away win to their name this season, which came back in August. Since then, Alexander Blessin’s side have lost eight of their 10 away matches (2 draws). It will be difficult for the visitors to contain the hosts’ attack, as the team concede even against far less illustrious opponents. Even Augsburg and Wolfsburg, who are close by in the standings, managed to score twice against the Hamburg side at home.
Prediction: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win + Over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their most recent match in this competition.
